FC Botosani 1–3 Petrolul Ploiesti — pre-match prediction — Liga 1 — October 23, 2026

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Liga 1 · Regular Season - 13 October 23, 2026 17:00 Stadionul Sepsi, Sfantu Gheorghe

FC Botosani

#11 · 14 pts

1 – 3

Final score

Petrolul Ploiesti

#4 · 23 pts

✗Model wrong — prediction FC Botosani, result Petrolul Ploiesti wins

Andrei Dumiter 64'

27' (ast. Teixeira leo) Rodrigo Martins

39' Mario Ioniță

54' (ast. Sergiu Hanca) Rodrigo Martins

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Botosani a 55% win probability (draw 21%, Petrolul Ploiesti 23%). The final result was FC Botosani 1–3 Petrolul Ploiesti. In 3 previous meetings, FC Botosani have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 1 wins for Petrolul Ploiesti.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

1.31

Actual xG

1.36

Saves

56%

Possession

44%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

🟥 Red cards

Match Events

27'

ast. Teixeira leo · Rodrigo Martins⚽

mamadou diarra

30'

Marius Croitoru

37'

39'

Mario Ioniță⚽

↕ Hervin Ongenda / Charles Petro

40'

45'+5

Andres Dumitrescu

↕ Andrei Miron / Rijad·Sadiku

45'

↕ Enriko Papa / Mykola Kovtalyuk

45'

↕ Ştefan Bodişteanu / Gabriel Gama

45'

50'

Rodrigo Martins

54'

ast. Sergiu Hanca · Rodrigo Martins⚽

57'

Adam Zaian / Sergiu Hanca ↕

Rijad·Sadiku

59'

↕ Zoran Mitrov / Jovan Marković

59'

⚽Andrei Dumiter

64'

66'

Breston Malula

72'

Rareș Leescu / Mario Ioniță ↕

72'

Calal Hüseynov / Luciano Gaston Vega Albornoz ↕

72'

Dele Ola / Dan N'Lundulu ↕

Narcis Ilas

83'

84'

Teixeira leo

Charles Petro

90'+5

90'+6

Kilian Ludewig / Rodrigo Martins ↕

90'+7

Rodrigo Martins

Pre-match prediction

55.59%

21.2%

23.21%

Petrolul ←

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Petrolul Ploiesti) 23.21% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

2.47

1.31

-1.16

Petrolul

1.33

1.36

+0.03

xG dominance was balanced (1.31 – 1.36). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Dinamo Bucuresti	13	30
2	Universitatea Craiova	13	29
3	Rapid	13	27
4	Petrolul Ploiesti	13	23
5	Universitatea Cluj	13	22
6	FCSB	13	21
7	Farul Constanta	13	20
8	Uta Arad	13	18
9	CFR 1907 Cluj	13	17
10	Corvinul Hunedoara	13	16
11	FC Botosani	13	14
12	Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe	13	14
13	Arges Pitesti	13	12
14	Oţelul	13	11
15	FC Voluntari	13	8
16	Csikszereda	13	5

Lineups

FC Botosani 4-3-3

G. Anestis G 5.61

N. Ilaș 83' D 4.59

M. Diarra D 5.87

A. Miron 45' D 6.01

B. Bayeye D 6.33

H. Ongenda 40' M 5.70

E. Papa 45' M 5.59

Lucas de Vega M 6.24

Z. Mitrov 59' F 5.79

A. Dumiter 1 ⚽ F 7.61

Ș. Bodișteanu 45' F 6.52

Bench

C. Petro 50' D 5.49

Gama Gabriel 45' M 6.26

George Sorodoc M 0.00

Ionuț Cristian Gurău G 0.00

J. Marković 31' F 6.16

Mario Preda F 0.00

M. Bordeianu M 0.00

M. Kovtalyuk 45' F 6.39

R. Creţ D 0.00

R. Idowu M 0.00

R. Sadiku 45' D 5.98

S. Mailat F 0.00

Petrolul Ploiesti 4-2-3-1

L. Zima G 7.13

A. Dumitrescu D 6.26

B. Malula D 6.74

P. Papp D 7.10

T. Căpușă D 7.87

S. Hanca 1 👟 57' M 6.96

Léo Teixeira 1 👟 M 6.86

D. Nlundulu 72' F 6.36

Rodrigo Martins 2 ⚽ M 8.10

L. Vega 72' M 6.27

M. Ioniță 1 ⚽ 72' F 7.98

Bench

A. Bran M 0.00

Adam Zaian 33' D 6.61

C. Hüseynov 18' D 6.65

David Ionut M 0.00

K. Ludewig 1' D 0.00

Liviu Argeșanu M 0.00

O. Dele 18' M 6.47

R. Leescu 18' D 6.46

R. Manolache M 0.00

Ș. Georgescu G 0.00

Best on the pitch

Rodrigo Martins

M · Petrolul

8.10

2 ⚽

3 shots · 27 pass

M. Ioniță

F · Petrolul

7.98

1 ⚽

1 shots · 22 pass

T. Căpușă

D · Petrolul

7.87

· 28 pass

A. Dumiter

F · FC

7.61

1 ⚽

5 shots · 26 pass

L. Zima

G · Petrolul

7.13

· 32 pass

P. Papp

D · Petrolul

7.10

· 29 pass

FC Botosani — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
G. Anestis	G	90	5.61	—	—	0	34	21%	0	—	—
N. Ilaș	D	83	4.59	—	—	0	24	20%	4	—	1
M. Diarra	D	90	5.87	—	—	0	62	46%	1	1	—
A. Miron	D	45	6.01	—	—	0	27	22%	3	—	—
B. Bayeye	D	90	6.33	—	—	1	40	33%	1	—	—
H. Ongenda	M	40	5.70	—	—	2	18	11%	0	—	—
E. Papa	M	45	5.59	—	—	1	21	16%	0	—	—
Lucas de Vega	M	90	6.24	—	—	0	65	54%	1	—	—
Z. Mitrov	F	59	5.79	—	—	1	17	11%	0	—	—
A. Dumiter	F	90	7.61	1	—	5	26	18%	3	—	—
Ș. Bodișteanu	F	45	6.52	—	—	1	5	4%	0	—	—
C. Petro	D	50	5.49	—	—	0	46	35%	0	1	—
Gama Gabriel	M	45	6.26	—	—	0	15	11%	1	—	—
J. Marković	F	31	6.16	—	—	0	6	5%	0	—	—
M. Kovtalyuk	F	45	6.39	—	—	1	10	5%	0	—	—
R. Sadiku	D	45	5.98	—	—	0	20	18%	2	1	—

Petrolul Ploiesti — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
L. Zima	G	90	7.13	—	—	0	32	13%	0	—	—
A. Dumitrescu	D	90	6.26	—	—	1	34	21%	1	1	—
B. Malula	D	90	6.74	—	—	0	45	34%	5	1	—
P. Papp	D	90	7.10	—	—	0	29	25%	1	—	—
T. Căpușă	D	90	7.87	—	—	0	28	22%	2	—	—
S. Hanca	M	57	6.96	—	1	0	32	23%	2	—	—
Léo Teixeira	M	90	6.86	—	1	0	29	18%	7	1	—
D. Nlundulu	F	72	6.36	—	—	3	14	6%	1	—	—
Rodrigo Martins	M	97	8.10	2	—	3	27	21%	3	—	1
L. Vega	M	72	6.27	—	—	1	22	15%	0	—	—
M. Ioniță	F	72	7.98	1	—	1	22	20%	2	—	—
Adam Zaian	D	33	6.61	—	—	0	6	4%	2	—	—
C. Hüseynov	D	18	6.65	—	—	1	7	5%	0	—	—
K. Ludewig	D	1	0.00	—	—	0	0	0%	0	—	—
O. Dele	M	18	6.47	—	—	0	11	8%	1	—	—
R. Leescu	D	18	6.46	—	—	0	2	2%	0	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of FC Botosani vs Petrolul Ploiesti?

The final score was FC Botosani 1–3 Petrolul Ploiesti.

What did the model predict before FC Botosani vs Petrolul Ploiesti?

The model assigned 55% probability to a FC Botosani win, 21% to a draw, and 23% to an Petrolul Ploiesti win.