Bundesliga · Regular Season - 27 March 22, 2026 19:30 WWK Arena, Augsburg

FC Augsburg

#9 · 9 pts

2 – 5

Final score

VfB Stuttgart

#15 · 6 pts

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave VfB Stuttgart a 49% win probability (draw 20%, FC Augsburg 30%). The final result was FC Augsburg 2–5 VfB Stuttgart. In 1 previous meetings, FC Augsburg have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for VfB Stuttgart.

Match statistics

7

Shots on target

8

1.20

Actual xG

3.77

39%

Possession

61%

2

Corners

5

Pre-match prediction

30.23%

FC

20.67%

X

49.1%

VfB ←

we assigned to the actual result (VfB Stuttgart) 49.1% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

FC

1.70

1.20

-0.5

VfB

2.19

3.77

+1.58

VfB Stuttgart dominated by xG (3.77 vs 1.20). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Bayern München	7	17
2	Borussia Dortmund	7	17
3	SC Freiburg	7	13
4	Bayer Leverkusen	7	13
5	RB Leipzig	7	12
6	Werder Bremen	7	12
7	FSV Mainz 05	7	10
8	SV Elversberg	7	10
9	FC Augsburg	7	9
10	1899 Hoffenheim	7	9
11	Hamburger SV	7	9
12	1. FC Köln	7	8
13	SC Paderborn 07	7	8
14	Eintracht Frankfurt	7	8
15	VfB Stuttgart	7	6
16	FC Schalke 04	7	6
17	Union Berlin	7	6
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	7	3