Liga 1
· Apertura - 13
May 04, 2026 01:00
✓Model correct — prediction FBC Melgar
B. Cuesta
(ast. J. Vidales)
74'
N. Quagliata
78'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FBC Melgar a 58% win probability (draw 22%, UTC Cajamarca 18%). The final result was FBC Melgar 2–0 UTC Cajamarca.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
6
7
Shots on target
2
2
Saves
5
63%
Possession
37%
11
Corners
1
9
Tackles
9
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
31'
J. Cantt
39'
A. Deneumostier
45'+4
L. Guzman
/ J. Caceres
60'
67'
A. Arroyo
/
A. Munoz
70'
D. Caro
M. Zegarra
/ B. Cuesta
71'
73'
L. Garro
/
D. Dioses
⚽B. Cuesta
· ast. J. Vidales
74'
⚽N. Quagliata
78'
79'
J. Nunez
/
J. Cantt
79'
S. Galvez
/
G. Paredes
79'
M. Rasmussen
/
D. Camacho
N. Quagliata
/ J. D'Arrigo
83'
N. Cabanillas
/ A. Ramos
83'
J. Salas
/ G. Bernaola
83'
Pre-match prediction
58.62%
FBC ←
22.46%
X
18.92%
UTC
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (FBC Melgar)
58.62%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.05
—
—
0.84
—
—
Lineups
21
G
27
N. Cabanillas
83'
D
N. Cabanillas
83'
D
5
A. Deneumostier
D
A. Deneumostier
D
23
D
33
M. Lazo
D
M. Lazo
D
6
Javier Salas
83'
M
Javier Salas
83'
M
24
W. Tandazo
M
W. Tandazo
M
45
Matías Zegarra
71'
M
Matías Zegarra
71'
M
10
N. Quagliata
1 ⚽
83'
M
N. Quagliata
1 ⚽
83'
M
8
L. Guzmán
60'
M
L. Guzmán
60'
M
11
Jhonny Vidales
1 👟
F
Jhonny Vidales
1 👟
F
Bench
4
A. Ramos
12'
D
A. Ramos
12'
D
9
B. Cuesta
1 ⚽
19'
F
B. Cuesta
1 ⚽
19'
F
80
J. D´Arrigo
12'
M
J. D´Arrigo
12'
M
17
J. De Santis
F
22
P. Erustes
F
P. Erustes
F
29
G
13
D. Caro
D
D. Caro
D
6
D
3
M. Ganoza
D
M. Ganoza
D
35
G. Paredes
79'
D
G. Paredes
79'
D
15
J. Cerro
79'
M
J. Cerro
79'
M
16
A. Figuera
M
A. Figuera
M
8
D. Dioses
73'
M
D. Dioses
73'
M
10
M. Lliuya
F
M. Lliuya
F
19
A. Muñoz
67'
F
A. Muñoz
67'
F
22
D. Camacho
79'
F
D. Camacho
79'
F
Bench
11
A. Arroyo
23'
F
A. Arroyo
23'
F
88
L. Arce
M
L. Arce
M
17
L. Garro
17'
D
L. Garro
17'
D
9
M. de Jesús
F
M. de Jesús
F
14
M. Rasmussen
11'
F
M. Rasmussen
11'
F
Best on the pitch
N. Cabanillas
D · FBC
7.90
· 53 pass
B. Cuesta
F · FBC
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 9 pass
M. Lliuya
F · UTC
7.30
2 shots
· 40 pass
G · FBC
7.20
· 18 pass
A. Deneumostier
D · FBC
7.20
· 75 pass
D · FBC
7.20
· 91 pass
FBC Melgar — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 18% | — | — | — | |
| N. Cabanillas | D | 83 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 53 | 46% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Deneumostier | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 75 | 68% | — | 1 | — |
| D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 91 | 83% | — | — | — | |
| M. Lazo | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 74 | 69% | — | — | — |
| Javier Salas | M | 83 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 54 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| W. Tandazo | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 39 | 36% | — | — | — |
| Matías Zegarra | M | 71 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 14% | — | — | — |
| N. Quagliata | M | 83 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 45 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Guzmán | M | 60 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Jhonny Vidales | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 2 | 23 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Ramos | D | 12 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | 3 | — | — |
| B. Cuesta | F | 19 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| J. D´Arrigo | M | 12 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
UTC Cajamarca — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 27 | 11% | — | — | — | |
| D. Caro | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 31 | 29% | 2 | 1 | — |
| D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 21 | 19% | — | — | — | |
| M. Ganoza | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 37 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Paredes | D | 79 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 21% | — | — | — |
| J. Cerro | M | 79 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 17% | 2 | 1 | — |
| A. Figuera | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 31 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Dioses | M | 73 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 37 | 24% | — | — | — |
| M. Lliuya | F | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 40 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Muñoz | F | 67 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 11% | — | — | — |
| D. Camacho | F | 79 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Arroyo | F | 23 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| L. Garro | D | 17 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| M. Rasmussen | F | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FBC Melgar vs UTC Cajamarca?
The final score was FBC Melgar 2–0 UTC Cajamarca.
What did the model predict before FBC Melgar vs UTC Cajamarca?
The model assigned 58% probability to a FBC Melgar win, 22% to a draw, and 18% to an UTC Cajamarca win.