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Bundesliga · Regular Season - 5 October 10, 2026 15:30 WWK Arena, Augsburg
FC Augsburg
#9 · 9 pts
2 – 2
Final score
Bayern München
#1 · 17 pts
Robin Fellhauer 1'
Rodrigo Ribeiro 64'
55' (ast. Harry Kane) Ismael Saibari
80' (ast. Harry Kane) Nathaniel Brown
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bayern München a 44% win probability (draw 25%, FC Augsburg 29%). The final result was FC Augsburg 2–2 Bayern München. In 2 previous meetings, FC Augsburg have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Bayern München.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
30
5
Shots on target
10
2.45
Actual xG
5.08
8
Saves
3
30%
Possession
70%
5
Corners
9
26
Tackles
13
3
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
⚽Robin Fellhauer
1'
Chrislain Matsima
42'
Rodrigo Ribeiro
43'
51'
55'
ast. Harry Kane · Ismael Saibari⚽
Hennes Behrens
62'
↕ Seol Young-woo / Anton Kade
62'
⚽Rodrigo Ribeiro
64'
67'
Nathaniel Brown / Josip Stanišić ↕
67'
Serge Gnabry / Ismael Saibari ↕
↕ Rodrigo Ribeiro / Mert Kömür
75'
80'
ast. Harry Kane · Nathaniel Brown⚽
↕ Arijon Ibrahimovic / Michael Gregoritsch
82'
↕ Juma Bah / Jeffrey Gouweleeuw
82'
87'
Tom Bischof / Aleksandar Pavlović ↕
87'
Lennart Karl / Luis Díaz ↕
Pre-match prediction
29.41%
FC
25.71%
X ←
44.89%
Bayern
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 25.71% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
FC
2.60
2.45
-0.15
Bayern
2.71
5.08
+2.37
Bayern München dominated by xG (5.08 vs 2.45). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Bayern München Bayern München 7 17
2 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 7 17
3 SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 7 13
4 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 7 13
5 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 7 12
6 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 7 12
7 FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 7 10
8 SV Elversberg SV Elversberg 7 10
9 FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 7 9
10 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 7 9
11 Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 7 9
12 1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln 7 8
13 SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07 7 8
14 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 7 8
15 VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 7 6
16 FC Schalke 04 FC Schalke 04 7 6
17 Union Berlin Union Berlin 7 6
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 7 3
Lineups
FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 3-4-2-1
1 F. Dahmen F. Dahmen G 7.38
2 C. Brackelmann C. Brackelmann D 6.71
5 C. Matsima C. Matsima D 6.94
35 Abdulay Bah Abdulay Bah 82' D 6.53
16 Hennes Behrens Hennes Behrens M 5.97
32 F. Rieder F. Rieder M 6.78
4 H. Massengo H. Massengo M 6.57
7 Seol Young-Woo Seol Young-Woo 62' M 6.19
21 A. Ibrahimović A. Ibrahimović 82' M 6.40
19 R. Fellhauer R. Fellhauer 1 ⚽ M 7.40
9 Rodrigo Ribeiro Rodrigo Ribeiro 1 ⚽ 75' F 7.55
Bench
30 A. Kade A. Kade 28' M 6.26
6 J. Gouweleeuw J. Gouweleeuw 8' D 5.94
8 K. Suso K. Suso M 0.00
11 M. Gregoritsch M. Gregoritsch 8' F 6.46
10 M. Kömür M. Kömür 15' M 6.29
22 N. Labrović N. Labrović G 0.00
37 T. Schnitzer T. Schnitzer M 0.00
39 U. Ogundu U. Ogundu F 0.00
14 Y. Keitel Y. Keitel M 0.00
Bayern München Bayern München 4-2-3-1
1 M. Neuer M. Neuer G 6.48
19 A. Davies A. Davies D 6.83
4 J. Tah J. Tah D 6.33
2 D. Upamecano D. Upamecano D 6.90
44 J. Stanišić J. Stanišić 67' D 6.38
45 A. Pavlović A. Pavlović 87' M 7.20
6 J. Kimmich J. Kimmich M 7.03
14 L. Díaz L. Díaz 87' M 6.86
34 I. Saibari I. Saibari 1 ⚽ 67' M 7.51
17 M. Olise M. Olise M 7.20
9 H. Kane H. Kane 2 👟 F 8.15
Bench
39 Bara Ndiaye Bara Ndiaye M 0.00
21 H. Ito H. Ito D 0.00
40 J. Urbig J. Urbig G 0.00
3 Kim Min-Jae Kim Min-Jae D 0.00
42 L. Karl L. Karl 3' M 6.16
11 N. Brown N. Brown 1 ⚽ 23' D 7.73
23 S. Boey S. Boey D 0.00
7 S. Gnabry S. Gnabry 23' F 6.57
8 T. Bischof T. Bischof 3' M 6.28
Best on the pitch
H. Kane
H. Kane
F · Bayern
8.15
2 👟
8 shots · 20 pass
N. Brown
N. Brown
D · Bayern
7.73
1 ⚽
2 shots · 18 pass
Rodrigo Ribeiro
Rodrigo Ribeiro
F · FC
7.55
1 ⚽
2 shots · 14 pass
I. Saibari
I. Saibari
M · Bayern
7.51
1 ⚽
6 shots · 14 pass
R. Fellhauer
R. Fellhauer
M · FC
7.40
1 ⚽
3 shots · 18 pass
F. Dahmen
F. Dahmen
G · FC
7.38
· 37 pass
FC Augsburg FC Augsburg — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
F. Dahmen G 90 7.38 — — 0 37 15% 0 — —
C. Brackelmann D 90 6.71 — — 2 29 24% 2 — —
C. Matsima D 90 6.94 — — 1 23 23% 3 1 —
Abdulay Bah D 82 6.53 — — 1 23 23% 1 — —
Hennes Behrens M 90 5.97 — — 0 28 25% 6 1 —
F. Rieder M 90 6.78 — — 0 29 23% 5 — —
H. Massengo M 90 6.57 — — 0 24 22% 1 — —
Seol Young-Woo M 62 6.19 — — 1 22 16% 2 — —
A. Ibrahimović M 82 6.40 — — 1 26 18% 2 — —
R. Fellhauer M 90 7.40 1 — 3 18 11% 2 — —
Rodrigo Ribeiro F 75 7.55 1 — 2 14 7% 1 1 —
A. Kade M 28 6.26 — — 1 5 5% 0 — —
J. Gouweleeuw D 8 5.94 — — 0 1 1% 0 — —
M. Gregoritsch F 8 6.46 — — 0 3 0% 0 — —
M. Kömür M 15 6.29 — — 0 4 2% 1 — —
Bayern München Bayern München — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Neuer G 90 6.48 — — 0 17 15% 0 — —
A. Davies D 90 6.83 — — 1 54 51% 1 — —
J. Tah D 90 6.33 — — 0 56 54% 0 — —
D. Upamecano D 90 6.90 — — 2 62 57% 3 — —
J. Stanišić D 67 6.38 — — 0 47 41% 0 — —
A. Pavlović M 87 7.20 — — 0 99 90% 1 — —
J. Kimmich M 90 7.03 — — 1 123 109% 3 — —
L. Díaz M 87 6.86 — — 0 39 36% 2 — —
I. Saibari M 67 7.51 1 — 6 14 11% 1 — —
M. Olise M 90 7.20 — — 5 59 54% 1 — —
H. Kane F 90 8.15 — 2 8 20 15% 0 — —
L. Karl M 3 6.16 — — 1 11 10% 0 — —
N. Brown D 23 7.73 1 — 2 18 15% 0 — —
S. Gnabry F 23 6.57 — — 3 15 12% 0 — —
T. Bischof M 3 6.28 — — 1 12 12% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC Augsburg vs Bayern München?
The final score was FC Augsburg 2–2 Bayern München.
What did the model predict before FC Augsburg vs Bayern München?
The model assigned 29% probability to a FC Augsburg win, 25% to a draw, and 44% to an Bayern München win.