Liga 1
· Clausura - 2
July 26, 2026 03:00
✓Model correct — prediction FBC Melgar
N. Quagliata
28'
J. Vidales
62'
(pen.)
76'
(ast. M. Castro)
I. Avila
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FBC Melgar a 68% win probability (draw 18%, Sporting Cristal 13%). The final result was FBC Melgar 2–1 Sporting Cristal. In 1 previous meetings, FBC Melgar have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Sporting Cristal.
Match statistics
19
Total shots
9
7
Shots on target
4
3
Saves
5
57%
Possession
43%
4
Corners
2
13
Tackles
8
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽N. Quagliata
28'
K. Minda
29'
39'
C. Cabellos
46'
I. Wisdom
/
C. Cabellos
46'
S. Gonzalez
/
L. Iberico
46'
R. Lutiger
/
J. Gonzalez
61'
R. Lutiger
⚽J. Vidales
(pen.)
62'
65'
I. Avila
/
M. Hoyos
65'
H. Barcos
/
M. Tavara
C. Bordacahar
/ J. Caceres
72'
76'
ast. M. Castro ·
I. Avila⚽
J. Vidales
/ M. Zegarra
77'
N. Quagliata
/ J. D'Arrigo
87'
N. Cabanillas
/ M. Portillo
87'
89'
Y. Yotun
Pre-match prediction
68.07%
FBC ←
18.72%
X
13.2%
Sporting
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (FBC Melgar)
68.07%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.04
—
—
0.59
—
—
Lineups
21
J. Cabezudo
G
J. Cabezudo
G
27
N. Cabanillas
87'
D
N. Cabanillas
87'
D
3
L. González
D
L. González
D
23
J. Escobar
D
J. Escobar
D
33
M. Lazo
D
M. Lazo
D
25
K. Minda
M
K. Minda
M
24
W. Tandazo
M
W. Tandazo
M
11
Jhonny Vidales
1 ⚽
77'
M
Jhonny Vidales
1 ⚽
77'
M
10
N. Quagliata
1 ⚽
87'
M
N. Quagliata
1 ⚽
87'
M
7
C. Bordacahar
72'
M
C. Bordacahar
72'
M
9
B. Cuesta
F
B. Cuesta
F
Bench
5
A. Deneumostier
D
A. Deneumostier
D
12
C. Cáceda
G
C. Cáceda
G
77
F. Zanelatto
F
F. Zanelatto
F
90
J. Alcántar
D
J. Alcántar
D
16
J. Cáceres
22'
M
J. Cáceres
22'
M
80
J. D´Arrigo
7'
M
J. D´Arrigo
7'
M
8
L. Guzmán
F
L. Guzmán
F
45
Matías Zegarra
17'
D
Matías Zegarra
17'
D
26
M. Portillo
7'
M
M. Portillo
7'
M
1
D. Enríquez
G
D. Enríquez
G
90
Cris Silva
D
Cris Silva
D
96
L. Abram
D
L. Abram
D
20
Miguel Araujo
D
Miguel Araujo
D
18
J. González
45'
D
J. González
45'
D
19
Yoshimar Yotún
M
Yoshimar Yotún
M
25
G. Távara
65'
M
G. Távara
65'
M
21
C. Cabellos
45'
M
C. Cabellos
45'
M
23
M. Castro
1 👟
F
M. Castro
1 👟
F
22
M. Hoyos
65'
F
M. Hoyos
65'
F
16
L. Iberico
45'
F
L. Iberico
45'
F
Bench
33
C. Bautista
G
C. Bautista
G
2
Duham Ballumbrosio
D
Duham Ballumbrosio
D
27
Gabriel
M
Gabriel
M
29
H. Barcos
29'
F
H. Barcos
29'
F
26
Ian Wisdom
49'
M
Ian Wisdom
49'
M
11
I. Ávila
1 ⚽
29'
F
I. Ávila
1 ⚽
29'
F
32
L. Díaz
D
L. Díaz
D
5
R. Lutiger
49'
D
R. Lutiger
49'
D
7
S. González
49'
F
S. González
49'
F
Best on the pitch
N. Quagliata
M · FBC
8.70
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 47 pass
I. Ávila
F · Sporting
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 7 pass
M. Lazo
D · FBC
7.60
1 shots
· 67 pass
W. Tandazo
M · FBC
7.20
· 78 pass
Jhonny Vidales
M · FBC
7.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 36 pass
Ian Wisdom
M · Sporting
6.90
· 19 pass
FBC Melgar — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Cabezudo | G | 94 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 21 | 15% | — | — | — |
| N. Cabanillas | D | 87 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 40 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| L. González | D | 94 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 53 | 45% | — | — | — |
| J. Escobar | D | 94 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 51 | 46% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Lazo | D | 94 | 7.60 | — | — | 1 | 67 | 61% | 4 | — | — |
| K. Minda | M | 94 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 59 | 53% | 1 | 1 | — |
| W. Tandazo | M | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 78 | 67% | 1 | — | — |
| Jhonny Vidales | M | 77 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 36 | 32% | — | — | — |
| N. Quagliata | M | 87 | 8.70 | 1 | — | 4 | 47 | 38% | 3 | — | — |
| C. Bordacahar | M | 72 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 26 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Cuesta | F | 94 | 6.50 | — | — | 5 | 25 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Cáceres | M | 22 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 18 | 16% | — | — | — |
| J. D´Arrigo | M | 7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Matías Zegarra | D | 17 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| M. Portillo | M | 7 | — | — | — | 1 | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
Sporting Cristal — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Enríquez | G | 94 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 33 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Cris Silva | D | 94 | 5.50 | — | — | — | 46 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Abram | D | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 37 | 31% | — | — | — |
| Miguel Araujo | D | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| J. González | D | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 23 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Yoshimar Yotún | M | 94 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 66 | 56% | 1 | 1 | — |
| G. Távara | M | 65 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 24% | — | — | — |
| C. Cabellos | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 19% | — | 1 | — |
| M. Castro | F | 94 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 25 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Hoyos | F | 65 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 9% | — | — | — |
| L. Iberico | F | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 21 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Barcos | F | 29 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Ian Wisdom | M | 49 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| I. Ávila | F | 29 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 7 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Lutiger | D | 49 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 20% | — | 1 | — |
| S. González | F | 49 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FBC Melgar vs Sporting Cristal?
The final score was FBC Melgar 2–1 Sporting Cristal.
What did the model predict before FBC Melgar vs Sporting Cristal?
The model assigned 68% probability to a FBC Melgar win, 18% to a draw, and 13% to an Sporting Cristal win.