Liga 1
· Regular Season - 11
October 11, 2026 20:00
✓Model correct — prediction Farul Constanta
Cristian Ganea
(ast. Ionuț Vână)
5'
Matteo Ahlinvi
(ast. Eduard Radaslavescu)
22'
Răzvan Marincean
(ast. Razvan Tanasa)
89'
33'
(ast. Teixeira leo)
Alejandro Bran
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Farul Constanta a 55% win probability (draw 22%, Petrolul Ploiesti 21%). The final result was Farul Constanta 3–1 Petrolul Ploiesti. In 3 previous meetings, Farul Constanta have won 3 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Petrolul Ploiesti.
Match statistics
16
Total shots
16
8
Shots on target
6
1.14
Actual xG
1.03
5
Saves
6
40%
Possession
60%
6
Corners
5
10
Tackles
9
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽Cristian Ganea
· ast. Ionuț Vână
5'
⚽Matteo Ahlinvi
· ast. Eduard Radaslavescu
22'
33'
ast. Teixeira leo ·
Alejandro Bran⚽
Victor Dican
51'
Eddy Sylvestre
/ Narek Grigoryan
63'
Eduard Radaslavescu
/ Răzvan Marincean
63'
Muhamet Hyseni
/ Razvan Tanasa
63'
63'
Mario Ioniță
/
Luciano Gaston Vega Albornoz
63'
israel ola
/
Sergiu Hanca
70'
israel ola
Matteo Ahlinvi
/ Nicolas Popescu
75'
78'
Rareș Leescu
/
Paul Papp
78'
Tiberiu Căpuşă
/
mark tutu
78'
Kilian Ludewig
/
Alejandro Bran
⚽Răzvan Marincean
· ast. Razvan Tanasa
89'
89'
Andres Dumitrescu
Pre-match prediction
55.63%
Farul ←
22.5%
X
21.87%
Petrolul
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Farul Constanta)
55.63%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.43
1.14
-1.29
0.97
1.03
+0.06
xG dominance was balanced (1.14 – 1.03).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
12
R. Munteanu
G
R. Munteanu
G
6
V. Dican
D
V. Dican
D
17
I. Larie
D
I. Larie
D
24
S. Bouzamoucha
D
S. Bouzamoucha
D
11
C. Ganea
1 ⚽
M
C. Ganea
1 ⚽
M
70
M. Ahlinvi
1 ⚽
75'
M
M. Ahlinvi
1 ⚽
75'
M
23
T. Njiké
M
T. Njiké
M
8
I. Vînă
1 👟
M
I. Vînă
1 👟
M
20
E. Rădăslăvescu
1 👟
63'
F
E. Rădăslăvescu
1 👟
63'
F
9
M. Hyseni
63'
F
M. Hyseni
63'
F
10
E. Sylvestre
63'
F
E. Sylvestre
63'
F
Bench
1
A. Buzbuchi
G
A. Buzbuchi
G
29
A. Goncear
F
A. Goncear
F
2
D. Maftei
D
D. Maftei
D
30
N. Grigoryan
27'
F
N. Grigoryan
27'
F
80
N. Popescu
15'
M
N. Popescu
15'
M
99
Răzvan Marincean
1 ⚽
27'
F
Răzvan Marincean
1 ⚽
27'
F
71
R. Tănasă
1 👟
27'
F
R. Tănasă
1 👟
27'
F
3
V. Țicu
D
V. Țicu
D
38
L. Zima
G
L. Zima
G
2
A. Dumitrescu
D
A. Dumitrescu
D
71
B. Malula
D
B. Malula
D
4
P. Papp
78'
D
P. Papp
78'
D
22
M. Țuțu
78'
D
M. Țuțu
78'
D
20
S. Hanca
63'
M
S. Hanca
63'
M
8
L. Vega
63'
M
L. Vega
63'
M
7
Rodrigo Martins
M
Rodrigo Martins
M
10
A. Bran
1 ⚽
78'
M
A. Bran
1 ⚽
78'
M
19
Léo Teixeira
1 👟
M
Léo Teixeira
1 👟
M
9
D. Nlundulu
F
D. Nlundulu
F
Bench
24
Adam Zaian
D
Adam Zaian
D
18
C. Hüseynov
D
C. Hüseynov
D
21
David Ionut
M
David Ionut
M
29
K. Ludewig
12'
D
K. Ludewig
12'
D
28
M. Costache
M
M. Costache
M
80
M. Ioniță
27'
M
M. Ioniță
27'
M
99
O. Dele
27'
M
O. Dele
27'
M
30
R. Leescu
12'
D
R. Leescu
12'
D
12
Ș. Georgescu
G
Ș. Georgescu
G
66
T. Căpușă
12'
D
T. Căpușă
12'
D
Best on the pitch
C. Ganea
M · Farul
8.20
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 46 pass
M. Ahlinvi
M · Farul
7.75
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 23 pass
Răzvan Marincean
F · Farul
7.68
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 4 pass
I. Vînă
M · Farul
7.46
1 👟
3 shots
· 29 pass
R. Munteanu
G · Farul
7.13
· 40 pass
A. Bran
M · Petrolul
7.09
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 29 pass
Farul Constanta — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Munteanu | G | 90 | 7.13 | — | — | 0 | 40 | 22% | 0 | — | — |
| V. Dican | D | 90 | 6.25 | — | — | 1 | 57 | 48% | 1 | 1 | — |
| I. Larie | D | 90 | 6.57 | — | — | 0 | 60 | 51% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Bouzamoucha | D | 90 | 6.61 | — | — | 0 | 41 | 37% | 0 | — | — |
| C. Ganea | M | 90 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 46 | 37% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Ahlinvi | M | 75 | 7.75 | 1 | — | 2 | 23 | 19% | 4 | — | — |
| T. Njiké | M | 90 | 6.47 | — | — | 0 | 54 | 49% | 0 | — | — |
| I. Vînă | M | 90 | 7.46 | — | 1 | 3 | 29 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Rădăslăvescu | F | 63 | 7.02 | — | 1 | 1 | 21 | 19% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Hyseni | F | 63 | 6.40 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Sylvestre | F | 63 | 6.33 | — | — | 2 | 26 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Grigoryan | F | 27 | 6.86 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Popescu | M | 15 | 6.24 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| Răzvan Marincean | F | 27 | 7.68 | 1 | — | 2 | 4 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Tănasă | F | 27 | 6.83 | — | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
Petrolul Ploiesti — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Zima | G | 90 | 6.86 | — | — | 0 | 22 | 20% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Dumitrescu | D | 90 | 5.31 | — | — | 0 | 44 | 32% | 1 | 1 | — |
| B. Malula | D | 90 | 6.64 | — | — | 1 | 65 | 59% | 0 | — | — |
| P. Papp | D | 78 | 6.45 | — | — | 0 | 55 | 49% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Țuțu | D | 78 | 6.32 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 24% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Hanca | M | 63 | 6.40 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 46% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Vega | M | 63 | 5.92 | — | — | 0 | 28 | 22% | 0 | — | — |
| Rodrigo Martins | M | 90 | 6.37 | — | — | 4 | 10 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Bran | M | 78 | 7.09 | 1 | — | 3 | 29 | 22% | 0 | — | — |
| Léo Teixeira | M | 90 | 6.46 | — | 1 | 0 | 16 | 9% | 3 | — | — |
| D. Nlundulu | F | 90 | 6.59 | — | — | 4 | 18 | 14% | 0 | — | — |
| K. Ludewig | D | 12 | 5.90 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Ioniță | M | 27 | 5.82 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| O. Dele | M | 27 | 6.01 | — | — | 0 | 28 | 25% | 1 | 1 | — |
| R. Leescu | D | 12 | 5.98 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| T. Căpușă | D | 12 | 5.84 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Farul Constanta vs Petrolul Ploiesti?
The final score was Farul Constanta 3–1 Petrolul Ploiesti.
What did the model predict before Farul Constanta vs Petrolul Ploiesti?
The model assigned 55% probability to a Farul Constanta win, 22% to a draw, and 21% to an Petrolul Ploiesti win.