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FC Basel 1893 - FC Aarau

Friendlies Clubs July 04, 2026 13:00
FC Basel 1893
vs
FC Aarau
⚡ Pre-match analysis
44.0%
Win
FC Basel 1893
27.19%
Draw
28.81%
Win
FC Aarau
4.38
Expected xG
1.64

Market probabilities

Most likely result 4–1 (6.1%)
1X2 Result
1 44%
X 27%
2 29%
Double Chance
1X 71%
X2 56%
12 73%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 78%
Over 2.5 61%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives FC Basel 1893 a 44% win probability, against 27% for a draw and 28% for FC Aarau. Expected goals are 4.4 for FC Basel 1893 and 1.6 for FC Aarau (total 6.0), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 4–1 at 6.1% probability.

Season Stats

FC Basel 1893
2W 0D 2L
FC Aarau
1W 0D 3L
Averages per game
3.5
Goals
2.0
3.5
Conceded
3.0
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
100%
75%
BTTS
100%
25%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ Based on the last 4 matches in Friendlies Clubs. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
100%
O 3.5
100%
BTTS
FC Basel 1893
0W 0D 2L · at home
FC Aarau
0W 0D 2L · away
3.5
gls/g
1.5
5.5
Conceded
3.5
0%
Win %
0%
0%
Win or Draw
0%
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
100%
100%
O 3.5
100%
100%
BTTS
100%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 2
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ FC Basel 1893 FC Aarau →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% —
1 1.1% 1.7% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
2 2.3% 3.8% 3.1% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2%
3 3.4% 5.6% 4.6% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3%
4 3.7% 6.1% 5.0% 2.7% 1.1% 0.4%
5 3.3% 5.4% 4.4% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3%

Recent form

FC Basel 1893 FC Basel 1893
D Juventus 0–0
D FC Winterthur 2–2
L Yverdon Sport 0–3
W Rapperswil 0–3
L FC Vaduz 2–5
Home clean sheet (120 days) 14%
FC Aarau FC Aarau
W Union Berlin 2–1
L Austria Lustenau 1–0
L St. Gallen II 1–3
W FC Schaffhausen 4–2
L FK Crvena Zvezda 4–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 28%

Playing profile

FC Basel 1893 FC Basel 1893
Attack
51
Defence
43
Form
45
FC Aarau FC Aarau
Attack
27
Defence
43
Form
36
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win FC Basel 1893 vs FC Aarau?
The model gives FC Basel 1893 a 44% win probability, 27% for a draw, and 28% for an FC Aarau win.
How many goals are expected in FC Basel 1893 vs FC Aarau?
Expected goals: FC Basel 1893 4.4, FC Aarau 1.6 (total 6.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in FC Basel 1893 vs FC Aarau?
4–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 6.1%.