Fátima - Vinhais
Taça de Portugal
September 20, 2026 16:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.33%
Win
Fátima
33.33%
Draw
33.33%
Win
Vinhais
4.5
1.35
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(11.49%)
1X2 Result
1
33%
X
33%
2
33%
Double Chance
1X
67%
X2
67%
12
67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
52%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Fátima a 33% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 33% for Vinhais. Expected goals are 4.5 for Fátima and 1.3 for Vinhais (total 5.8), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.49% probability.
Season Stats
1W
0D
1L
0W
0D
1L
Averages per game
1.5
Goals
1.0
2.0
Conceded
3.0
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
100%
50%
BTTS
100%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ
Based on the last 2 matches in Taça de Portugal. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ Fátima
Vinhais →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 1 | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | — |
| 2 | 2.9% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 4 | 4.9% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 5 | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
Playing profile
Fátima
Attack
68
Defence
70
Form
79
Vinhais
Attack
25
Defence
25
Form
26
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Fátima vs Vinhais?
The model gives Fátima a 33% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 33% for an Vinhais win.
How many goals are expected in Fátima vs Vinhais?
Expected goals: Fátima 4.5, Vinhais 1.3 (total 5.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Fátima vs Vinhais?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.49%.