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Faroe Islands - Slovakia

UEFA Nations League October 02, 2026 20:45 Denka Big Swan Stadium, Niigata
Faroe Islands
#3 · 0 pts
vs
Slovakia
#2 · 0 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
63.49%
Win
Faroe Islands
15.18%
Draw
21.33%
Win
Slovakia
3.42
Expected xG
1.99
Most likely outcome
Faroe Islands
63.49%
Probability
100.0%
1X2 accuracy · 2 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 3–1 (6.08%)
1X2 Result
1 63%
X 15%
2 21%
Double Chance
1X 79%
X2 37%
12 85%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 95%
Over 2.5 86%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Faroe Islands a 63% win probability, against 15% for a draw and 21% for Slovakia. Expected goals are 3.4 for Faroe Islands and 2.0 for Slovakia (total 5.4), with a 94% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 3–1 at 6.08% probability.

Season Stats

Faroe Islands
1W 3D 2L
Slovakia
4W 2D 2L
Averages per game
0.8
Goals
1.2
1.0
Conceded
0.8
2.8
Shots OT
5.4
3.3
Corners
5.8
42%
Poss.
54%
Percentages
50%
O 1.5
50%
17%
O 2.5
38%
50%
BTTS
38%
17%
Clean Sht
50%
ℹ Based on the last 8 matches in UEFA Nations League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
29%
O 3.5
75%
BTTS
Faroe Islands
0W 3D 0L · at home
Slovakia
2W 0D 2L · away
1.3
gls/g
1.2
1.3
Conceded
1.0
0%
Win %
50%
100%
Win or Draw
50%
100%
O 1.5
50%
33%
O 2.5
50%
33%
O 3.5
25%
100%
BTTS
50%
0%
Clean Sht
25%
0%
Failed to Score
25%
last 4
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Faroe Islands Slovakia →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 0.4% 0.9% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
1 1.5% 3.0% 3.0% 2.0% 1.0% 0.4%
2 2.6% 5.2% 5.2% 3.4% 1.7% 0.7%
3 3.0% 5.9% 5.9% 3.9% 1.9% 0.8%
4 2.5% 5.1% 5.0% 3.3% 1.7% 0.7%
5 1.7% 3.5% 3.5% 2.3% 1.1% 0.5%

Recent form

Faroe Islands Faroe Islands
L FYR Macedonia 1–0
W Armenia 0–1
D Latvia 1–1
D Armenia 2–2
L Latvia 1–0
Slovakia Slovakia
L Slovenia 1–0
D Slovenia 0–0
W Estonia 1–0
L Sweden 2–1
W Azerbaijan 1–3

Playing profile

Faroe Islands Faroe Islands
Attack
45
Defence
71
Form
42
Slovakia Slovakia
Attack
48
Defence
62
Form
40
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

UEFA Nations League , League C, Group 3

# Team G Pts
1 Kazakhstan Kazakhstan 0 0
2 Slovakia Slovakia 0 0
3 Faroe Islands Faroe Islands 0 0
4 Moldova Moldova 0 0

What's at stake · UEFA Nations League , League C, Group 3

Top 2 advance to the next round

Faroe Islands Slovakia
Current #3 #2
→ Faroe Islands #1 #3
→ Draw #2 #1
→ Slovakia #3 #1

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Faroe Islands vs Slovakia?
The model gives Faroe Islands a 63% win probability, 15% for a draw, and 21% for an Slovakia win.
How many goals are expected in Faroe Islands vs Slovakia?
Expected goals: Faroe Islands 3.4, Slovakia 2.0 (total 5.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 94%.
What is the most likely score in Faroe Islands vs Slovakia?
3–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 6.08%.