FC Cincinnati 3–3 Chicago Fire — pre-match prediction — MLS — April 19, 2026

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MLS · Regular Season - 8 April 19, 2026 01:30

FC Cincinnati

#10 · 33 pts

3 – 3

Final score

Chicago Fire

#5 · 42 pts

T. Barlow 42'

Evander 79' (pen.)

D. D'Avilla 86' (og)

26' H. Cuypers

(pen.) 45'+5 P. Zinckernagel

48' H. Cuypers

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Cincinnati a 42% win probability (draw 27%, Chicago Fire 30%). The final result was FC Cincinnati 3–3 Chicago Fire. In 1 previous meetings, FC Cincinnati have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Chicago Fire.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

3.71

Actual xG

1.77

Saves

55%

Possession

45%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

S. Gidi

T. Barlow

11'

26'

H. Cuypers⚽

⚽T. Barlow

42'

45'+5

(pen.) P. Zinckernagel⚽

↕ G. Flores / T. Hadebe

46'

48'

H. Cuypers⚽

↕ M. Robinson / A. Powell

64'

↕ T. Barlow / A. Jabbari

70'

↕ E. Echenique / G. Valenzuela

70'

73'

J. Waterman / P. Zinckernagel ↕

⚽Evander (pen.)

79'

83'

P. Dithejane / R. Lod ↕

83'

D. Borso / J. Dean ↕

↕ K. Mboma / K. Smith

86'

⚽D. D'Avilla (og)

86'

90'+4

V. Radojevic / M. Haile-Selassie ↕

90'+9

J. Elliott

90'+9

M. Mbokazi

90'

D. Borso

B. J. Ramirez Leon

90'

P. Bucha

90'

Pre-match prediction

42.23%

27.16%

X ←

30.61%

Chicago

we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 27.16% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

2.21

3.71

+1.5

Chicago

1.46

1.77

+0.31

FC Cincinnati dominated by xG (3.71 vs 1.77). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Nashville SC	27	60
2	New England Revolution	27	46
3	Inter Miami	27	46
4	Charlotte	27	43
5	Chicago Fire	26	42
6	Philadelphia Union	27	39
7	Orlando City SC	27	34
8	New York Red Bulls	27	33
9	New York City FC	27	33
10	FC Cincinnati	26	33
11	DC United	26	30
12	Columbus Crew	27	29
13	Toronto FC	27	29
14	Atlanta United FC	27	27
15	CF Montreal	27	24

Lineups

FC Cincinnati 3-4-1-2

G 6.20

Gilberto Flores 45' D 6.20

Miles Robinson 64' D 6.70

N. Hagglund D 6.30

Bryan Josías Ramírez León M 7.20

S. Gidi M 6.90

P. Bucha M 7.30

E. Echenique 70' M 7.50

Evander 1 ⚽ F 8.30

T. Barlow 1 ⚽ 70' F 6.90

K. Mboma Dem 86' F 7.00

Bench

A. Powell 26' D 7.20

B. Anunga M

G. Valenzuela 20' M 7.20

K. Smith 15' D 6.90

T. Hadebe 45' D 6.30

Chicago Fire 4-4-2

G 9.20

A. Gutman D 6.00

M. Mbokazi D 6.20

J. Elliott D 6.50

J. Dean 83' D 6.20

M. Haile-Selassie 89' M 6.50

T. D'Avilla 1 ⚽ M 6.30

A. Salétros M 6.30

P. Zinckernagel 1 ⚽ 73' M 7.90

R. Lod 83' F 6.20

H. Cuypers 2 ⚽ F 8.30

Bench

D. Poręba M

Dylan Borso 18' F 6.70

Jason Shokalook F

Joel Waterman 17' D 6.00

M. Pineda D

P. Dithejane 18' F 6.70

S. Oregel M

Viktor Radojević 1' D

Best on the pitch

G · Chicago

9.20

· 35 pass

H. Cuypers

F · Chicago

8.30

2 ⚽

2 shots · 28 pass

Evander

F · FC

8.30

1 ⚽

5 shots · 40 pass

P. Zinckernagel

M · Chicago

7.90

1 ⚽

2 shots · 30 pass

E. Echenique

M · FC

7.50

3 shots · 18 pass

P. Bucha

M · FC

7.30

1 shots · 44 pass

FC Cincinnati — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	6.20	—	—	—	26	23%	—	—	—
Gilberto Flores	D	45	6.20	—	—	—	29	24%	—	—	—
Miles Robinson	D	64	6.70	—	—	1	36	26%	5	—	—
N. Hagglund	D	90	6.30	—	—	2	53	46%	1	—	—
Bryan Josías Ramírez León	M	90	7.20	—	—	2	39	33%	3	1	—
S. Gidi	M	90	6.90	—	—	—	62	52%	1	1	—
P. Bucha	M	90	7.30	—	—	1	44	35%	2	1	—
E. Echenique	M	70	7.50	—	—	3	18	15%	—	—	—
Evander	F	90	8.30	1	—	5	40	34%	—	—	—
T. Barlow	F	70	6.90	1	—	1	23	16%	1	1	—
K. Mboma Dem	F	86	7.00	—	—	2	30	27%	2	—	—
A. Powell	D	26	7.20	—	—	—	21	19%	—	—	—
G. Valenzuela	M	20	7.20	—	—	1	9	9%	—	—	—
K. Smith	D	15	6.90	—	—	—	10	7%	—	—	—
T. Hadebe	D	45	6.30	—	—	1	37	28%	—	—	—

Chicago Fire — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	9.20	—	—	—	35	21%	—	—	—
A. Gutman	D	90	6.00	—	—	—	39	28%	3	—	—
M. Mbokazi	D	90	6.20	—	—	—	52	42%	3	1	—
J. Elliott	D	90	6.50	—	—	—	43	35%	—	1	—
J. Dean	D	83	6.20	—	—	—	28	20%	—	—	—
M. Haile-Selassie	M	89	6.50	—	—	3	27	22%	2	—	—
T. D'Avilla	M	90	6.30	1	—	2	41	35%	2	—	—
A. Salétros	M	90	6.30	—	—	1	51	47%	1	—	—
P. Zinckernagel	M	73	7.90	1	—	2	30	20%	3	—	—
R. Lod	F	83	6.20	—	—	—	25	19%	1	—	—
H. Cuypers	F	90	8.30	2	—	2	28	20%	3	—	—
Dylan Borso	F	18	6.70	—	—	—	1	1%	—	1	—
Joel Waterman	D	17	6.00	—	—	—	5	3%	—	—	—
P. Dithejane	F	18	6.70	—	—	—	3	3%	1	—	—
Viktor Radojević	D	1	—	—	—	—	2	1%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of FC Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire?

The final score was FC Cincinnati 3–3 Chicago Fire.

What did the model predict before FC Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire?

The model assigned 42% probability to a FC Cincinnati win, 27% to a draw, and 30% to an Chicago Fire win.