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Fatih Karagümrük - Alanyaspor

Süper Lig May 16, 2026 16:00
Fatih Karagümrük
#17 · 27 pts
vs
Alanyaspor
#10 · 37 pts
Weather at kick-off 🌤️ Mainly clear 23.3°C 💨 8 km/h · Istanbul
⚡ Pre-match analysis
32.21%
Win
Fatih Karagümrük
28.8%
Draw
38.99%
Win
Alanyaspor
0.94
Expected xG
1.13

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Alanyaspor a 38% win probability, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Fatih Karagümrük. Expected goals are 0.9 for Fatih Karagümrük and 1.1 for Alanyaspor (total 2.1), with a 69% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–1 at 14.3% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Fatih Karagümrük have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Alanyaspor.

Score Matrix
↕ Fatih Karagümrük Alanyaspor →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.7% 14.3% 8.0% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2%
1 11.9% 13.4% 7.5% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 5.6% 6.3% 3.5% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.8% 2.0% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% —
4 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% — —
5 0.1% 0.1% — — — —
Recent form
Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük
W Kocaelispor 0–1
W Gençlerbirliği S.K. 1–0
D Beşiktaş 0–0
L Eyüpspor 1–2
L Konyaspor 3–0
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 40%
Alanyaspor Alanyaspor
W Kayserispor 3–1
D Antalyaspor 0–0
L Samsunspor 2–3
L Kasımpaşa 1–0
D Trabzonspor 1–1
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 24%
Playing profile
Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük
Attack
26
Defence
66
Form
49
Alanyaspor Alanyaspor
Attack
36
Defence
66
Form
46
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
Fatih Karagümrük
1
Draw
1
Alanyaspor
D 13 Jan 2026 Türkiye Kupası 2–2
L 21 Dec 2025 Süper Lig 0–2
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Galatasaray Galatasaray 33 77
2 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 33 73
3 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 33 69
4 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 33 59
5 Göztepe Göztepe 33 55
6 Başakşehir Başakşehir 33 54
7 Samsunspor Samsunspor 33 48
8 Rizespor Rizespor 33 40
9 Konyaspor Konyaspor 33 40
10 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 33 37
11 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 33 37
12 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 33 37
13 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor 33 32
14 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 33 32
15 Gençlerbirliği S.K. Gençlerbirliği S.K. 33 31
16 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 33 29
17 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük 33 27
18 Kayserispor Kayserispor 33 27
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Fatih Karagümrük vs Alanyaspor?
The model gives Fatih Karagümrük a 32% win probability, 28% for a draw, and 38% for an Alanyaspor win.
How many goals are expected in Fatih Karagümrük vs Alanyaspor?
Expected goals: Fatih Karagümrük 0.9, Alanyaspor 1.1 (total 2.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 69%.
What is the most likely score in Fatih Karagümrük vs Alanyaspor?
0–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 14.3%.