✗Model wrong — prediction FC Cajamarca, result UCV Moquegua wins
89'
(ast. Allonso Alberto Dávila Cárdenas)
Brayan Angulo
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Cajamarca a 79% win probability (draw 10%, UCV Moquegua 9%). The final result was FC Cajamarca 0–1 UCV Moquegua. In 1 previous meetings, FC Cajamarca have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for UCV Moquegua.
Match statistics
15
Total shots
8
5
Shots on target
1
0.74
Actual xG
0.51
0
Saves
5
59%
Possession
41%
4
Corners
4
11
Tackles
16
Match Events
P. Cejas
/ José Reinaldo Lugo Quiñónez
58'
67'
Allonso Alberto Dávila Cárdenas
/
Edgar Lastre
72'
Brayan Angulo
/
Jeferson Collazos
73'
Diego Ramírez
/
Nicolas Chavez
S. Enciso
/ Jonathan Betancourt
74'
José Mauricio Arrasco Calderón
/ Sebastien Pineau
87'
89'
ast. Allonso Alberto Dávila Cárdenas ·
Brayan Angulo⚽
Pre-match prediction
79.94%
FC
10.65%
X
9.41%
UCV ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (UCV Moquegua)
9.41%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
3.50
0.74
-2.76
0.92
0.51
-0.41
xG dominance was balanced (0.74 – 0.51).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
3
J. Medina
G
J. Medina
G
4
J. Soto
D
J. Soto
D
95
Y. Vílchez
D
Y. Vílchez
D
21
J. Vega
D
J. Vega
D
44
Carlos Daniel Gómez Ccasani
D
Carlos Daniel Gómez Ccasani
D
25
P. Goyoneche
M
P. Goyoneche
M
18
Jefferson Gabriel Orejuela Izquierdo
M
Jefferson Gabriel Orejuela Izquierdo
M
31
S. Enciso
74'
M
S. Enciso
74'
M
11
M. Arrasco
87'
M
M. Arrasco
87'
M
17
B. Palacios
M
B. Palacios
M
9
P. Cejas
58'
F
P. Cejas
58'
F
Bench
14
A. Gutiérrez
D
A. Gutiérrez
D
13
C. Correa
M
C. Correa
M
88
H. Camacho
M
H. Camacho
M
27
J. Betancourt
16'
M
J. Betancourt
16'
M
77
J. Lugo
32'
F
J. Lugo
32'
F
6
M. Rasmussen
F
M. Rasmussen
F
5
R. Suarez
D
R. Suarez
D
12
S. Aspajo Cohen
G
S. Aspajo Cohen
G
7
S. Pineau
3'
F
S. Pineau
3'
F
1
C. Grados
G
C. Grados
G
15
N. Amasifuén
D
N. Amasifuén
D
3
C. Enciso
D
C. Enciso
D
13
J. Lojas
D
J. Lojas
D
4
A. Perleche
D
A. Perleche
D
8
C. Mejía
M
C. Mejía
M
25
R. Chipao
M
R. Chipao
M
17
Y. Zapata
M
Y. Zapata
M
10
N. Chávez
73'
M
N. Chávez
73'
M
7
E. Lastre
67'
M
E. Lastre
67'
M
90
J. Collazos
72'
F
J. Collazos
72'
F
Bench
24
A. Lecaros
F
A. Lecaros
F
16
Allonso Alberto Dávila Cárdenas
1 👟
23'
F
Allonso Alberto Dávila Cárdenas
1 👟
23'
F
11
B. Angulo
1 ⚽
18'
F
B. Angulo
1 ⚽
18'
F
20
D. Ramírez
17'
M
D. Ramírez
17'
M
22
E. Montenegro
D
E. Montenegro
D
30
J. Granda
D
J. Granda
D
6
Jimmy Rangell Jiménez Cárdenas
D
Jimmy Rangell Jiménez Cárdenas
D
29
R. Figueroa
G
R. Figueroa
G
88
Y. López
D
Y. López
D
Best on the pitch
C. Grados
G · UCV
7.69
· 34 pass
B. Angulo
F · UCV
7.66
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 6 pass
S. Enciso
M · FC
6.95
4 shots
· 24 pass
B. Palacios
M · FC
6.83
3 shots
· 39 pass
D. Ramírez
M · UCV
6.75
· 9 pass
Carlos Daniel Gómez Ccasani
D · FC
6.73
1 shots
· 53 pass
FC Cajamarca — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Medina | G | 90 | 6.44 | — | — | 0 | 20 | 15% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Soto | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 31% | 0 | — | — |
| Y. Vílchez | D | 90 | 6.47 | — | — | 0 | 75 | 62% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Vega | D | 90 | 6.35 | — | — | 1 | 63 | 53% | 1 | — | — |
| Carlos Daniel Gómez Ccasani | D | 90 | 6.73 | — | — | 1 | 53 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Goyoneche | M | 90 | 6.23 | — | — | 2 | 64 | 48% | 3 | — | — |
| Jefferson Gabriel Orejuela Izquierdo | M | 90 | 6.56 | — | — | 0 | 71 | 63% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Enciso | M | 74 | 6.95 | — | — | 4 | 24 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Arrasco | M | 87 | 6.13 | — | — | 0 | 39 | 32% | 0 | — | — |
| B. Palacios | M | 90 | 6.83 | — | — | 3 | 39 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| P. Cejas | F | 58 | 5.93 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 12% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Betancourt | M | 16 | 5.98 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Lugo | F | 32 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Pineau | F | 3 | 6.29 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
UCV Moquegua — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Grados | G | 90 | 7.69 | — | — | 0 | 34 | 19% | 0 | — | — |
| N. Amasifuén | D | 90 | 6.66 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 16% | 0 | — | — |
| C. Enciso | D | 90 | 6.44 | — | — | 0 | 27 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Lojas | D | 90 | 6.29 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Perleche | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 0 | 16 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Mejía | M | 90 | 6.25 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 12% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Chipao | M | 90 | 6.06 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 17% | 6 | — | — |
| Y. Zapata | M | 90 | 6.03 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Chávez | M | 73 | 6.54 | — | — | 0 | 23 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Lastre | M | 67 | 6.46 | — | — | 0 | 8 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Collazos | F | 72 | 6.23 | — | — | 2 | 11 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| Allonso Alberto Dávila Cárdenas | F | 23 | 6.70 | — | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Angulo | F | 18 | 7.66 | 1 | — | 1 | 6 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| D. Ramírez | M | 17 | 6.75 | — | — | 0 | 9 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC Cajamarca vs UCV Moquegua?
The final score was FC Cajamarca 0–1 UCV Moquegua.
What did the model predict before FC Cajamarca vs UCV Moquegua?
The model assigned 79% probability to a FC Cajamarca win, 10% to a draw, and 9% to an UCV Moquegua win.