MLS
· Regular Season - 5
March 22, 2026 19:00
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Cincinnati a 42% win probability (draw 29%, CF Montreal 28%). The final result was FC Cincinnati 4–3 CF Montreal.
Match statistics
8
Shots on target
6
1.58
Actual xG
2.05
46%
Possession
54%
2
Corners
2
Pre-match prediction
42.37%
FC ←
29.37%
X
28.27%
CF
we assigned to the actual result (FC Cincinnati)
42.37%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.21
1.58
-0.63
0.81
2.05
+1.24
CF Montreal dominated by xG (2.05 vs 1.58).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC Cincinnati vs CF Montreal?
The final score was FC Cincinnati 4–3 CF Montreal.
What did the model predict before FC Cincinnati vs CF Montreal?
The model assigned 42% probability to a FC Cincinnati win, 29% to a draw, and 28% to an CF Montreal win.