MLS
· Regular Season - 8
April 19, 2026 01:30
T. Barlow
42'
Evander
79'
(pen.)
D. D'Avilla
86'
(og)
26'
H. Cuypers
(pen.)
45'+5
P. Zinckernagel
48'
H. Cuypers
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Cincinnati a 42% win probability (draw 27%, Chicago Fire 30%). The final result was FC Cincinnati 3–3 Chicago Fire. In 1 previous meetings, FC Cincinnati have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Chicago Fire.
Match statistics
19
Total shots
10
9
Shots on target
6
3.71
Actual xG
1.77
3
Saves
7
55%
Possession
45%
9
Corners
1
15
Tackles
19
4
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
S. Gidi
7'
T. Barlow
11'
26'
H. Cuypers⚽
⚽T. Barlow
42'
45'+5
(pen.)
P. Zinckernagel⚽
G. Flores
/ T. Hadebe
46'
48'
H. Cuypers⚽
M. Robinson
/ A. Powell
64'
T. Barlow
/ A. Jabbari
70'
E. Echenique
/ G. Valenzuela
70'
73'
J. Waterman
/
P. Zinckernagel
⚽Evander
(pen.)
79'
83'
P. Dithejane
/
R. Lod
83'
D. Borso
/
J. Dean
K. Mboma
/ K. Smith
86'
⚽D. D'Avilla
(og)
86'
90'+4
V. Radojevic
/
M. Haile-Selassie
90'+9
J. Elliott
90'+9
M. Mbokazi
90'
D. Borso
B. J. Ramirez Leon
90'
P. Bucha
90'
Pre-match prediction
42.23%
FC
27.16%
X ←
30.61%
Chicago
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
27.16%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.21
3.71
+1.5
1.46
1.77
+0.31
FC Cincinnati dominated by xG (3.71 vs 1.77).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
18
G
3
Gilberto Flores
45'
D
Gilberto Flores
45'
D
12
M. Robinson
64'
D
M. Robinson
64'
D
4
Nick Hagglund
D
Nick Hagglund
D
29
Bryan Josías Ramírez León
M
Bryan Josías Ramírez León
M
11
Samuel Gidi
M
Samuel Gidi
M
20
Pavel Bucha
M
Pavel Bucha
M
66
E. Echenique
70'
M
E. Echenique
70'
M
10
Evander
1 ⚽
F
Evander
1 ⚽
F
16
Tom Barlow
1 ⚽
70'
F
Tom Barlow
1 ⚽
70'
F
17
Kenji Mboma Dem
86'
F
Kenji Mboma Dem
86'
F
Bench
2
Alvas Powell
26'
D
Alvas Powell
26'
D
22
G. Valenzuela
20'
M
G. Valenzuela
20'
M
24
K. Smith
15'
D
K. Smith
15'
D
27
Tah Anunga
M
Tah Anunga
M
15
Teenage Hadebe
45'
D
Teenage Hadebe
45'
D
1
G
15
Andrew Gutman
D
Andrew Gutman
D
4
Mbekezeli Mbokazi
D
Mbekezeli Mbokazi
D
3
Jack Elliott
D
Jack Elliott
D
24
J. Dean
83'
D
J. Dean
83'
D
7
Maren Haile-Selassie
89'
M
Maren Haile-Selassie
89'
M
42
Dje Tah D'Avilla
1 ⚽
M
Dje Tah D'Avilla
1 ⚽
M
6
Anton Salétros
M
Anton Salétros
M
11
P. Zinckernagel
1 ⚽
73'
M
P. Zinckernagel
1 ⚽
73'
M
17
Robin Lod
83'
F
Robin Lod
83'
F
9
H. Cuypers
2 ⚽
F
H. Cuypers
2 ⚽
F
Bench
29
David Poreba
M
David Poreba
M
27
Dylan Borso
18'
F
Dylan Borso
18'
F
20
Jason Shokalook
F
Jason Shokalook
F
16
Joel Waterman
17'
D
Joel Waterman
17'
D
22
Mauricio Pineda
D
Mauricio Pineda
D
12
Puso Dithejane
18'
F
Puso Dithejane
18'
F
35
Sergio Oregel
M
Sergio Oregel
M
14
Viktor Radojević
1'
D
Viktor Radojević
1'
D
Best on the pitch
G · Chicago
9.20
· 35 pass
H. Cuypers
F · Chicago
8.30
2 ⚽
2 shots
· 28 pass
Evander
F · FC
8.30
1 ⚽
5 shots
· 40 pass
P. Zinckernagel
M · Chicago
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 30 pass
E. Echenique
M · FC
7.50
3 shots
· 18 pass
Pavel Bucha
M · FC
7.30
1 shots
· 44 pass
FC Cincinnati — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 23% | — | — | — | |
| Gilberto Flores | D | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 24% | — | — | — |
| M. Robinson | D | 64 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 26% | 5 | — | — |
| Nick Hagglund | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 53 | 46% | 1 | — | — |
| Bryan Josías Ramírez León | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 39 | 33% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Samuel Gidi | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 62 | 52% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Pavel Bucha | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 35% | 2 | 1 | — |
| E. Echenique | M | 70 | 7.50 | — | — | 3 | 18 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Evander | F | 90 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 5 | 40 | 34% | — | — | — |
| Tom Barlow | F | 70 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 23 | 16% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Kenji Mboma Dem | F | 86 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 30 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| Alvas Powell | D | 26 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 21 | 19% | — | — | — |
| G. Valenzuela | M | 20 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 9% | — | — | — |
| K. Smith | D | 15 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Teenage Hadebe | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 28% | — | — | — |
Chicago Fire — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 9.20 | — | — | — | 35 | 21% | — | — | — | |
| Andrew Gutman | D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 39 | 28% | 3 | — | — |
| Mbekezeli Mbokazi | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 52 | 42% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Jack Elliott | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 43 | 35% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Dean | D | 83 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Maren Haile-Selassie | M | 89 | 6.50 | — | — | 3 | 27 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| Dje Tah D'Avilla | M | 90 | 6.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 41 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| Anton Salétros | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 51 | 47% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Zinckernagel | M | 73 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 30 | 20% | 3 | — | — |
| Robin Lod | F | 83 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Cuypers | F | 90 | 8.30 | 2 | — | 2 | 28 | 20% | 3 | — | — |
| Dylan Borso | F | 18 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | 1 | — |
| Joel Waterman | D | 17 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Puso Dithejane | F | 18 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Viktor Radojević | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire?
The final score was FC Cincinnati 3–3 Chicago Fire.
What did the model predict before FC Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire?
The model assigned 42% probability to a FC Cincinnati win, 27% to a draw, and 30% to an Chicago Fire win.