Fátima - Benfica Castelo Branco
Taça de Portugal
August 30, 2026 18:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.33%
Win
Fátima
33.33%
Draw
33.33%
Win
Benfica Castelo Branco
1.43
4.5
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(12.1%)
1X2 Result
1
33%
X
33%
2
33%
Double Chance
1X
67%
X2
67%
12
67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
52%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Fátima a 33% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 33% for Benfica Castelo Branco. Expected goals are 1.4 for Fátima and 4.5 for Benfica Castelo Branco (total 5.9), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 12.1% probability.
Season Stats
0W
0D
1L
1W
1D
0L
Averages per game
0.0
Goals
4.0
3.0
Conceded
1.0
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
50%
0%
BTTS
100%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ
Based on the last 2 matches in Taça de Portugal. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ Fátima
Benfica Castelo Branco →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.3% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% |
| 1 | 0.4% | 1.7% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% |
| 2 | 0.3% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% |
| 4 | — | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% |
| 5 | — | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
Playing profile
Fátima
Attack
0
Defence
25
Form
24
Benfica Castelo Branco
Attack
59
Defence
75
Form
62
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Fátima vs Benfica Castelo Branco?
The model gives Fátima a 33% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 33% for an Benfica Castelo Branco win.
How many goals are expected in Fátima vs Benfica Castelo Branco?
Expected goals: Fátima 1.4, Benfica Castelo Branco 4.5 (total 5.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Fátima vs Benfica Castelo Branco?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.1%.