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Süper Lig · Regular Season - 34 May 16, 2026 16:00 Atatürk Olimpiyat Stadı, Bolu
Fatih Karagümrük
#18 · 30 pts
2 – 1
Final score
Alanyaspor
#11 · 37 pts
S. Larsson (ast. B. Kalayci) 48'
S. Larsson 73' (pen.)
32' (ast. F. Hadergjonaj) M. Elia
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Alanyaspor a 38% win probability (draw 29%, Fatih Karagümrük 32%). The final result was Fatih Karagümrük 2–1 Alanyaspor. In 2 previous meetings, Fatih Karagümrük have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Alanyaspor.

Match statistics
5
Total shots
9
4
Shots on target
4
1.72
Actual xG
0.62
3
Saves
2
45%
Possession
55%
0
Corners
4
13
Tackles
6
Match Events
32'
ast. F. Hadergjonaj · M. Elia⚽
⚽S. Larsson · ast. B. Kalayci
48'
↕ T. Ahmed / S. Babicka
64'
72'
I. Kaya / E. Keskin ↕
72'
I. Celik / G. Makouta ↕
72'
I. Hagi / Hwang Ui-Jo ↕
⚽S. Larsson (pen.)
73'
81'
E. Karaca / Maestro ↕
81'
G. Yalcin / Bruno Viana ↕
C. Kurukalip
90'+4
↕ S. Larsson / F. Kurucuk
90'
↕ B. Kalayci / T. Kalpakli
90'
Pre-match prediction
32.18%
Fatih ←
29.03%
X
38.8%
Alanyaspor
we assigned to the actual result (Fatih Karagümrük) 32.18% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Fatih
0.93
1.72
+0.79
Alanyaspor
1.11
0.62
-0.49
Fatih Karagümrük dominated by xG (1.72 vs 0.62). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Galatasaray Galatasaray 34 77
2 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 34 74
3 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 34 69
4 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 34 60
5 Başakşehir Başakşehir 34 57
6 Göztepe Göztepe 34 55
7 Samsunspor Samsunspor 34 51
8 Rizespor Rizespor 34 41
9 Konyaspor Konyaspor 34 40
10 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 34 37
11 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 34 37
12 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 34 37
13 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 34 35
14 Gençlerbirliği S.K. Gençlerbirliği S.K. 34 34
15 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor 34 33
16 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 34 32
17 Kayserispor Kayserispor 34 30
18 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük 34 30
Lineups
Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük 4-2-3-1
99 Furkan Bekleviç Furkan Bekleviç G 6.50
33 Çağtay Kurukalıp Çağtay Kurukalıp D 6.20
94 A. Çınar A. Çınar D 6.70
4 Davide Biraschi Davide Biraschi D 6.90
47 Ricardo Esgaio Ricardo Esgaio D 6.30
6 Bartuğ Elmaz Bartuğ Elmaz M 7.60
5 M. Kranevitter M. Kranevitter M 6.60
72 Baris Kalayci Baris Kalayci 1 👟 M 6.60
8 Berkay Özcan Berkay Özcan M 7.20
88 Ahmed Traore Ahmed Traore 64' M 6.00
23 Sam Larsson Sam Larsson 2 ⚽ F 8.60
Bench
98 Berke Can Evli Berke Can Evli G
24 Burhan Ersoy Burhan Ersoy M
22 Fatih Kurucuk Fatih Kurucuk 1' D
93 Kerem Ozmen Kerem Ozmen M
96 Kerem Yandal Kerem Yandal G
32 Muhammed Kadıoğlu Muhammed Kadıoğlu D
80 Shavy Babicka Shavy Babicka 27' F 7.50
20 Tarik Bugra Kalpakli Tarik Bugra Kalpakli F
Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 3-4-3
48 Paulo Victor Paulo Victor G 6.90
30 Bruno Viana Bruno Viana 82' D 6.30
5 F. Aliti F. Aliti D 6.30
3 Nuno Lima Nuno Lima D 6.60
8 Enes Keskin Enes Keskin 72' M 6.00
42 Gaius Makouta Gaius Makouta 72' M 6.30
58 Maestro Maestro 81' M 6.90
94 F. Hadërgjonaj F. Hadërgjonaj 1 👟 M 6.90
11 Ruan Pereira Duarte Ruan Pereira Duarte F 6.70
16 Hwang Ui-Jo Hwang Ui-Jo 72' F 6.70
12 Meschak Elia Meschak Elia 1 ⚽ F 7.30
Bench
25 Buluthan Bulut Buluthan Bulut M
7 Efecan Karaca Efecan Karaca 10' M 6.30
1 Ertuğrul Taşkıran Ertuğrul Taşkıran G
20 Fatih Aksoy Fatih Aksoy D
10 G. Yalçın G. Yalçın 9' F 6.20
14
Ianis Hagi 19' M 6.50
27 Ibrahim Kaya Ibrahim Kaya 19' F 6.50
6
I. Celik 19' M 6.30
17 Nicolas Janvier Nicolas Janvier M
50 Ümit Akdağ Ümit Akdağ D
Best on the pitch
Sam Larsson
Sam Larsson
F · Fatih
8.60
2 ⚽
2 shots · 29 pass
Bartuğ Elmaz
Bartuğ Elmaz
M · Fatih
7.60
1 shots · 65 pass
Shavy Babicka
Shavy Babicka
F · Fatih
7.50
· 6 pass
Meschak Elia
Meschak Elia
F · Alanyaspor
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 24 pass
Berkay Özcan
Berkay Özcan
M · Fatih
7.20
· 29 pass
Maestro
Maestro
M · Alanyaspor
6.90
1 shots · 36 pass
Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Furkan Bekleviç G 91 6.50 — — — 32 21% — — —
Çağtay Kurukalıp D 91 6.20 — — — 32 29% — — —
A. Çınar D 91 6.70 — — — 56 46% — — —
Davide Biraschi D 91 6.90 — — — 53 44% — — —
Ricardo Esgaio D 91 6.30 — — 1 44 38% 1 — —
Bartuğ Elmaz M 91 7.60 — — 1 65 60% 6 — —
M. Kranevitter M 91 6.60 — — — 44 38% — — —
Baris Kalayci M 91 6.60 — 1 — 23 20% 1 — —
Berkay Özcan M 91 7.20 — — — 29 26% 4 — —
Ahmed Traore M 64 6.00 — — 1 11 9% — — —
Sam Larsson F 90 8.60 2 — 2 29 22% 1 — —
Fatih Kurucuk D 1 — — — — — — — — —
Shavy Babicka F 27 7.50 — — — 6 4% — — —
Alanyaspor Alanyaspor — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Paulo Victor G 91 6.90 — — — 21 20% — — —
Bruno Viana D 82 6.30 — — — 57 51% 1 — —
F. Aliti D 91 6.30 — — 2 86 81% — — —
Nuno Lima D 91 6.60 — — — 106 96% 1 — —
Enes Keskin M 72 6.00 — — 1 20 17% — — —
Gaius Makouta M 72 6.30 — — — 30 26% — — —
Maestro M 81 6.90 — — 1 36 36% 2 — —
F. Hadërgjonaj M 91 6.90 — 1 — 53 40% — — —
Ruan Pereira Duarte F 91 6.70 — — 1 21 16% 1 — —
Hwang Ui-Jo F 72 6.70 — — 1 16 15% — — —
Meschak Elia F 91 7.30 1 — 1 24 19% 1 — —
Efecan Karaca M 10 6.30 — — 1 8 7% — — —
G. Yalçın F 9 6.20 — — — 3 — — — —
Ianis Hagi M 19 6.50 — — — 7 7% — — —
Ibrahim Kaya F 19 6.50 — — 1 3 3% — — —
I. Celik M 19 6.30 — — — 23 20% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Fatih Karagümrük vs Alanyaspor?
The final score was Fatih Karagümrük 2–1 Alanyaspor.
What did the model predict before Fatih Karagümrük vs Alanyaspor?
The model assigned 32% probability to a Fatih Karagümrük win, 29% to a draw, and 38% to an Alanyaspor win.