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Liga 1 · Clausura - 14 October 30, 2026 01:30 Estadio Monumental de la UNSA, Arequipa
FBC Melgar
#3 · 54 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Comerciantes Unidos
#9 · 21 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction FBC Melgar, result Draw
Johnny Vidales (ast. Cristian Bordacahar) 9'
86' (ast. Matías Eric Sen) Jose Antonio·Parodi
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FBC Melgar a 72% win probability (draw 15%, Comerciantes Unidos 12%). The final result was FBC Melgar 1–1 Comerciantes Unidos. In 1 previous meetings, FBC Melgar have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Comerciantes Unidos.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
21
4
Shots on target
8
0.72
Actual xG
1.39
7
Saves
3
34%
Possession
66%
6
Corners
4
10
Tackles
6
1
🟨 Yellow cards
5
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
4'
Horacio Orzan
4'
⚽Johnny Vidales · ast. Cristian Bordacahar
9'
20'
Matías Cordova
Miguel Rondelli
28'
29'
Jhon Sánchez / Piero Guzmán ↕
Lautaro Guzmán
45'+1
45'+1
Matías Eric Sen
45'
Alexis Cossio / Daniel Lino ↕
45'
Thiago Alessandro Salinas Melgar / Yimy Gamero ↕
49'
Juan Rodríguez
55'
↕ Johnny Vidales / Franco Zanelatto
64'
66'
Maximiliano Pérez / Josuee Herrera ↕
67'
Agustín Rodríguez
70'
Jean Olivares / Agustín Rodríguez ↕
↕ Lautaro Guzmán / Matias Zegarra
70'
↕ Nicolas Quagliata / Marcos Portillo
77'
86'
ast. Matías Eric Sen · Jose Antonio·Parodi⚽
90'+1
Flavio Alcedo
Pre-match prediction
72.61%
FBC
15.09%
X ←
12.3%
Comerciantes
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 15.09% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
FBC
2.90
0.72
-2.18
Comerciantes
1.05
1.39
+0.34
Comerciantes Unidos dominated by xG (1.39 vs 0.72). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima 31 65
2 Universitario Universitario 30 56
3 FBC Melgar FBC Melgar 31 54
4 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso 31 51
5 Cusco Cusco 31 51
6 Cienciano Cienciano 31 50
7 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 31 47
8 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 31 46
9 Club Deportivo Los Chankas Club Deportivo Los Chankas 31 46
10 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 31 44
11 Sport Boys Sport Boys 30 41
12 Juan Pablo II College Juan Pablo II College 31 41
13 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 31 35
14 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 31 34
15 ADT ADT 31 30
16 FC Cajamarca FC Cajamarca 31 28
17 UCV Moquegua UCV Moquegua 31 28
18 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 31 18
Lineups
FBC Melgar FBC Melgar 4-2-3-1
21 J. Cabezudo J. Cabezudo G 7.57
27 N. Cabanillas N. Cabanillas D 6.87
3 L. González L. González D 6.44
5 A. Deneumostier A. Deneumostier D 6.70
33 M. Lazo M. Lazo D 6.84
25 K. Minda K. Minda M 6.39
66 H. Orzán H. Orzán 4' M 5.47
8 L. Guzmán L. Guzmán 70' M 6.06
10 N. Quagliata N. Quagliata 77' M 6.56
7 C. Bordacahar C. Bordacahar 1 👟 M 7.70
11 J. Vidales J. Vidales 1 ⚽ 64' F 8.01
Bench
12 C. Cáceda C. Cáceda G 0.00
77 F. Zanelatto F. Zanelatto 26' F 6.54
20 G. García G. García M 0.00
90 J. Alcántar J. Alcántar D 0.00
80 J. D´Arrigo J. D´Arrigo M 0.00
45 Matias Zegarra Matias Zegarra 20' D 6.66
26 M. Portillo M. Portillo 13' M 6.20
36 P. Nunez P. Nunez M 0.00
40 R. Yabiku R. Yabiku F 0.00
Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 4-2-3-1
17
G 6.68
19 D. Lino D. Lino 45' D 6.47
6 J. Rodriguez J. Rodriguez D 6.30
30 P. Guzmán P. Guzmán 29' D 6.24
40 F. Alcedo F. Alcedo D 6.37
54 Y. Gamero Y. Gamero 45' M 6.79
18 A. Rodríguez A. Rodríguez 70' M 6.41
11 J. Herrera J. Herrera 66' M 6.90
25 Rodrigo Gary Vilca Betetta Rodrigo Gary Vilca Betetta M 7.20
20 J. Parodi J. Parodi 1 ⚽ M 7.58
9 M. Sen M. Sen 1 👟 F 7.70
Bench
15 A. Cossio A. Cossio 45' D 6.59
50 J. Olivares J. Olivares 20' F 6.52
99 José Pablo Alejandro Charún Valdez José Pablo Alejandro Charún Valdez G 0.00
32 J. Sánchez J. Sánchez 61' F 6.27
10 M. Carpio M. Carpio M 0.00
13 M. Pérez M. Pérez 24' F 6.71
28 O. Pinto O. Pinto M 0.00
14 Thiago Salinas Thiago Salinas 45' M 7.20
8 W. Ayoví W. Ayoví F 0.00
Best on the pitch
J. Vidales
J. Vidales
F · FBC
8.01
1 ⚽
1 shots · 12 pass
M. Sen
M. Sen
F · Comerciantes
7.70
1 👟
4 shots · 15 pass
C. Bordacahar
C. Bordacahar
M · FBC
7.70
1 👟
2 shots · 22 pass
J. Parodi
J. Parodi
M · Comerciantes
7.58
1 ⚽
1 shots · 50 pass
J. Cabezudo
J. Cabezudo
G · FBC
7.57
· 32 pass
Thiago Salinas
Thiago Salinas
M · Comerciantes
7.20
· 32 pass
FBC Melgar FBC Melgar — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Cabezudo G 90 7.57 — — 0 32 14% 0 — —
N. Cabanillas D 90 6.87 — — 0 23 18% 4 — —
L. González D 90 6.44 — — 0 28 22% 1 — —
A. Deneumostier D 90 6.70 — — 0 21 19% 0 — —
M. Lazo D 90 6.84 — — 1 22 19% 0 — —
K. Minda M 90 6.39 — — 1 31 25% 0 — —
H. Orzán M 4 5.47 — — 0 0 0% 0 — 1
L. Guzmán M 70 6.06 — — 0 18 17% 2 1 —
N. Quagliata M 77 6.56 — — 3 17 14% 0 — —
C. Bordacahar M 90 7.70 — 1 2 22 16% 0 — —
J. Vidales F 64 8.01 1 — 1 12 11% 1 — —
F. Zanelatto F 26 6.54 — — 0 6 2% 1 — —
Matias Zegarra D 20 6.66 — — 3 2 2% 1 — —
M. Portillo M 13 6.20 — — 1 6 3% 0 — —
Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.68 — — 0 18 16% 0 1 —
D. Lino D 45 6.47 — — 0 19 18% 0 — —
J. Rodriguez D 90 6.30 — — 2 60 54% 1 1 —
P. Guzmán D 29 6.24 — — 0 14 12% 0 — —
F. Alcedo D 90 6.37 — — 2 49 44% 1 1 —
Y. Gamero M 45 6.79 — — 1 48 48% 0 — —
A. Rodríguez M 70 6.41 — — 0 37 33% 1 1 —
J. Herrera M 66 6.90 — — 5 24 22% 1 — —
Rodrigo Gary Vilca Betetta M 90 7.20 — — 1 61 54% 2 — —
J. Parodi M 90 7.58 1 — 1 50 39% 0 — —
M. Sen F 90 7.70 — 1 4 15 14% 0 1 —
A. Cossio D 45 6.59 — — 1 12 10% 0 — —
J. Olivares F 20 6.52 — — 2 15 10% 0 — —
J. Sánchez F 61 6.27 — — 1 24 18% 0 — —
M. Pérez F 24 6.71 — — 1 4 3% 0 — —
Thiago Salinas M 45 7.20 — — 0 32 28% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FBC Melgar vs Comerciantes Unidos?
The final score was FBC Melgar 1–1 Comerciantes Unidos.
What did the model predict before FBC Melgar vs Comerciantes Unidos?
The model assigned 72% probability to a FBC Melgar win, 15% to a draw, and 12% to an Comerciantes Unidos win.