Taça de Portugal
· Round of 64
October 17, 2026 16:30
I. Magalhaes
79'
65'
T. Moustier
85'
T. Moustier
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Fazendense a 36% win probability (draw 28%, Estrela 34%). The final result was Fazendense 1–2 Estrela.
Match statistics
Match Events
64'
B. Souza
/
Alisson Souza
64'
A. Marcus
/
I. Stoica
65'
T. Moustier⚽
M. Pires
/ D. A. Bacalhau C. F. T.
70'
77'
L. Zvonarek
/
Joan Jordan
77'
H. Poniewas
/
L. Antonetti
78'
T. Moustier
⚽I. Magalhaes
79'
85'
T. Moustier⚽
87'
M. Scholze
/
J. Encada
T. Gomez
/ G. Barbosa
87'
A. Fernandes
/ D. Costa
87'
88'
Pre-match prediction
36.57%
Fazendense
28.95%
X
34.48%
Estrela ←
we assigned to the actual result (Estrela)
34.48%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.85
—
—
0.85
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Fazendense vs Estrela?
The final score was Fazendense 1–2 Estrela.
What did the model predict before Fazendense vs Estrela?
The model assigned 36% probability to a Fazendense win, 28% to a draw, and 34% to an Estrela win.