Bundesliga · Regular Season - 27 March 22, 2026 19:30 WWK Arena, Augsburg

FC Augsburg

#3 · 7 pts

2 – 5

Final score

VfB Stuttgart

#14 · 3 pts

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave VfB Stuttgart a 49% win probability (draw 20%, FC Augsburg 30%). The final result was FC Augsburg 2–5 VfB Stuttgart. In 1 previous meetings, FC Augsburg have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for VfB Stuttgart.

Match statistics

7

Shots on target

8

1.20

Actual xG

3.77

39%

Possession

61%

2

Corners

5

Pre-match prediction

30.23%

FC

20.67%

X

49.1%

VfB ←

we assigned to the actual result (VfB Stuttgart) 49.1% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

FC

1.70

1.20

-0.5

VfB

2.19

3.77

+1.58

VfB Stuttgart dominated by xG (3.77 vs 1.20). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	SC Freiburg	3	9
2	Borussia Dortmund	3	9
3	FC Augsburg	3	7
4	RB Leipzig	3	6
5	SV Elversberg	2	6
6	Bayern München	2	4
7	Bayer Leverkusen	3	4
8	FSV Mainz 05	3	4
9	Eintracht Frankfurt	3	4
10	Werder Bremen	3	4
11	FC Schalke 04	3	4
12	1. FC Köln	3	4
13	1899 Hoffenheim	3	3
14	VfB Stuttgart	3	3
15	SC Paderborn 07	3	1
16	Union Berlin	3	1
17	Borussia Mönchengladbach	3	0
18	Hamburger SV	3	0