Bundesliga
· Regular Season - 33
May 09, 2026 15:30
M. Gregoritsch
24'
R. Fellhauer
(ast. M. Komur)
42'
M. Gregoritsch
72'
90'+2
(ast. R. Reitz)
G. Reyna
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Augsburg a 51% win probability (draw 21%, Borussia Mönchengladbach 27%). The final result was FC Augsburg 3–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach. In 1 previous meetings, FC Augsburg have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Borussia Mönchengladbach.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
7
10
Shots on target
2
2.46
Actual xG
0.62
2
Saves
7
39%
Possession
61%
3
Corners
1
16
Tackles
11
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
D. Giannoulis
/ R. Fellhauer
14'
⚽M. Gregoritsch
24'
28'
⚽R. Fellhauer
· ast. M. Komur
42'
45'+4
J. Scally
46'
L. Ullrich
/
F. Honorat
M. Wolf
56'
58'
R. Hack
/
W. Mohya
58'
G. Reyna
/
K. Stoger
58'
H. Bolin
/
F. C. Chiarodia
61'
P. Sander
K. Jakic
61'
M. Wolf
/ Y. Keitel
62'
K. Jakic
/ H. Massengo
62'
69'
⚽M. Gregoritsch
72'
M. Komur
/ A. Claude-Maurice
79'
M. Gregoritsch
/ R. Ribeiro
79'
87'
A. Sarco
/
S. Machino
90'+2
ast. R. Reitz ·
G. Reyna⚽
Pre-match prediction
51.95%
FC ←
21.01%
X
27.04%
Borussia
we assigned to the actual result (FC Augsburg)
51.95%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.08
2.46
+0.38
1.46
0.62
-0.84
FC Augsburg dominated by xG (2.46 vs 0.62).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
86'
G
16
Cedric Zesiger
86'
D
6
J. Gouweleeuw
86'
D
5
C. Matsima
86'
D
13
D. Giannoulis
14'
M
32
Fabian Rieder
86'
M
17
K. Jakic
62'
M
27
M. Wolf
62'
M
36
M. Komur
1 👟
79'
F
30
A. Kade
86'
F
38
M. Gregoritsch
2 ⚽
79'
F
M. Gregoritsch
2 ⚽
79'
F
Bench
20
A. Claude-Maurice
7'
M
4
H. Massengo
24'
M
31
Keven Schlotterbeck
D
19
R. Fellhauer
1 ⚽
72'
D
21
R. Ribeiro
7'
F
33
M. Nicolas
86'
G
29
Joseph Scally
86'
D
2
F. C. Chiarodia
58'
D
4
K. Diks
86'
D
16
P. Sander
86'
D
7
K. Stöger
58'
M
K. Stöger
58'
M
6
Yannik Engelhardt
86'
M
27
R. Reitz
1 👟
86'
M
36
W. Mohya
58'
F
18
S. Machino
86'
F
9
F. Honorat
45'
F
F. Honorat
45'
F
Bench
13
G. Reyna
1 ⚽
28'
M
38
H. Bolin
28'
M
26
L. Ullrich
41'
D
25
R. Hack
28'
M
Best on the pitch
M. Gregoritsch
F · FC
8.20
2 ⚽
4 shots
· 16 pass
Fabian Rieder
M · FC
7.90
· 34 pass
M. Nicolas
G · Borussia
7.70
· 30 pass
A. Kade
F · FC
7.60
1 shots
· 21 pass
R. Fellhauer
D · FC
7.50
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 22 pass
Cedric Zesiger
D · FC
7.30
1 shots
· 33 pass
FC Augsburg — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 86 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 34 | 22% | — | — | — | |
| Cedric Zesiger | D | 86 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Gouweleeuw | D | 86 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 27 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Matsima | D | 86 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 23% | — | — | — |
| D. Giannoulis | M | 14 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Fabian Rieder | M | 86 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Jakic | M | 62 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 21 | 16% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Wolf | M | 62 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 12% | 4 | 1 | — |
| M. Komur | F | 79 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 4 | 16 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Kade | F | 86 | 7.60 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 13% | 4 | — | — |
| M. Gregoritsch | F | 79 | 8.20 | 2 | — | 4 | 16 | 10% | — | — | — |
| A. Claude-Maurice | M | 7 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| H. Massengo | M | 24 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| R. Fellhauer | D | 72 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 4 | 22 | 16% | — | — | — |
| R. Ribeiro | F | 7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
Borussia Mönchengladbach — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Nicolas | G | 86 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 30 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Joseph Scally | D | 86 | 5.00 | — | — | — | 39 | 23% | — | 1 | — |
| F. C. Chiarodia | D | 58 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 43 | 37% | — | — | — |
| K. Diks | D | 86 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 63 | 58% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Sander | D | 86 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 59 | 52% | 1 | 1 | — |
| K. Stöger | M | 58 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 50 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| Yannik Engelhardt | M | 86 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 61 | 51% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Reitz | M | 86 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 47 | 41% | 4 | — | — |
| W. Mohya | F | 58 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Machino | F | 86 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 13% | — | — | — |
| F. Honorat | F | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Reyna | M | 28 | 7.00 | 1 | — | — | 20 | 20% | — | — | — |
| H. Bolin | M | 28 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| L. Ullrich | D | 41 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Hack | M | 28 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC Augsburg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
The final score was FC Augsburg 3–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach.
What did the model predict before FC Augsburg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
The model assigned 51% probability to a FC Augsburg win, 21% to a draw, and 27% to an Borussia Mönchengladbach win.