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FBC Melgar - Sport Huancayo

Liga 1 May 16, 2026 20:00
FBC Melgar
#5 · 21 pts
vs
Sport Huancayo
#14 · 15 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
60.08%
Win
FBC Melgar
22.26%
Draw
17.66%
Win
Sport Huancayo
1.79
Expected xG
0.72
Model prediction
FBC Melgar
60.08%
Probability
80.0%
1X2 accuracy · 15 predictions (3 months)

The ForzaPitch prediction gives FBC Melgar a 60% win probability, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Sport Huancayo. Expected goals are 1.8 for FBC Melgar and 0.7 for Sport Huancayo (total 2.5), with a 72% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 14.5% probability.

Score Matrix
↕ FBC Melgar Sport Huancayo →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.1% 5.8% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% —
1 14.5% 10.5% 3.8% 0.9% 0.2% —
2 13.0% 9.4% 3.4% 0.8% 0.1% —
3 7.8% 5.6% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% —
4 3.5% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% — —
5 1.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% — —
Recent form
FBC Melgar FBC Melgar
D Comerciantes Unidos 1–1
W UTC Cajamarca 2–0
L Deportivo Garcilaso 1–0
W Universitario 2–1
W Sport Boys 1–3
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 43%
Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo
W Juan Pablo II College 2–1
L Alianza Atletico 4–1
L Cusco 2–1
W Deportivo Garcilaso 2–1
D UTC Cajamarca 2–2
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 20%
Playing profile
FBC Melgar FBC Melgar
Attack
32
Defence
70
Form
55
Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo
Attack
32
Defence
55
Form
35
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima 14 33
2 Club Deportivo Los Chankas Club Deportivo Los Chankas 14 30
3 Cienciano Cienciano 14 29
4 Universitario Universitario 14 25
5 FBC Melgar FBC Melgar 14 21
6 Cusco Cusco 14 21
7 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 14 20
8 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso 14 19
9 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 14 17
10 ADT ADT 14 17
11 UCV Moquegua UCV Moquegua 14 17
12 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 14 16
13 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 14 16
14 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 14 15
15 Juan Pablo II College Juan Pablo II College 14 15
16 Sport Boys Sport Boys 14 13
17 FC Cajamarca FC Cajamarca 14 12
18 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 14 10
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win FBC Melgar vs Sport Huancayo?
The model gives FBC Melgar a 60% win probability, 22% for a draw, and 17% for an Sport Huancayo win.
How many goals are expected in FBC Melgar vs Sport Huancayo?
Expected goals: FBC Melgar 1.8, Sport Huancayo 0.7 (total 2.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 72%.
What is the most likely score in FBC Melgar vs Sport Huancayo?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 14.5%.