Liga 1
· Apertura - 13
May 04, 2026 01:00
✓Model correct — prediction FBC Melgar
B. Cuesta
(ast. J. Vidales)
74'
N. Quagliata
78'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FBC Melgar a 58% win probability (draw 22%, UTC Cajamarca 18%). The final result was FBC Melgar 2–0 UTC Cajamarca.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
6
7
Shots on target
2
2
Saves
5
63%
Possession
37%
11
Corners
1
9
Tackles
9
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
31'
J. Cantt
39'
A. Deneumostier
45'+4
L. Guzman
/ J. Caceres
60'
67'
A. Arroyo
/
A. Munoz
70'
D. Caro
M. Zegarra
/ B. Cuesta
71'
73'
L. Garro
/
D. Dioses
⚽B. Cuesta
· ast. J. Vidales
74'
⚽N. Quagliata
78'
79'
J. Nunez
/
J. Cantt
79'
S. Galvez
/
G. Paredes
79'
M. Rasmussen
/
D. Camacho
N. Quagliata
/ J. D'Arrigo
83'
N. Cabanillas
/ A. Ramos
83'
J. Salas
/ G. Bernaola
83'
Pre-match prediction
58.62%
FBC ←
22.46%
X
18.92%
UTC
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (FBC Melgar)
58.62%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.05
—
—
0.84
—
—
Lineups
21
G
27
Nelson Cabanillas
83'
D
Nelson Cabanillas
83'
D
5
Alec Deneumostier
D
Alec Deneumostier
D
23
D
33
Matías Lazo
D
Matías Lazo
D
6
Javier Salas
83'
M
Javier Salas
83'
M
24
Walter Tandazo
M
Walter Tandazo
M
45
Matías Zegarra
71'
M
Matías Zegarra
71'
M
10
Nicolás Quagliata
1 ⚽
83'
M
Nicolás Quagliata
1 ⚽
83'
M
8
Lautaro Guzmán
60'
M
Lautaro Guzmán
60'
M
11
Jhonny Vidales
1 👟
F
Jhonny Vidales
1 👟
F
Bench
4
Alejandro Ramos
12'
D
Alejandro Ramos
12'
D
9
Bernardo Cuesta
1 ⚽
19'
F
Bernardo Cuesta
1 ⚽
19'
F
17
Jeriel De Santis
F
Jeriel De Santis
F
80
Jhamir D'Arrigo
12'
M
Jhamir D'Arrigo
12'
M
22
Pablo Erustes
F
Pablo Erustes
F
29
G
13
Dylan Caro
D
Dylan Caro
D
6
D
3
Manuel Ganoza
D
Manuel Ganoza
D
35
Gilmar Paredes
79'
D
Gilmar Paredes
79'
D
15
Joshua Cantt
79'
M
Joshua Cantt
79'
M
16
Arquímedes Figuera
M
Arquímedes Figuera
M
8
David Dioses
73'
M
David Dioses
73'
M
10
Marcos Lliuya
F
Marcos Lliuya
F
19
Adolfo Muñoz
67'
F
Adolfo Muñoz
67'
F
22
David Camacho
79'
F
David Camacho
79'
F
Bench
11
Abdiel Arroyo
23'
F
Abdiel Arroyo
23'
F
88
Luis Arce
M
Luis Arce
M
17
Luis Garro
17'
D
Luis Garro
17'
D
9
Marlon de Jesús
F
Marlon de Jesús
F
14
Michel Rasmussen
11'
F
Michel Rasmussen
11'
F
Best on the pitch
Nelson Cabanillas
D · FBC
7.90
· 53 pass
Bernardo Cuesta
F · FBC
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 9 pass
Marcos Lliuya
F · UTC
7.30
2 shots
· 40 pass
G · FBC
7.20
· 18 pass
Alec Deneumostier
D · FBC
7.20
· 75 pass
D · FBC
7.20
· 91 pass
FBC Melgar — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 18% | — | — | — | |
| Nelson Cabanillas | D | 83 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 53 | 46% | 2 | — | — |
| Alec Deneumostier | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 75 | 68% | — | 1 | — |
| D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 91 | 83% | — | — | — | |
| Matías Lazo | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 74 | 69% | — | — | — |
| Javier Salas | M | 83 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 54 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| Walter Tandazo | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 39 | 36% | — | — | — |
| Matías Zegarra | M | 71 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Nicolás Quagliata | M | 83 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 45 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
| Lautaro Guzmán | M | 60 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Jhonny Vidales | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 2 | 23 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Alejandro Ramos | D | 12 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | 3 | — | — |
| Bernardo Cuesta | F | 19 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Jhamir D'Arrigo | M | 12 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
UTC Cajamarca — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 27 | 11% | — | — | — | |
| Dylan Caro | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 31 | 29% | 2 | 1 | — |
| D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 21 | 19% | — | — | — | |
| Manuel Ganoza | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 37 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| Gilmar Paredes | D | 79 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Joshua Cantt | M | 79 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 17% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Arquímedes Figuera | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 31 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| David Dioses | M | 73 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 37 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Marcos Lliuya | F | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 40 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| Adolfo Muñoz | F | 67 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 11% | — | — | — |
| David Camacho | F | 79 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Abdiel Arroyo | F | 23 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Luis Garro | D | 17 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Michel Rasmussen | F | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FBC Melgar vs UTC Cajamarca?
The final score was FBC Melgar 2–0 UTC Cajamarca.
What did the model predict before FBC Melgar vs UTC Cajamarca?
The model assigned 58% probability to a FBC Melgar win, 22% to a draw, and 18% to an UTC Cajamarca win.