✗Model wrong — prediction FC BW Linz, result Grazer AK wins
6'
(ast. L. Klassen)
C. Lichtenberger
52'
(ast. M. Olesen)
A. Hofleitner
90'+1
(ast. T. Koch)
D. Maderner
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC BW Linz a 55% win probability (draw 20%, Grazer AK 24%). The final result was FC BW Linz 0–3 Grazer AK. In 3 previous meetings, FC BW Linz have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Grazer AK.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
12
5
Shots on target
5
0.86
Actual xG
1.49
3
Saves
5
63%
Possession
37%
3
Corners
4
14
Tackles
19
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
5'
M. Kreuzriegler
6'
ast. L. Klassen ·
C. Lichtenberger⚽
21'
T. Koch
/
T. Schriebl
45'+4
T. Koch
46'
L. Vraa-Jensen
/
M. Kreuzriegler
S. Pirkl
/ I. Dahlqvist
46'
52'
ast. M. Olesen ·
A. Hofleitner⚽
N. Maier
/ C. Cvetko
63'
F. Strauss
/ E. Bakatukanda
63'
65'
M. Satin
/
C. Lichtenberger
65'
D. Maderner
/
A. Hofleitner
D. Reiter
76'
S. Weissman
/ P. Mensah
77'
A. Pasic
/ D. Riegler
85'
87'
D. Frieser
/
R. Harakate
90'+1
ast. T. Koch ·
D. Maderner⚽
Pre-match prediction
55.5%
FC
20.42%
X
24.08%
Grazer ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Grazer AK)
24.08%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.27
0.86
-1.41
1.35
1.49
+0.14
Grazer AK dominated by xG (1.49 vs 0.86).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
58
Nico Mantl
G
Nico Mantl
G
2
Fabio Strauss
63'
D
Fabio Strauss
63'
D
15
M. Maranda
D
M. Maranda
D
17
A. Pašić
85'
D
A. Pašić
85'
D
60
S. Pirkl
45'
M
S. Pirkl
45'
M
19
Alexander Briedl
M
Alexander Briedl
M
20
S. Seidl
M
S. Seidl
M
29
Dominik Reiter
M
Dominik Reiter
M
30
Nico Maier
63'
F
Nico Maier
63'
F
18
S. Weissman
78'
F
S. Weissman
78'
F
9
Ronivaldo
F
Ronivaldo
F
Bench
14
Christopher Cvetko
33'
M
Christopher Cvetko
33'
M
23
David Bumberger
D
David Bumberger
D
22
David Riegler
11'
D
David Riegler
11'
D
4
Elias Bakatukanda
33'
D
Elias Bakatukanda
33'
D
5
Isak Dahlqvist
51'
M
Isak Dahlqvist
51'
M
6
Mamadou Fofana II
M
Mamadou Fofana II
M
16
Martin Moormann
D
Martin Moormann
D
10
Paul Mensah
18'
F
Paul Mensah
18'
F
13
Valentin Oelz
G
Valentin Oelz
G
12
Franz Stolz
G
Franz Stolz
G
4
M. Kreuzriegler
45'
D
M. Kreuzriegler
45'
D
2
Donovan Pines
D
Donovan Pines
D
82
B. Owusu
D
B. Owusu
D
6
Mathias Olesen
1 👟
M
Mathias Olesen
1 👟
M
32
Leon Klassen
1 👟
M
Leon Klassen
1 👟
M
10
Christian Lichtenberger
1 ⚽
65'
M
Christian Lichtenberger
1 ⚽
65'
M
20
Thorsten Schriebl
21'
M
Thorsten Schriebl
21'
M
14
J. Italiano
M
J. Italiano
M
22
R. Harakaté
87'
F
R. Harakaté
87'
F
25
Alexander Hofleitner
1 ⚽
65'
F
Alexander Hofleitner
1 ⚽
65'
F
Bench
9
D. Maderner
1 ⚽
31'
F
D. Maderner
1 ⚽
31'
F
28
Dominik Frieser
9'
F
Dominik Frieser
9'
F
98
Fabian Ehmann
G
Fabian Ehmann
G
16
Felix Baumgartner
F
Felix Baumgartner
F
1
Jakob Meierhofer
G
Jakob Meierhofer
G
3
Ludwig Vraa-Jensen
51'
D
Ludwig Vraa-Jensen
51'
D
11
Mark Große
F
Mark Große
F
7
Murat Satin
31'
M
Murat Satin
31'
M
8
T. Koch
1 👟
75'
M
T. Koch
1 👟
75'
M
Best on the pitch
Leon Klassen
M · Grazer
8.00
1 👟
1 shots
· 30 pass
D. Maderner
F · Grazer
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 7 pass
Franz Stolz
G · Grazer
7.60
· 33 pass
Alexander Hofleitner
F · Grazer
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 19 pass
Christian Lichtenberger
M · Grazer
7.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 14 pass
Mathias Olesen
M · Grazer
7.20
1 👟
· 35 pass
FC BW Linz — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nico Mantl | G | 96 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Fabio Strauss | D | 63 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 44 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Maranda | D | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 64 | 48% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Pašić | D | 85 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 35 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Pirkl | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Alexander Briedl | M | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 51 | 44% | — | — | — |
| S. Seidl | M | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 38 | 31% | 4 | — | — |
| Dominik Reiter | M | 96 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 15% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Nico Maier | F | 63 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Weissman | F | 78 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Ronivaldo | F | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Christopher Cvetko | M | 33 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 6% | — | — | — |
| David Riegler | D | 11 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Elias Bakatukanda | D | 33 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Isak Dahlqvist | M | 51 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 23 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Paul Mensah | F | 18 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
Grazer AK — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Franz Stolz | G | 96 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 33 | 13% | — | — | — |
| M. Kreuzriegler | D | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 18 | 13% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Donovan Pines | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 9% | 3 | — | — |
| B. Owusu | D | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Mathias Olesen | M | 96 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 35 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| Leon Klassen | M | 96 | 8.00 | — | 1 | 1 | 30 | 20% | 3 | — | — |
| Christian Lichtenberger | M | 65 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 14 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Thorsten Schriebl | M | 21 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| J. Italiano | M | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 9% | 4 | — | — |
| R. Harakaté | F | 87 | 6.00 | — | — | 4 | 9 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Alexander Hofleitner | F | 65 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 19 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Maderner | F | 31 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Dominik Frieser | F | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Ludwig Vraa-Jensen | D | 51 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 7 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Murat Satin | M | 31 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Koch | M | 75 | 7.00 | — | 1 | — | 26 | 17% | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC BW Linz vs Grazer AK?
The final score was FC BW Linz 0–3 Grazer AK.
What did the model predict before FC BW Linz vs Grazer AK?
The model assigned 55% probability to a FC BW Linz win, 20% to a draw, and 24% to an Grazer AK win.