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Farnborough - Ebbsfleet United

National League South August 29, 2026 16:00
Farnborough
#20 · 10 pts
vs
Ebbsfleet United
#22 · 5 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.33%
Win
Farnborough
33.33%
Draw
33.33%
Win
Ebbsfleet United
1.77
Expected xG
0.9

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (11.72%)
1X2 Result
1 33%
X 33%
2 33%
Double Chance
1X 67%
X2 67%
12 67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 52%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Farnborough a 33% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 33% for Ebbsfleet United. Expected goals are 1.8 for Farnborough and 0.9 for Ebbsfleet United (total 2.7), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.72% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Farnborough have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Ebbsfleet United.

Season Stats

Farnborough
8W 2D 5L
Ebbsfleet United
7W 3D 5L
Averages per game
1.9
Goals
1.9
1.5
Conceded
1.5
Percentages
80%
O 1.5
93%
53%
O 2.5
80%
60%
BTTS
67%
27%
Clean Sht
20%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in National League South. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
50%
O 3.5
70%
BTTS
Farnborough
5W 1D 4L · at home
Ebbsfleet United
3W 3D 4L · away
1.8
gls/g
1.4
1.9
Conceded
1.8
50%
Win %
30%
60%
Win or Draw
60%
90%
O 1.5
90%
60%
O 2.5
60%
50%
O 3.5
50%
60%
BTTS
80%
30%
Clean Sht
0%
10%
Failed to Score
20%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Farnborough Ebbsfleet United →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.9% 6.2% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% —
1 12.3% 11.0% 5.0% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.9% 9.8% 4.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 6.4% 5.8% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% —
4 2.8% 2.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% —
5 1.0% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% — —

Recent form

Farnborough Farnborough
L Dover 0–1
L Hampton & Richmond 2–0
L Tonbridge Angels 0–4
W Braintree 0–2
D Maidenhead 1–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 33%
Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United
D Salisbury 1–1
D Hemel Hempstead Town 0–0
W Walton & Hersham 0–2
L Worthing 2–0
W Hampton & Richmond 4–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 24%

Playing profile

Farnborough Farnborough
Attack
18
Defence
65
Form
41
Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United
Attack
30
Defence
54
Form
39
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Farnborough
2
Draw
0
Ebbsfleet United
28 Feb 2026 National League South 2–2
29 Nov 2025 National League South 1–1

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Maidstone Utd Maidstone Utd 9 19
2 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare 9 17
3 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge 9 16
4 Salisbury Salisbury 9 15
5 Billericay Town Billericay Town 9 15
6 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels 9 14
7 Truro City Truro City 8 14
8 Dover Dover 9 14
9 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers 9 13
10 Torquay Torquay 9 13
11 Farnham Town Farnham Town 8 13
12 Folkestone Invicta Folkestone Invicta 8 12
13 Chesham United Chesham United 9 10
14 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 8 10
15 Horsham Horsham 8 10
16 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 9 10
17 Maidenhead Maidenhead 9 10
18 Braintree Braintree 8 10
19 AFC Totton AFC Totton 8 10
20 Farnborough Farnborough 8 10
21 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond 9 8
22 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 3 5
23 Slough Town Slough Town 8 3
24 Walton & Hersham Walton & Hersham 8 1
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Farnborough vs Ebbsfleet United?
The model gives Farnborough a 33% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 33% for an Ebbsfleet United win.
How many goals are expected in Farnborough vs Ebbsfleet United?
Expected goals: Farnborough 1.8, Ebbsfleet United 0.9 (total 2.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Farnborough vs Ebbsfleet United?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.72%.