FC Aarau - Stade Nyonnais
Challenge League
August 07, 2026 20:15
⚡ Pre-match analysis
43.29%
Win
FC Aarau
28.56%
Draw
28.15%
Win
Stade Nyonnais
4.5
0.64
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
2–1
(9.18%)
1X2 Result
1
43%
X
29%
2
28%
Double Chance
1X
72%
X2
57%
12
71%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
77%
✓ 96.0% hit rate (25 picks)
Over 2.5
55%
✓ 80.0% hit rate (15 picks)
The ForzaPitch prediction gives FC Aarau a 43% win probability, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Stade Nyonnais. Expected goals are 4.5 for FC Aarau and 0.6 for Stade Nyonnais (total 5.1), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 9.18% probability. In 4 previous meetings, FC Aarau have won 2 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Stade Nyonnais.
Season Stats
9W
4D
2L
1W
3D
11L
Averages per game
2.3
Goals
0.7
1.4
Conceded
2.2
Percentages
87%
O 1.5
73%
73%
O 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
60%
33%
Clean Sht
13%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches in Challenge League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
40%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
6W
3D
1L
· at home
0W
3D
7L
· away
2.3
gls/g
0.4
1.2
Conceded
2.0
60%
Win %
0%
90%
Win or Draw
30%
80%
O 1.5
60%
60%
O 2.5
40%
50%
O 3.5
30%
60%
BTTS
40%
40%
Clean Sht
20%
0%
Failed to Score
60%
last 10
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ FC Aarau
Stade Nyonnais →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
| 1 | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 2 | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | — | — |
| 3 | 8.9% | 5.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — |
| 4 | 10.0% | 6.4% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — |
| 5 | 9.0% | 5.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
FC Aarau
Attack
34
Defence
40
Form
37
Stade Nyonnais
Attack
10
Defence
20
Form
11
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Neuchatel Xamax FC
|
2 | 6 |
| 2 |
Étoile Carouge
|
2 | 4 |
| 3 |
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
|
2 | 4 |
| 4 |
SC Kriens
|
2 | 3 |
| 5 |
FC WIL 1900
|
2 | 3 |
| 6 |
Rapperswil
|
2 | 3 |
| 7 |
Yverdon Sport
|
2 | 2 |
| 8 |
FC Winterthur
|
2 | 1 |
| 9 |
FC Aarau
|
2 | 1 |
| 10 |
Stade Nyonnais
|
2 | 0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win FC Aarau vs Stade Nyonnais?
The model gives FC Aarau a 43% win probability, 28% for a draw, and 28% for an Stade Nyonnais win.
How many goals are expected in FC Aarau vs Stade Nyonnais?
Expected goals: FC Aarau 4.5, Stade Nyonnais 0.6 (total 5.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in FC Aarau vs Stade Nyonnais?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.18%.