Süper Lig
· Regular Season - 28
April 05, 2026 15:30
Serginho
(ast. D. Verde)
39'
S. Babicka
(ast. T. Cukur)
87'
70'
A. Sowe
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Rizespor a 39% win probability (draw 32%, Fatih Karagümrük 28%). The final result was Fatih Karagümrük 2–1 Rizespor. In 1 previous meetings, Fatih Karagümrük have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Rizespor.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
10
5
Shots on target
2
1.32
Actual xG
1.55
1
Saves
3
37%
Possession
63%
0
Corners
3
19
Tackles
18
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽Serginho
· ast. D. Verde
39'
58'
Samet Akaydın
60'
A. Sowe
/
I. Olawoyin
D. Verde
/ T. Cukur
69'
70'
A. Sowe⚽
73'
G. Papanikolaou
/
T. Antalyali
73'
A. Zeqiri
/
L. Augusto
74'
Casper Højer
Serginho
/ B. Kalayci
76'
Çağtay Kurukalıp
78'
C. Kurukalip
/ M. Kadioglu
86'
S. Larsson
/ T. Ahmed
86'
⚽S. Babicka
· ast. T. Cukur
87'
90'+1
F. Pierrot
/
H. Dervisoglu
90'+1
E. Bulut
/
C. Hojer
Pre-match prediction
28.7%
Fatih ←
32.2%
X
39.1%
Rizespor
we assigned to the actual result (Fatih Karagümrük)
28.7%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.06
1.32
+0.26
1.34
1.55
+0.21
xG dominance was balanced (1.32 – 1.55).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
13
G
33
Çağtay Kurukalıp
86'
D
3
Igor Lichnovsky
D
4
D
47
D
80
S. Babicka
1 ⚽
M
8
B. Ozcan
M
6
B. Elmaz
M
10
D. Verde
1 👟
69'
M
23
S. Larsson
86'
F
70
Serginho
1 ⚽
76'
F
Bench
94
A. Cinar
D
72
B. Kalayci
14'
F
88
T. Ahmed
10'
F
21
T. Cukur
1 👟
21'
F
75
Y. Fofana
G
5
Casper Højer
89'
D
27
Modibo Sagnan
D
3
S. Akaydin
D
54
M. Pala
D
14
T. Antalyali
73'
M
7
V. Mihaila
M
20
Q. Laci
M
10
I. Olawoyin
60'
M
50
L. Augusto
73'
M
11
H. Dervisoglu
89'
F
Bench
4
A. Mocsi
D
9
A. Sowe
1 ⚽
30'
F
6
G. Papanikolaou
17'
M
Best on the pitch
S. Babicka
M · Fatih
8.00
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 22 pass
Serginho
F · Fatih
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 14 pass
D. Verde
M · Fatih
7.50
1 👟
2 shots
· 16 pass
S. Akaydin
D · Rizespor
7.30
1 shots
· 86 pass
Q. Laci
M · Rizespor
7.30
1 shots
· 54 pass
S. Larsson
F · Fatih
7.20
1 shots
· 31 pass
Fatih Karagümrük — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 38 | 21% | — | — | — | |
| Çağtay Kurukalıp | D | 86 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 14% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Igor Lichnovsky | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 27 | 20% | 3 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 34 | 29% | 1 | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 27 | 21% | 3 | — | — | |
| S. Babicka | M | 90 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 2 | 22 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Ozcan | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 30% | 3 | — | — |
| B. Elmaz | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 50 | 42% | — | — | — |
| D. Verde | M | 69 | 7.50 | — | 1 | 2 | 16 | 15% | — | — | — |
| S. Larsson | F | 86 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| Serginho | F | 76 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 2 | 14 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Kalayci | F | 14 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Ahmed | F | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| T. Cukur | F | 21 | 7.00 | — | 1 | — | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
Rizespor — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y. Fofana | G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 37 | 31% | — | — | — |
| Casper Højer | D | 89 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 64 | 56% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Modibo Sagnan | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 72 | 64% | 3 | — | — |
| S. Akaydin | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 86 | 75% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Pala | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 43% | 7 | — | — |
| T. Antalyali | M | 73 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 46 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| V. Mihaila | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 3 | 39 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| Q. Laci | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 54 | 42% | 4 | — | — |
| I. Olawoyin | M | 60 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 26% | — | — | — |
| L. Augusto | M | 73 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 35 | 31% | — | — | — |
| H. Dervisoglu | F | 89 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 17 | 14% | — | — | — |
| A. Sowe | F | 30 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| G. Papanikolaou | M | 17 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Fatih Karagümrük vs Rizespor?
The final score was Fatih Karagümrük 2–1 Rizespor.
What did the model predict before Fatih Karagümrük vs Rizespor?
The model assigned 28% probability to a Fatih Karagümrük win, 32% to a draw, and 39% to an Rizespor win.