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Bundesliga · Relegation Group - 32 May 16, 2026 17:00 Hofmann Personal Stadion, Linz
FC BW Linz
0 – 3
Final score
Grazer AK
#10 · 4 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction FC BW Linz, result Grazer AK wins
6' (ast. L. Klassen) C. Lichtenberger
52' (ast. M. Olesen) A. Hofleitner
90'+1 (ast. T. Koch) D. Maderner
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC BW Linz a 55% win probability (draw 20%, Grazer AK 24%). The final result was FC BW Linz 0–3 Grazer AK. In 3 previous meetings, FC BW Linz have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Grazer AK.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
12
5
Shots on target
5
0.86
Actual xG
1.49
3
Saves
5
63%
Possession
37%
3
Corners
4
14
Tackles
19
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
5'
M. Kreuzriegler
6'
ast. L. Klassen · C. Lichtenberger⚽
21'
T. Koch / T. Schriebl ↕
45'+4
T. Koch
46'
L. Vraa-Jensen / M. Kreuzriegler ↕
↕ S. Pirkl / I. Dahlqvist
46'
52'
ast. M. Olesen · A. Hofleitner⚽
↕ N. Maier / C. Cvetko
63'
↕ F. Strauss / E. Bakatukanda
63'
65'
M. Satin / C. Lichtenberger ↕
65'
D. Maderner / A. Hofleitner ↕
D. Reiter
76'
↕ S. Weissman / P. Mensah
77'
↕ A. Pasic / D. Riegler
85'
87'
D. Frieser / R. Harakate ↕
90'+1
ast. T. Koch · D. Maderner⚽
Pre-match prediction
55.5%
FC
20.42%
X
24.08%
Grazer ←
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Grazer AK) 24.08% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
FC
2.27
0.86
-1.41
Grazer
1.35
1.49
+0.14
Grazer AK dominated by xG (1.49 vs 0.86). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Lask Linz Lask Linz 5 15
2 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 6 14
3 Rapid Vienna Rapid Vienna 5 12
4 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 5 8
5 WSG Wattens WSG Wattens 5 7
6 TSV Hartberg TSV Hartberg 5 6
7 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC 5 5
8 Ried Ried 6 5
9 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau 5 5
10 Grazer AK Grazer AK 5 4
11 SCR Altach SCR Altach 5 3
12 Austria Vienna Austria Vienna 5 3
Lineups
FC BW Linz FC BW Linz 3-4-1-2
58 Nico Mantl Nico Mantl G 5.90
2 Fabio Strauss Fabio Strauss 63' D 6.20
15 M. Maranda M. Maranda D 7.00
17 A. Pašić A. Pašić 85' D 6.60
60 S. Pirkl S. Pirkl 45' M 6.30
19 A. Briedl A. Briedl M 6.30
20 S. Seidl S. Seidl M 6.30
29 Dominik Reiter Dominik Reiter M 6.50
30 N. Maier N. Maier 63' F 6.90
18 S. Weissman S. Weissman 78' F 6.60
9 Ronivaldo Ronivaldo F 6.70
Bench
14 C. Cvetko C. Cvetko 33' M 6.30
23 David Bumberger David Bumberger D
22 David Riegler David Riegler 11' D 6.20
4 Elias Bakatukanda Elias Bakatukanda 33' D 6.50
5 I. Dahlqvist I. Dahlqvist 51' M 6.50
6 Mamadou Fofana II Mamadou Fofana II M
16 M. Moormann M. Moormann D
10 Paul Mensah Paul Mensah 18' F 6.30
13 Valentin Oelz Valentin Oelz G
Grazer AK Grazer AK 3-1-4-2
12 Franz Stolz Franz Stolz G 7.60
4 M. Kreuzriegler M. Kreuzriegler 45' D 6.60
2 D. Pines D. Pines D 7.20
82 B. Owusu B. Owusu D 6.60
6 Mathias Olesen Mathias Olesen 1 👟 M 7.20
32 L. Klassen L. Klassen 1 👟 M 8.00
10 C. Lichtenberger C. Lichtenberger 1 ⚽ 65' M 7.20
20 T. Schriebl T. Schriebl 21' M 6.50
14 J. Italiano J. Italiano M 7.00
22 R. Harakaté R. Harakaté 87' F 6.00
25 A. Hofleitner A. Hofleitner 1 ⚽ 65' F 7.30
Bench
9 D. Maderner D. Maderner 1 ⚽ 31' F 7.90
28 Dominik Frieser Dominik Frieser 9' F 6.30
98 Fabian Ehmann Fabian Ehmann G
16 Felix Baumgartner Felix Baumgartner F
1 J. Meierhofer J. Meierhofer G
3 Ludwig Vraa-Jensen Ludwig Vraa-Jensen 51' D 6.50
11 M. Große M. Große F
7 M. Şatin M. Şatin 31' M 6.70
8 T. Koch T. Koch 1 👟 75' M 7.00
Best on the pitch
L. Klassen
L. Klassen
M · Grazer
8.00
1 👟
1 shots · 30 pass
D. Maderner
D. Maderner
F · Grazer
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 7 pass
Franz Stolz
Franz Stolz
G · Grazer
7.60
· 33 pass
A. Hofleitner
A. Hofleitner
F · Grazer
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 19 pass
C. Lichtenberger
C. Lichtenberger
M · Grazer
7.20
1 ⚽
2 shots · 14 pass
Mathias Olesen
Mathias Olesen
M · Grazer
7.20
1 👟
· 35 pass
FC BW Linz FC BW Linz — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Nico Mantl G 96 5.90 — — — 34 23% — — —
Fabio Strauss D 63 6.20 — — — 44 31% 2 — —
M. Maranda D 96 7.00 — — 1 64 48% 2 — —
A. Pašić D 85 6.60 — — — 35 28% 2 — —
S. Pirkl M 45 6.30 — — — 20 17% — — —
A. Briedl M 96 6.30 — — 1 51 44% — — —
S. Seidl M 96 6.30 — — 3 38 31% 4 — —
Dominik Reiter M 96 6.50 — — 1 25 15% 1 1 —
N. Maier F 63 6.90 — — 1 34 25% 2 — —
S. Weissman F 78 6.60 — — 1 22 18% — — —
Ronivaldo F 96 6.70 — — 1 20 16% — — —
C. Cvetko M 33 6.30 — — — 9 6% — — —
David Riegler D 11 6.20 — — — 4 3% — — —
Elias Bakatukanda D 33 6.50 — — — 5 4% 1 — —
I. Dahlqvist M 51 6.50 — — — 23 13% — — —
Paul Mensah F 18 6.30 — — — 8 7% — — —
Grazer AK Grazer AK — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Franz Stolz G 96 7.60 — — — 33 13% — — —
M. Kreuzriegler D 45 6.60 — — — 18 13% 3 1 —
D. Pines D 96 7.20 — — 1 15 9% 3 — —
B. Owusu D 96 6.60 — — 1 18 9% — — —
Mathias Olesen M 96 7.20 — 1 — 35 25% 2 — —
L. Klassen M 96 8.00 — 1 1 30 20% 3 — —
C. Lichtenberger M 65 7.20 1 — 2 14 13% — — —
T. Schriebl M 21 6.50 — — — 5 3% — — —
J. Italiano M 96 7.00 — — 1 15 9% 4 — —
R. Harakaté F 87 6.00 — — 4 9 5% 1 — —
A. Hofleitner F 65 7.30 1 — 1 19 8% 1 — —
D. Maderner F 31 7.90 1 — 1 7 4% — — —
Dominik Frieser F 9 6.30 — — — 1 1% — — —
Ludwig Vraa-Jensen D 51 6.50 — — — 7 3% 1 — —
M. Şatin M 31 6.70 — — — 10 7% 1 — —
T. Koch M 75 7.00 — 1 — 26 17% — 1 —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC BW Linz vs Grazer AK?
The final score was FC BW Linz 0–3 Grazer AK.
What did the model predict before FC BW Linz vs Grazer AK?
The model assigned 55% probability to a FC BW Linz win, 20% to a draw, and 24% to an Grazer AK win.