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Farnborough - Weston-super-Mare

National League South October 28, 2026 20:45
#19 · 14 pts
vs
#14 · 18 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
23.08%
Win
Farnborough
22.07%
Draw
54.85%
Win
Weston-super-Mare
1.0
Expected xG
2.16

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–2 (9.92%)
1X2 Result
1 23%
X 22%
2 55%
Double Chance
1X 45%
X2 77%
12 78%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 79%
Over 2.5 54%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Weston-super-Mare a 54% win probability, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Farnborough. Expected goals are 1.0 for Farnborough and 2.2 for Weston-super-Mare (total 3.2), with a 79% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–2 at 9.92% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Farnborough have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Weston-super-Mare.

Season Stats

Farnborough
6W 2D 7L
Weston-super-Mare
5W 5D 5L
Averages per game
1.3
Goals
1.5
1.8
Conceded
1.4
Percentages
87%
O 1.5
80%
47%
O 2.5
47%
40%
BTTS
60%
20%
Clean Sht
27%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in National League South. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
35%
O 3.5
45%
BTTS
Farnborough
5W 1D 4L · at home
Weston-super-Mare
3W 3D 4L · away
1.4
gls/g
1.1
1.7
Conceded
1.6
50%
Win %
30%
60%
Win or Draw
60%
80%
O 1.5
70%
40%
O 2.5
50%
40%
O 3.5
30%
30%
BTTS
60%
40%
Clean Sht
20%
30%
Failed to Score
40%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Farnborough Weston-super-Mare →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.2% 9.1% 9.9% 7.1% 3.8% 1.7%
1 4.2% 9.2% 9.9% 7.1% 3.8% 1.7%
2 2.1% 4.6% 5.0% 3.6% 1.9% 0.8%
3 0.7% 1.5% 1.7% 1.2% 0.6% 0.3%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
5 — 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% — —

Recent form

L Folkestone Invicta 2–0
W Dagenham & Redbridge 2–0
L Billericay Town 4–0
D Walton & Hersham 2–2
L Dover 0–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 31%
L Ebbsfleet United 6–1
D Folkestone Invicta 1–1
L Farnham Town 3–2
W Dagenham & Redbridge 1–0
W AFC Totton 3–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 26%

Playing profile

Farnborough Farnborough
Attack
19
Defence
53
Form
35
Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare
Attack
37
Defence
60
Form
44
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 12 28
2 Truro City Truro City 13 27
3 Maidstone Utd Maidstone Utd 14 26
4 Salisbury Salisbury 13 25
5 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels 14 24
6 Farnham Town Farnham Town 13 23
7 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge 14 23
8 Billericay Town Billericay Town 12 22
9 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers 13 21
10 Folkestone Invicta Folkestone Invicta 14 19
11 Dover Dover 13 19
12 Horsham Horsham 14 19
13 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 12 18
14 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare 12 18
15 Torquay Torquay 13 17
16 AFC Totton AFC Totton 14 16
17 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 14 15
18 Maidenhead Maidenhead 14 14
19 Farnborough Farnborough 12 14
20 Braintree Braintree 13 13
21 Chesham United Chesham United 13 10
22 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond 13 9
23 Walton & Hersham Walton & Hersham 13 8
24 Slough Town Slough Town 14 4
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Farnborough vs Weston-super-Mare?
The model gives Farnborough a 23% win probability, 22% for a draw, and 54% for an Weston-super-Mare win.
How many goals are expected in Farnborough vs Weston-super-Mare?
Expected goals: Farnborough 1.0, Weston-super-Mare 2.2 (total 3.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 79%.
What is the most likely score in Farnborough vs Weston-super-Mare?
1–2 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.92%.