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FC Aarau - Yverdon Sport

Challenge League May 15, 2026 20:15
#1 · 79 pts
vs
#3 · 66 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
47.3%
Win
FC Aarau
19.46%
Draw
33.24%
Win
Yverdon Sport
2.42
Expected xG
2.32

The ForzaPitch prediction gives FC Aarau a 47% win probability, against 19% for a draw and 33% for Yverdon Sport. Expected goals are 2.4 for FC Aarau and 2.3 for Yverdon Sport (total 4.7), with a 84% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–2 at 6.9% probability. In 3 previous meetings, FC Aarau have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Yverdon Sport.

Score Matrix
↕ FC Aarau Yverdon Sport →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 0.9% 2.0% 2.4% 1.8% 1.1% 0.5%
1 2.1% 4.9% 5.7% 4.4% 2.6% 1.2%
2 2.6% 5.9% 6.9% 5.3% 3.1% 1.4%
3 2.1% 4.8% 5.6% 4.3% 2.5% 1.2%
4 1.2% 2.9% 3.4% 2.6% 1.5% 0.7%
5 0.6% 1.4% 1.6% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3%
Recent form
W FC Vaduz 1–2
W Stade Nyonnais 5–1
W Neuchatel Xamax FC 1–3
D FC WIL 1900 2–2
W Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 3–0
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 40%
W Rapperswil 3–1
W FC WIL 1900 0–1
L Étoile Carouge 3–5
W Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 0–3
D Neuchatel Xamax FC 2–2
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 33%
Playing profile
FC Aarau FC Aarau
Attack
60
Defence
64
Form
67
Yverdon Sport Yverdon Sport
Attack
68
Defence
66
Form
72
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 FC Aarau FC Aarau 35 79
2 FC Vaduz FC Vaduz 35 78
3 Yverdon Sport Yverdon Sport 35 66
4 Neuchatel Xamax FC Neuchatel Xamax FC 35 49
5 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 35 47
6 Rapperswil Rapperswil 35 41
7 FC WIL 1900 FC WIL 1900 35 40
8 Étoile Carouge Étoile Carouge 35 39
9 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais 35 28
10 Bellinzona Bellinzona 35 22
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win FC Aarau vs Yverdon Sport?
The model gives FC Aarau a 47% win probability, 19% for a draw, and 33% for an Yverdon Sport win.
How many goals are expected in FC Aarau vs Yverdon Sport?
Expected goals: FC Aarau 2.4, Yverdon Sport 2.3 (total 4.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 84%.
What is the most likely score in FC Aarau vs Yverdon Sport?
2–2 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 6.9%.