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Fátima - Academico Viseu

Taça de Portugal October 17, 2026 16:00
Fátima
vs
Academico Viseu
⚡ Pre-match analysis
40.24%
Win
Fátima
29.95%
Draw
29.81%
Win
Academico Viseu
4.5
Expected xG
1.37

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (9.84%)
1X2 Result
1 40%
X 30%
2 30%
Double Chance
1X 70%
X2 60%
12 70%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 77%
Over 2.5 56%
✓ 63.6% hit rate (44 picks)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Fátima a 40% win probability, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Academico Viseu. Expected goals are 4.5 for Fátima and 1.4 for Academico Viseu (total 5.9), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 9.84% probability.

Season Stats

Fátima
2W 0D 1L
Academico Viseu
2W 1D 0L
Averages per game
2.3
Goals
1.7
1.7
Conceded
0.3
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
67%
100%
O 2.5
67%
67%
BTTS
33%
0%
Clean Sht
67%
ℹ Based on the last 3 matches in Taça de Portugal. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
50%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
Fátima
2W 0D 0L · at home
Academico Viseu
1W 1D 0L · away
3.5
gls/g
1.5
1.0
Conceded
0.0
100%
Win %
50%
100%
Win or Draw
100%
100%
O 1.5
50%
100%
O 2.5
50%
100%
O 3.5
0%
100%
BTTS
0%
0%
Clean Sht
100%
0%
Failed to Score
50%
last 2
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Fátima Academico Viseu →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% — —
1 1.3% 1.7% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
2 2.9% 3.9% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
3 4.3% 5.9% 4.0% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
4 4.8% 6.6% 4.5% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
5 4.3% 5.9% 4.1% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2%

Recent form

Fátima Fátima
W Vinhais 4–1
W Benfica Castelo Branco 3–1
L Caldas 3–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 20%
Academico Viseu Academico Viseu
D AVS 0–0
W GIL Vicente 2–1
W Portalegrense 0–3
Away clean sheet (120 days) 30%

Playing profile

Fátima Fátima
Attack
84
Defence
73
Form
82
Academico Viseu Academico Viseu
Attack
31
Defence
59
Form
58
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Fátima vs Academico Viseu?
The model gives Fátima a 40% win probability, 29% for a draw, and 29% for an Academico Viseu win.
How many goals are expected in Fátima vs Academico Viseu?
Expected goals: Fátima 4.5, Academico Viseu 1.4 (total 5.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Fátima vs Academico Viseu?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.84%.