Liga 1
· Clausura - 2
July 26, 2026 03:00
✓Model correct — prediction FBC Melgar
N. Quagliata
28'
J. Vidales
62'
(pen.)
76'
(ast. M. Castro)
I. Avila
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FBC Melgar a 68% win probability (draw 18%, Sporting Cristal 13%). The final result was FBC Melgar 2–1 Sporting Cristal. In 1 previous meetings, FBC Melgar have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Sporting Cristal.
Match statistics
19
Total shots
9
7
Shots on target
4
3
Saves
5
57%
Possession
43%
4
Corners
2
13
Tackles
8
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽N. Quagliata
28'
K. Minda
29'
39'
C. Cabellos
46'
I. Wisdom
/
C. Cabellos
46'
S. Gonzalez
/
L. Iberico
46'
R. Lutiger
/
J. Gonzalez
61'
R. Lutiger
⚽J. Vidales
(pen.)
62'
65'
I. Avila
/
M. Hoyos
65'
H. Barcos
/
M. Tavara
C. Bordacahar
/ J. Caceres
72'
76'
ast. M. Castro ·
I. Avila⚽
J. Vidales
/ M. Zegarra
77'
N. Quagliata
/ J. D'Arrigo
87'
N. Cabanillas
/ M. Portillo
87'
89'
Y. Yotun
Pre-match prediction
68.07%
FBC ←
18.72%
X
13.2%
Sporting
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (FBC Melgar)
68.07%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.04
—
—
0.59
—
—
Lineups
21
Jorge Cabezudo
G
Jorge Cabezudo
G
27
Nelson Cabanillas
87'
D
Nelson Cabanillas
87'
D
3
Leonel González
D
Leonel González
D
23
Juan Escobar
D
Juan Escobar
D
33
Matías Lazo
D
Matías Lazo
D
25
Kevin Minda
M
Kevin Minda
M
24
Walter Tandazo
M
Walter Tandazo
M
11
J. Vidales
1 ⚽
77'
M
J. Vidales
1 ⚽
77'
M
10
N. Quagliata
1 ⚽
87'
M
N. Quagliata
1 ⚽
87'
M
7
Cristian Bordacahar
72'
M
Cristian Bordacahar
72'
M
9
B. Cuesta
F
B. Cuesta
F
Bench
5
Alec Deneumostier
D
Alec Deneumostier
D
12
Carlos Cáceda
G
Carlos Cáceda
G
77
Franco Zanelatto
F
Franco Zanelatto
F
16
Jefferson Caceres
22'
M
Jefferson Caceres
22'
M
90
Jesus Alcantar
D
Jesus Alcantar
D
80
Jhamir D'Arrigo
7'
M
Jhamir D'Arrigo
7'
M
8
Lautaro Guzmán
F
Lautaro Guzmán
F
26
Marcos Portillo
7'
M
Marcos Portillo
7'
M
45
Matías Zegarra
17'
D
Matías Zegarra
17'
D
1
Diego Enríquez
G
Diego Enríquez
G
90
Cris Silva
D
Cris Silva
D
96
Luis Abram
D
Luis Abram
D
20
M. Araujo
D
M. Araujo
D
18
J. González
45'
D
J. González
45'
D
19
Y. Yotún
M
Y. Yotún
M
25
G. Távara
65'
M
G. Távara
65'
M
21
C. Cabellos
45'
M
C. Cabellos
45'
M
23
Maxloren Castro
1 👟
F
Maxloren Castro
1 👟
F
22
Michael Hoyos
65'
F
Michael Hoyos
65'
F
16
L. Iberico
45'
F
L. Iberico
45'
F
Bench
33
César Bautista
G
César Bautista
G
2
Duham Ballumbrosio
D
Duham Ballumbrosio
D
27
Gabriel Santana
M
Gabriel Santana
M
29
H. Barcos
29'
F
H. Barcos
29'
F
26
Ian Wisdom
49'
M
Ian Wisdom
49'
M
11
Irven Ávila
1 ⚽
29'
F
Irven Ávila
1 ⚽
29'
F
32
Leonardo Díaz
D
Leonardo Díaz
D
5
R. Lutiger
49'
D
R. Lutiger
49'
D
7
S. González
49'
F
S. González
49'
F
Best on the pitch
N. Quagliata
M · FBC
8.70
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 47 pass
Irven Ávila
F · Sporting
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 7 pass
Matías Lazo
D · FBC
7.60
1 shots
· 67 pass
Walter Tandazo
M · FBC
7.20
· 78 pass
J. Vidales
M · FBC
7.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 36 pass
Ian Wisdom
M · Sporting
6.90
· 19 pass
FBC Melgar — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jorge Cabezudo | G | 94 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 21 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Nelson Cabanillas | D | 87 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 40 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| Leonel González | D | 94 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 53 | 45% | — | — | — |
| Juan Escobar | D | 94 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 51 | 46% | 1 | — | — |
| Matías Lazo | D | 94 | 7.60 | — | — | 1 | 67 | 61% | 4 | — | — |
| Kevin Minda | M | 94 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 59 | 53% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Walter Tandazo | M | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 78 | 67% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Vidales | M | 77 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 36 | 32% | — | — | — |
| N. Quagliata | M | 87 | 8.70 | 1 | — | 4 | 47 | 38% | 3 | — | — |
| Cristian Bordacahar | M | 72 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 26 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Cuesta | F | 94 | 6.50 | — | — | 5 | 25 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Jefferson Caceres | M | 22 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 18 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Jhamir D'Arrigo | M | 7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Marcos Portillo | M | 7 | — | — | — | 1 | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Matías Zegarra | D | 17 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
Sporting Cristal — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diego Enríquez | G | 94 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 33 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Cris Silva | D | 94 | 5.50 | — | — | — | 46 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| Luis Abram | D | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 37 | 31% | — | — | — |
| M. Araujo | D | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| J. González | D | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 23 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Y. Yotún | M | 94 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 66 | 56% | 1 | 1 | — |
| G. Távara | M | 65 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 24% | — | — | — |
| C. Cabellos | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 19% | — | 1 | — |
| Maxloren Castro | F | 94 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 25 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Michael Hoyos | F | 65 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 9% | — | — | — |
| L. Iberico | F | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 21 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Barcos | F | 29 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Ian Wisdom | M | 49 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| Irven Ávila | F | 29 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 7 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Lutiger | D | 49 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 20% | — | 1 | — |
| S. González | F | 49 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FBC Melgar vs Sporting Cristal?
The final score was FBC Melgar 2–1 Sporting Cristal.
What did the model predict before FBC Melgar vs Sporting Cristal?
The model assigned 68% probability to a FBC Melgar win, 18% to a draw, and 13% to an Sporting Cristal win.