← Liga 1
Liga 1 · Regular Season - 11 April 20, 2026 02:15
#5 · 21 pts
2 – 1
Final score
#4 · 25 pts
M. Zegarra (ast. N. Quagliata) 1'
J. Vidales (ast. M. Zegarra) 5'
8' (ast. J. Carabali) J. Concha

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FBC Melgar a 38% win probability (draw 29%, Universitario 31%). The final result was FBC Melgar 2–1 Universitario.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
11
4
Shots on target
3
2
Saves
2
47%
Possession
53%
1
Corners
2
12
Tackles
16
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
M. Zegarra · ast. N. Quagliata
1'
J. Vidales · ast. M. Zegarra
5'
8'
ast. J. Carabali · J. Concha
J. Salas
15'
58'
W. Riveros
61'
A. Santamaria / W. Riveros
61'
H. Calcaterra / J. Carabali
61'
B. Reyna / E. Flores
L. Guzman / J. D'Arrigo
73'
J. Vidales / B. Cuesta
73'
73'
Miguel Silveira / H. Fertoli
78'
B. Reyna
79'
J. Rivera / J. Castillo
M. Zegarra / G. Bernaola
86'
N. Cabanillas / A. Ramos
86'
N. Quagliata / P. Erustes
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
38.83%
FBC ←
29.44%
X
31.73%
Universitario
we assigned to the actual result (FBC Melgar) 38.83% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
FBC
1.37
Universitario
1.16
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima 14 33
2 Club Deportivo Los Chankas Club Deportivo Los Chankas 14 30
3 Cienciano Cienciano 14 29
4 Universitario Universitario 14 25
5 FBC Melgar FBC Melgar 14 21
6 Cusco Cusco 14 21
7 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 14 20
8 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso 14 19
9 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 14 17
10 ADT ADT 14 17
11 UCV Moquegua UCV Moquegua 14 17
12 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 14 16
13 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 14 16
14 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 14 15
15 Juan Pablo II College Juan Pablo II College 14 15
16 Sport Boys Sport Boys 14 13
17 FC Cajamarca FC Cajamarca 14 12
18 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 14 10
Lineups
FBC Melgar FBC Melgar 4-4-2
12
G 6.70
27 Nelson Cabanillas Nelson Cabanillas 86' D 7.20
5 Alec Deneumostier Alec Deneumostier D 6.60
23
D 6.30
33 Matías Lazo Matías Lazo D 7.20
45 Matías Zegarra Matías Zegarra 1 ⚽ 1 👟 86' M 8.30
6 Javier Salas Javier Salas M 6.20
24 Walter Tandazo Walter Tandazo M 6.30
8 Lautaro Guzmán Lautaro Guzmán 73' M 6.50
10 Nicolás Quagliata Nicolás Quagliata 1 👟 89' F 7.20
11 Jhonny Vidales Jhonny Vidales 1 ⚽ 73' F 7.00
Bench
4 Alejandro Ramos Alejandro Ramos 8' D 6.90
9 Bernardo Cuesta Bernardo Cuesta 17' F 6.90
80 Jhamir D'Arrigo Jhamir D'Arrigo 17' M 6.90
22 Pablo Erustes Pablo Erustes 1' F
25
G 6.30
27 José Carabalí José Carabalí 1 👟 61' D 6.50
33 César Inga César Inga D 6.60
3 Williams Riveros Williams Riveros 61' D 6.20
2 Caín Fara Caín Fara D 6.90
24
D 6.00
17 Jairo Concha Jairo Concha 1 ⚽ M 8.00
6 Jesús Castillo Jesús Castillo 79' M 7.00
8 Héctor Fértoli Héctor Fértoli 73' M 6.30
19 Edison Flores Edison Flores 61' F 6.30
20 A. Valera A. Valera F 6.30
Bench
4 Anderson Santamaría Anderson Santamaría 29' D 6.90
77 Bryan Reyna Bryan Reyna 29' F 6.30
10
H. Calcaterra 29' M 6.70
23 Jorge Murrugarra Jorge Murrugarra M
11 José Rivera José Rivera 11' F 6.70
99 Miguel Silveira Miguel Silveira 17' M 6.70
90
S. Gassama F
Best on the pitch
Matías Zegarra
Matías Zegarra
M · FBC
8.30
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots · 14 pass
Jairo Concha
Jairo Concha
M · Universitario
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots · 43 pass
Nelson Cabanillas
Nelson Cabanillas
D · FBC
7.20
· 44 pass
Matías Lazo
Matías Lazo
D · FBC
7.20
· 42 pass
Nicolás Quagliata
Nicolás Quagliata
F · FBC
7.20
1 👟
3 shots · 45 pass
Jhonny Vidales
Jhonny Vidales
F · FBC
7.00
1 ⚽
1 shots · 19 pass
FBC Melgar FBC Melgar — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.70 26 15%
Nelson Cabanillas D 86 7.20 44 42% 1
Alec Deneumostier D 90 6.60 37 32% 1
D 90 6.30 33 27%
Matías Lazo D 90 7.20 42 33% 2
Matías Zegarra M 86 8.30 1 1 3 14 12% 1
Javier Salas M 90 6.20 42 37% 1 1
Walter Tandazo M 90 6.30 32 23% 1
Lautaro Guzmán M 73 6.50 22 18% 2
Nicolás Quagliata F 89 7.20 1 3 45 40%
Jhonny Vidales F 73 7.00 1 1 19 17% 2
Alejandro Ramos D 8 6.90 1 2 2%
Bernardo Cuesta F 17 6.90 6 5%
Jhamir D'Arrigo M 17 6.90 5 2%
Pablo Erustes F 1 1 1
Universitario Universitario — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.30 18 17%
José Carabalí D 61 6.50 1 23 19% 2
César Inga D 90 6.60 1 51 42%
Williams Riveros D 61 6.20 1 29 24% 1 1
Caín Fara D 90 6.90 1 54 47% 2
D 90 6.00 39 33%
Jairo Concha M 90 8.00 1 1 43 38% 1
Jesús Castillo M 79 7.00 44 41% 2
Héctor Fértoli M 73 6.30 30 26% 1
Edison Flores F 61 6.30 9 4% 1
A. Valera F 90 6.30 2 11 8% 1
Anderson Santamaría D 29 6.90 20 18% 1
Bryan Reyna F 29 6.30 1 6 4% 2 1
H. Calcaterra M 29 6.70 1 12 12%
José Rivera F 11 6.70 1 2 2% 2
Miguel Silveira M 17 6.70 2 3 2%
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FBC Melgar vs Universitario?
The final score was FBC Melgar 2–1 Universitario.
What did the model predict before FBC Melgar vs Universitario?
The model assigned 38% probability to a FBC Melgar win, 29% to a draw, and 31% to an Universitario win.