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Liga 1 · Clausura - 14 October 28, 2026 19:15 Estadio Heroes de San Ramon, Cajamarca
FC Cajamarca
#15 · 17 pts
1 – 3
Final score
UTC Cajamarca
#13 · 18 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction FC Cajamarca, result UTC Cajamarca wins
S. Enciso (ast. Jonathan Betancourt) 88'
20' (ast. Adolfo Muñoz) Marlon de Jesús
71' (ast. David Dioses) Marcos Lliuya
(pen.) 81' Abdiel Arroyo
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Cajamarca a 57% win probability (draw 20%, UTC Cajamarca 21%). The final result was FC Cajamarca 1–3 UTC Cajamarca. In 1 previous meetings, FC Cajamarca have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for UTC Cajamarca.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
9
5
Shots on target
5
0.64
Actual xG
1.46
2
Saves
4
53%
Possession
47%
3
Corners
4
15
Tackles
16
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
20'
ast. Adolfo Muñoz · Marlon de Jesús⚽
21'
Marlon de Jesús
25'
Arquímedes Figuera
45'
David Dioses / Joshua Cantt ↕
52'
Paulo Goyoneche
52'
56'
Luis Arce / Adolfo Muñoz ↕
↕ Michel Rasmussen / Carlos Correa
56'
57'
Carlos Junior Huerto / Dylan Caro ↕
↕ Carlos Meza / P. Cejas
64'
67'
Abdiel Arroyo / Marlon de Jesús ↕
71'
ast. David Dioses · Marcos Lliuya⚽
↕ R. Suárez / Jonathan Betancourt
75'
↕ José Reinaldo Lugo Quiñónez / Arthur Alexander Gutiérrez Inga
76'
81'
(pen.) Abdiel Arroyo⚽
84'
Santiago Gálvez / David Camacho ↕
⚽S. Enciso · ast. Jonathan Betancourt
88'
Pre-match prediction
57.59%
FC
20.47%
X
21.94%
UTC ←
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (UTC Cajamarca) 21.94% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
FC
2.17
0.64
-1.53
UTC
1.14
1.46
+0.32
UTC Cajamarca dominated by xG (1.46 vs 0.64). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima 17 40
2 Club Deportivo Los Chankas Club Deportivo Los Chankas 17 34
3 Cienciano Cienciano 17 33
4 Universitario Universitario 17 29
5 FBC Melgar FBC Melgar 17 28
6 Cusco Cusco 17 27
7 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso 17 26
8 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 17 21
9 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 17 21
10 ADT ADT 17 20
11 Sport Boys Sport Boys 17 20
12 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 17 19
13 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 17 18
14 UCV Moquegua UCV Moquegua 17 18
15 FC Cajamarca FC Cajamarca 17 17
16 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 17 16
17 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 17 16
18 Juan Pablo II College Juan Pablo II College 17 16
Lineups
FC Cajamarca FC Cajamarca 4-2-3-1
3 J. Medina J. Medina G 5.85
31 S. Enciso S. Enciso 1 ⚽ D 7.72
95 Y. Vílchez Y. Vílchez D 6.68
21 J. Vega J. Vega D 6.20
66 R. Suarez R. Suarez 75' D 6.19
18 Jefferson Gabriel Orejuela Izquierdo Jefferson Gabriel Orejuela Izquierdo M 6.03
64 P. Goyoneche P. Goyoneche 52' M 5.13
17 B. Palacios B. Palacios M 6.49
90 M. Rasmussen M. Rasmussen 56' M 5.73
20 C. Meza C. Meza 64' M 5.83
77 J. Lugo J. Lugo 76' F 6.34
Bench
65 A. Gutiérrez A. Gutiérrez 14' D 5.91
69 C. Correa C. Correa 34' M 6.31
88 H. Camacho H. Camacho M 0.00
26 H. Timaná H. Timaná D 0.00
27 J. Betancourt J. Betancourt 1 👟 15' M 5.98
32 P. Alegria P. Alegria F 0.00
99 P. Cejas P. Cejas 26' F 6.36
12 S. Aspajo Cohen S. Aspajo Cohen G 0.00
80 Valentino Ybrahin Sandoval Sánchez Valentino Ybrahin Sandoval Sánchez F 0.00
UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 4-2-3-1
1 Á. Campos Á. Campos G 6.69
13 D. Caro D. Caro 57' D 6.42
6 F. Cavagna F. Cavagna D 6.94
2 B. Duarte B. Duarte D 6.81
17 L. Garro L. Garro D 6.41
16 A. Figuera A. Figuera M 6.14
15 J. Cerro J. Cerro 45' M 6.73
19 A. Muñoz A. Muñoz 1 👟 56' M 7.05
10 M. Lliuya M. Lliuya 1 ⚽ M 8.20
22 D. Camacho D. Camacho 84' M 6.25
9 M. de Jesús M. de Jesús 1 ⚽ 67' F 7.83
Bench
11 A. Arroyo A. Arroyo 1 ⚽ 23' F 7.80
8 D. Dioses D. Dioses 1 👟 45' M 6.77
35 G. Paredes G. Paredes D 0.00
29 I. Barrios I. Barrios G 0.00
5 J. Huerto J. Huerto 33' D 6.48
7 J. Nunez J. Nunez F 0.00
88 L. Arce L. Arce 34' M 6.28
21 R. Bettocchi R. Bettocchi G 0.00
18 S. Gálvez S. Gálvez 6' F 6.50
Best on the pitch
M. Lliuya
M. Lliuya
M · UTC
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 40 pass
M. de Jesús
M. de Jesús
F · UTC
7.83
1 ⚽
1 shots · 14 pass
A. Arroyo
A. Arroyo
F · UTC
7.80
1 ⚽
2 shots · 7 pass
S. Enciso
S. Enciso
D · FC
7.72
1 ⚽
4 shots · 28 pass
A. Muñoz
A. Muñoz
M · UTC
7.05
1 👟
· 15 pass
F. Cavagna
F. Cavagna
D · UTC
6.94
· 41 pass
FC Cajamarca FC Cajamarca — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Medina G 90 5.85 — — 0 22 17% 0 — —
S. Enciso D 90 7.72 1 — 4 28 26% 2 — —
Y. Vílchez D 90 6.68 — — 1 43 33% 2 — —
J. Vega D 90 6.20 — — 0 50 43% 3 — —
R. Suarez D 75 6.19 — — 0 29 27% 3 — —
Jefferson Gabriel Orejuela Izquierdo M 90 6.03 — — 0 46 41% 0 — —
P. Goyoneche M 52 5.13 — — 1 34 28% 1 — 1
B. Palacios M 90 6.49 — — 1 43 35% 1 — —
M. Rasmussen M 56 5.73 — — 0 31 25% 1 — —
C. Meza M 64 5.83 — — 0 13 9% 2 — —
J. Lugo F 76 6.34 — — 2 15 11% 0 — —
A. Gutiérrez D 14 5.91 — — 0 11 10% 0 — —
C. Correa M 34 6.31 — — 0 22 20% 0 — —
J. Betancourt M 15 5.98 — 1 1 3 3% 0 — —
P. Cejas F 26 6.36 — — 1 9 7% 0 — —
UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Á. Campos G 90 6.69 — — 0 24 14% 0 — —
D. Caro D 57 6.42 — — 0 12 4% 3 — —
F. Cavagna D 90 6.94 — — 0 41 37% 1 — —
B. Duarte D 90 6.81 — — 1 38 32% 1 — —
L. Garro D 90 6.41 — — 2 40 33% 2 — —
A. Figuera M 90 6.14 — — 0 35 31% 2 1 —
J. Cerro M 45 6.73 — — 0 20 17% 1 — —
A. Muñoz M 56 7.05 — 1 0 15 10% 2 — —
M. Lliuya M 90 8.20 1 — 1 40 39% 0 — —
D. Camacho M 84 6.25 — — 2 35 31% 3 — —
M. de Jesús F 67 7.83 1 — 1 14 9% 0 1 —
A. Arroyo F 23 7.80 1 — 2 7 6% 1 — —
D. Dioses M 45 6.77 — 1 0 33 29% 0 — —
J. Huerto D 33 6.48 — — 0 22 18% 0 — —
L. Arce M 34 6.28 — — 0 18 17% 0 — —
S. Gálvez F 6 6.50 — — 0 1 1% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC Cajamarca vs UTC Cajamarca?
The final score was FC Cajamarca 1–3 UTC Cajamarca.
What did the model predict before FC Cajamarca vs UTC Cajamarca?
The model assigned 57% probability to a FC Cajamarca win, 20% to a draw, and 21% to an UTC Cajamarca win.