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FC BW Linz - Grazer AK

Bundesliga May 16, 2026 17:00
FC BW Linz
#6 · 21 pts
vs
Grazer AK
#5 · 24 pts
Weather at kick-off ☁️ Overcast 12.0°C 💨 11 km/h 🌧️ 70% · Linz
⚡ Pre-match analysis
55.53%
Win
FC BW Linz
20.4%
Draw
24.07%
Win
Grazer AK
2.27
Expected xG
1.35
Model prediction
FC BW Linz
55.53%
Probability
50.0%
1X2 accuracy · 14 predictions (3 months)

The ForzaPitch prediction gives FC BW Linz a 55% win probability, against 20% for a draw and 24% for Grazer AK. Expected goals are 2.3 for FC BW Linz and 1.4 for Grazer AK (total 3.6), with a 78% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 9.3% probability. In 3 previous meetings, FC BW Linz have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Grazer AK.

Score Matrix
↕ FC BW Linz Grazer AK →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.7% 3.6% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
1 6.1% 8.2% 5.5% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
2 6.9% 9.3% 6.3% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3%
3 5.2% 7.1% 4.8% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
4 3.0% 4.0% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
5 1.4% 1.8% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
Recent form
FC BW Linz FC BW Linz
D WSG Wattens 1–1
L Ried 2–0
W SCR Altach 3–0
W Wolfsberger AC 3–0
D Wolfsberger AC 0–0
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 39%
Grazer AK Grazer AK
D SCR Altach 2–2
W WSG Wattens 4–0
L Wolfsberger AC 1–0
L Ried 2–1
D Ried 1–1
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 12%
Playing profile
FC BW Linz FC BW Linz
Attack
47
Defence
78
Form
64
Grazer AK Grazer AK
Attack
38
Defence
68
Form
51
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
1
FC BW Linz
0
Draw
2
Grazer AK
L 4 Apr 2026 Bundesliga 1–2
L 29 Nov 2025 Bundesliga 1–3
W 13 Sep 2025 Bundesliga 3–0
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Lask Linz Lask Linz 31 36
1 Ried Ried 31 28
2 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC 31 25
2 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 31 34
3 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 31 29
3 SCR Altach SCR Altach 31 24
4 WSG Wattens WSG Wattens 31 24
4 Austria Vienna Austria Vienna 31 29
5 Grazer AK Grazer AK 31 24
5 Rapid Vienna Rapid Vienna 31 27
6 TSV Hartberg TSV Hartberg 31 22
6 FC BW Linz FC BW Linz 31 21
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win FC BW Linz vs Grazer AK?
The model gives FC BW Linz a 55% win probability, 20% for a draw, and 24% for an Grazer AK win.
How many goals are expected in FC BW Linz vs Grazer AK?
Expected goals: FC BW Linz 2.3, Grazer AK 1.4 (total 3.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 78%.
What is the most likely score in FC BW Linz vs Grazer AK?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.3%.