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FC Basel 1893 - FC Aarau

Friendlies Clubs July 04, 2026 13:00
FC Basel 1893
vs
FC Aarau
⚡ Pre-match analysis
35.21%
Win
FC Basel 1893
29.83%
Draw
34.96%
Win
FC Aarau
4.5
Expected xG
4.43
Most likely result 4–4 (3.6%)
2+ goals
77%
3+ goals
99%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives FC Basel 1893 a 35% win probability, against 29% for a draw and 34% for FC Aarau. Expected goals are 4.5 for FC Basel 1893 and 4.4 for FC Aarau (total 8.9), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 4–4 at 3.6% probability.

Season Stats

FC Basel 1893
1W 0D 2L
FC Aarau
1W 0D 2L
Averages per game
3.7
Goals
2.3
4.7
Conceded
3.0
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
100%
100%
BTTS
100%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ Based on the last 3 matches in Friendlies Clubs. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
100%
O 1.5
100%
O 2.5
100%
O 3.5
100%
BTTS
FC Basel 1893
0W 0D 2L · at home
FC Aarau
0W 0D 2L · away
3.5
gls/g
1.5
5.5
Conceded
3.5
0%
Win %
0%
0%
Win or Draw
0%
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
100%
100%
O 3.5
100%
100%
BTTS
100%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 2
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ FC Basel 1893 FC Aarau →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 — 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
1 0.1% 0.3% 0.6% 0.9% 1.0% 0.8%
2 0.1% 0.6% 1.3% 1.9% 2.2% 1.9%
3 0.2% 0.9% 2.0% 2.9% 3.2% 2.9%
4 0.2% 1.0% 2.2% 3.3% 3.6% 3.2%
5 0.2% 0.9% 2.0% 3.0% 3.3% 2.9%

Recent form

FC Basel 1893 FC Basel 1893
L FC Vaduz 2–5
L SV Elversberg 5–6
W Slavia Praha 3–4
Home clean sheet (120 days) 14%
FC Aarau FC Aarau
W FC Schaffhausen 4–2
L FK Crvena Zvezda 4–1
L Dynamo Dresden 3–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 28%

Playing profile

FC Basel 1893 FC Basel 1893
Attack
77
Defence
7
Form
41
FC Aarau FC Aarau
Attack
59
Defence
25
Form
44
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win FC Basel 1893 vs FC Aarau?
The model gives FC Basel 1893 a 35% win probability, 29% for a draw, and 34% for an FC Aarau win.
How many goals are expected in FC Basel 1893 vs FC Aarau?
Expected goals: FC Basel 1893 4.5, FC Aarau 4.4 (total 8.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in FC Basel 1893 vs FC Aarau?
4–4 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 3.6%.