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Liga 1 · Clausura - 4 August 09, 2026 22:30
FBC Melgar
#4 · 46 pts
2 – 4
Final score
FC Cajamarca
#12 · 10 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction FBC Melgar, result FC Cajamarca wins
J. Vidales 10'
J. Vidales (ast. B. Cuesta) 67'
25' (ast. M. Arrasco) M. Rasmussen
55' (ast. C. Meza) M. Arrasco
57' C. Meza
74' C. Meza
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FBC Melgar a 73% win probability (draw 17%, FC Cajamarca 9%). The final result was FBC Melgar 2–4 FC Cajamarca. In 1 previous meetings, FBC Melgar have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for FC Cajamarca.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
13
7
Shots on target
7
3
Saves
5
70%
Possession
30%
10
Corners
4
29
Tackles
10
3
🟨 Yellow cards
4
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
⚽J. Vidales
10'
24'
(missed pen.) M. Arrasco⚽
25'
ast. M. Arrasco · M. Rasmussen⚽
39'
M. Rasmussen
45'+1
C. A. Correa Flores
A. Deneumostier
51'
55'
ast. C. Meza · M. Arrasco⚽
57'
C. Meza⚽
59'
J. Betancourt / M. Rasmussen ↕
↕ C. Bordacahar / J. Caceres
60'
↕ N. Cabanillas / M. Zegarra
60'
↕ W. Tandazo / M. Portillo
60'
⚽J. Vidales · ast. B. Cuesta
67'
68'
M. Arrasco
68'
E. Aubert / C. A. Correa Flores ↕
M. Portillo
68'
↕ N. Quagliata / F. Zanelatto
72'
73'
R. Suarez
74'
C. Meza⚽
86'
C. Gomez / M. Arrasco ↕
86'
J. Vega / C. Meza ↕
A. Deneumostier
90'+7
M. Lazo
90'+8
Pre-match prediction
73.43%
FBC
17.08%
X
9.49%
FC ←
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (FC Cajamarca) 9.49% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
FBC
2.09
—
—
FC
0.50
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima 27 56
2 Universitario Universitario 27 49
3 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso 27 48
4 FBC Melgar FBC Melgar 27 46
5 Cusco Cusco 27 45
6 Club Deportivo Los Chankas Club Deportivo Los Chankas 26 41
7 Cienciano Cienciano 26 40
8 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 27 40
9 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 27 38
10 Sport Boys Sport Boys 27 38
11 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 27 35
12 Juan Pablo II College Juan Pablo II College 27 34
13 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 27 32
14 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 27 30
15 FC Cajamarca FC Cajamarca 27 27
16 ADT ADT 27 25
17 UCV Moquegua UCV Moquegua 27 25
18 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 27 15
Lineups
FBC Melgar FBC Melgar 3-4-2-1
21 J. Cabezudo J. Cabezudo G 6.20
3 L. González L. González D 6.00
5 A. Deneumostier A. Deneumostier D 6.30
33 M. Lazo M. Lazo D 6.70
27 N. Cabanillas N. Cabanillas 60' M 7.20
25 K. Minda K. Minda M 6.90
24 W. Tandazo W. Tandazo 60' M 6.30
7 C. Bordacahar C. Bordacahar 60' M 6.70
11 Jhonny Vidales Jhonny Vidales 2 ⚽ F 10.00
10 N. Quagliata N. Quagliata 72' F 7.50
9 B. Cuesta B. Cuesta 1 👟 F 6.60
Bench
12 C. Cáceda C. Cáceda G
77 F. Zanelatto F. Zanelatto 18' F 6.30
20 Gian García Gian García M
90 J. Alcántar J. Alcántar D
16 J. Cáceres J. Cáceres 30' M 6.60
80 J. D´Arrigo J. D´Arrigo M
8 L. Guzmán L. Guzmán F
45 Matías Zegarra Matías Zegarra 30' D 6.70
26 M. Portillo M. Portillo 30' M 7.30
FC Cajamarca FC Cajamarca 4-4-2
12 S. Aspajo Cohen S. Aspajo Cohen G 6.30
31 S. Enciso S. Enciso D 6.30
95 Y. Vílchez Y. Vílchez D 6.60
2 A. Pósito A. Pósito D 6.20
5 R. Suarez R. Suarez D 6.50
6 M. Rasmussen M. Rasmussen 1 ⚽ 59' M 7.20
13 C. Correa C. Correa 68' M 5.90
18 Jefferson Gabriel Orejuela Izquierdo Jefferson Gabriel Orejuela Izquierdo M 6.90
20 C. Meza C. Meza 2 ⚽ 1 👟 86' M 8.90
11 M. Arrasco M. Arrasco 1 ⚽ 1 👟 86' F 7.20
17 B. Palacios B. Palacios F 7.50
Bench
14 A. Gutiérrez A. Gutiérrez D
44 Carlos Daniel Gómez Ccasani Carlos Daniel Gómez Ccasani 14' D 6.70
88 Edson Aubert Edson Aubert 22' M 6.30
26 Hairo Timaná Hairo Timaná D
3 J. Medina J. Medina G
27 Jonathan Betancourt Jonathan Betancourt 31' M 6.30
21 J. Vega J. Vega 14' M 6.70
32 Patrick Alegría Patrick Alegría F
7 S. Pineau S. Pineau F
Best on the pitch
Jhonny Vidales
Jhonny Vidales
F · FBC
10.00
2 ⚽
2 shots · 18 pass
C. Meza
C. Meza
M · FC
8.90
2 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 17 pass
B. Palacios
B. Palacios
F · FC
7.50
2 shots · 27 pass
N. Quagliata
N. Quagliata
F · FBC
7.50
1 shots · 29 pass
M. Portillo
M. Portillo
M · FBC
7.30
· 31 pass
M. Rasmussen
M. Rasmussen
M · FC
7.20
1 ⚽
2 shots · 15 pass
FBC Melgar FBC Melgar — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Cabezudo G 90 6.20 — — — 19 16% — — —
L. González D 90 6.00 — — — 61 58% 2 — —
A. Deneumostier D 90 6.30 — — — 65 58% 3 1 1
M. Lazo D 90 6.70 — — — 53 47% 5 1 —
N. Cabanillas M 60 7.20 — — — 29 25% 4 — —
K. Minda M 90 6.90 — — — 59 53% 3 — —
W. Tandazo M 60 6.30 — — — 20 15% 3 — —
C. Bordacahar M 60 6.70 — — 1 23 16% — — —
Jhonny Vidales F 90 10.00 2 — 2 18 15% 1 — —
N. Quagliata F 72 7.50 — — 1 29 26% — — —
B. Cuesta F 90 6.60 — 1 7 31 24% — — —
F. Zanelatto F 18 6.30 — — — 3 2% — — —
J. Cáceres M 30 6.60 — — 1 18 12% 3 — —
Matías Zegarra D 30 6.70 — — — 16 14% 3 — —
M. Portillo M 30 7.30 — — — 31 24% 2 1 —
FC Cajamarca FC Cajamarca — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
S. Aspajo Cohen G 90 6.30 — — — 23 7% — — —
S. Enciso D 90 6.30 — — 2 18 14% 2 — —
Y. Vílchez D 90 6.60 — — — 13 10% 1 — —
A. Pósito D 90 6.20 — — — 13 7% — — —
R. Suarez D 90 6.50 — — — 11 9% — 1 —
M. Rasmussen M 59 7.20 1 — 2 15 12% 4 1 —
C. Correa M 68 5.90 — — — 8 7% — 1 —
Jefferson Gabriel Orejuela Izquierdo M 90 6.90 — — — 18 13% 1 — —
C. Meza M 86 8.90 2 1 2 17 14% — — —
M. Arrasco F 86 7.20 1 1 5 20 17% — 1 —
B. Palacios F 90 7.50 — — 2 27 17% 2 — —
Carlos Daniel Gómez Ccasani D 14 6.70 — — — 1 — — — —
Edson Aubert M 22 6.30 — — — 9 9% — — —
Jonathan Betancourt M 31 6.30 — — — 16 12% — — —
J. Vega M 14 6.70 — — — 2 2% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FBC Melgar vs FC Cajamarca?
The final score was FBC Melgar 2–4 FC Cajamarca.
What did the model predict before FBC Melgar vs FC Cajamarca?
The model assigned 73% probability to a FBC Melgar win, 17% to a draw, and 9% to an FC Cajamarca win.