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Faroe Islands - Kazakhstan

UEFA Nations League September 26, 2026 18:00 Denka Big Swan Stadium, Niigata
Faroe Islands
#3 · 0 pts
vs
Kazakhstan
#1 · 0 pts
Weather at kick-off ☁️ Overcast 28.5°C 💨 20 km/h 🌧️ 50% · Niigata
⚡ Pre-match analysis
73.14%
Win
Faroe Islands
12.62%
Draw
14.24%
Win
Kazakhstan
3.67
Expected xG
1.59
Most likely outcome
Faroe Islands
73.14%
Probability
100.0%
1X2 accuracy · 2 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 3–1 (7.04%)
1X2 Result
1 73%
X 13%
2 14%
Double Chance
1X 86%
X2 27%
12 87%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 93%
Over 2.5 85%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Faroe Islands a 73% win probability, against 12% for a draw and 14% for Kazakhstan. Expected goals are 3.7 for Faroe Islands and 1.6 for Kazakhstan (total 5.3), with a 93% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 3–1 at 7.04% probability.

Season Stats

Faroe Islands
1W 3D 2L
Kazakhstan
0W 1D 5L
Averages per game
0.8
Goals
0.0
1.0
Conceded
2.5
2.8
Shots OT
1.2
3.3
Corners
2.2
42%
Poss.
38%
Percentages
50%
O 1.5
67%
17%
O 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
0%
17%
Clean Sht
17%
ℹ Based on the last 6 matches in UEFA Nations League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
50%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
Faroe Islands
0W 3D 0L · at home
Kazakhstan
0W 0D 3L · away
1.3
gls/g
0.0
1.3
Conceded
4.0
0%
Win %
0%
100%
Win or Draw
0%
100%
O 1.5
100%
33%
O 2.5
100%
33%
O 3.5
67%
100%
BTTS
0%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
100%
last 3
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Faroe Islands Kazakhstan →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 0.5% 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% —
1 1.9% 3.0% 2.4% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2%
2 3.5% 5.6% 4.4% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3%
3 4.3% 6.8% 5.4% 2.9% 1.1% 0.4%
4 3.9% 6.2% 5.0% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3%
5 2.9% 4.6% 3.6% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2%

Recent form

Faroe Islands Faroe Islands
L FYR Macedonia 1–0
W Armenia 0–1
D Latvia 1–1
D Armenia 2–2
L Latvia 1–0
Kazakhstan Kazakhstan
L Norway 5–0
L Austria 0–2
L Slovenia 0–1
L Austria 4–0
L Slovenia 3–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 20%

Playing profile

Faroe Islands Faroe Islands
Attack
45
Defence
71
Form
42
Kazakhstan Kazakhstan
Attack
32
Defence
67
Form
57
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

UEFA Nations League , League C, Group 3

# Team G Pts
1 Kazakhstan Kazakhstan 0 0
2 Slovakia Slovakia 0 0
3 Faroe Islands Faroe Islands 0 0
4 Moldova Moldova 0 0

What's at stake · UEFA Nations League , League C, Group 3

Top 2 advance to the next round

Faroe Islands Kazakhstan
Current #3 #1
→ Faroe Islands #1 #2
→ Draw #2 #1
→ Kazakhstan #3 #1

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Faroe Islands vs Kazakhstan?
The model gives Faroe Islands a 73% win probability, 12% for a draw, and 14% for an Kazakhstan win.
How many goals are expected in Faroe Islands vs Kazakhstan?
Expected goals: Faroe Islands 3.7, Kazakhstan 1.6 (total 5.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 93%.
What is the most likely score in Faroe Islands vs Kazakhstan?
3–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 7.04%.