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MLS · Regular Season - 8 April 19, 2026 03:30
FC Cincinnati
#8 · 16 pts
3 – 3
Final score
Chicago Fire
#4 · 20 pts
T. Barlow 42'
Evander 79' (pen.)
D. D'Avilla 86' (og)
26' H. Cuypers
(pen.) 45'+5 P. Zinckernagel
48' H. Cuypers

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Cincinnati a 42% win probability (draw 27%, Chicago Fire 30%). The final result was FC Cincinnati 3–3 Chicago Fire. In 1 previous meetings, FC Cincinnati have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Chicago Fire.

Match statistics
19
Total shots
10
9
Shots on target
6
3.71
Actual xG
1.77
3
Saves
7
55%
Possession
45%
9
Corners
1
15
Tackles
19
4
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
S. Gidi
7'
T. Barlow
11'
26'
H. Cuypers⚽
⚽T. Barlow
42'
45'+5
(pen.) P. Zinckernagel⚽
↕ G. Flores / T. Hadebe
46'
48'
H. Cuypers⚽
↕ M. Robinson / A. Powell
64'
↕ T. Barlow / A. Jabbari
70'
↕ E. Echenique / G. Valenzuela
70'
73'
J. Waterman / P. Zinckernagel ↕
⚽Evander (pen.)
79'
83'
P. Dithejane / R. Lod ↕
83'
D. Borso / J. Dean ↕
↕ K. Mboma / K. Smith
86'
⚽D. D'Avilla (og)
86'
90'+4
V. Radojevic / M. Haile-Selassie ↕
90'+9
J. Elliott
90'+9
M. Mbokazi
90'
D. Borso
B. J. Ramirez Leon
90'
P. Bucha
90'
Pre-match prediction
42.23%
FC
27.16%
X ←
30.61%
Chicago
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 27.16% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
FC
2.21
3.71
+1.5
Chicago
1.46
1.77
+0.31
FC Cincinnati dominated by xG (3.71 vs 1.77). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 12 29
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 12 27
2 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 13 29
2 Inter Miami Inter Miami 13 25
3 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 11 24
3 New England Revolution New England Revolution 12 22
4 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 12 20
4 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 12 22
5 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 13 21
5 New York City FC New York City FC 13 18
6 Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC 13 21
6 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 13 18
7 DC United DC United 13 16
7 FC Dallas FC Dallas 13 19
8 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 12 18
8 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 13 16
9 Charlotte Charlotte 13 15
9 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 13 16
10 San Diego San Diego 13 16
10 Toronto FC Toronto FC 12 14
11 CF Montreal CF Montreal 12 13
11 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 13 16
12 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 13 13
12 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 12 14
13 Austin Austin 13 14
13 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 13 12
14 St. Louis City St. Louis City 12 12
14 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 12 10
15 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 12 8
15 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 13 6
Lineups
FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 3-4-1-2
18
G 6.20
3 Gilberto Flores Gilberto Flores 45' D 6.20
12 Miles Robinson Miles Robinson 64' D 6.70
4 Nick Hagglund Nick Hagglund D 6.30
29 Bryan Ramirez Bryan Ramirez M 7.20
11 Samuel Gidi Samuel Gidi M 6.90
20 Pavel Bucha Pavel Bucha M 7.30
66 Ender Echenique Ender Echenique 70' M 7.50
10 Evander Evander 1 ⚽ F 8.30
16 Tom Barlow Tom Barlow 1 ⚽ 70' F 6.90
17 Kenji Mboma Dem Kenji Mboma Dem 86' F 7.00
Bench
2
Alvas Powell 26' D 7.20
22 Gerardo Valenzuela Gerardo Valenzuela 20' M 7.20
24 Kyle Smith Kyle Smith 15' D 6.90
27 Tah Anunga Tah Anunga M
15
T. Hadebe 45' D 6.30
Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 4-4-2
1
G 9.20
15 Andrew Gutman Andrew Gutman D 6.00
4 Mbekezeli Mbokazi Mbekezeli Mbokazi D 6.20
3 Jack Elliott Jack Elliott D 6.50
24 Jonathan Dean Jonathan Dean 83' D 6.20
7 Maren Haile-Selassie Maren Haile-Selassie 89' M 6.50
42 Dje Tah D'Avilla Dje Tah D'Avilla 1 ⚽ M 6.30
6
A. Saletros M 6.30
11 Philip Zinckernagel Philip Zinckernagel 1 ⚽ 73' M 7.90
17 Robin Lod Robin Lod 83' F 6.20
9 Hugo Cuypers Hugo Cuypers 2 ⚽ F 8.30
Bench
29
D. Poreba M
27 Dylan Borso Dylan Borso 18' F 6.70
20 Jason Shokalook Jason Shokalook F
16 Joel Waterman Joel Waterman 17' D 6.00
22 Mauricio Pineda Mauricio Pineda D
12 Puso Dithejane Puso Dithejane 18' F 6.70
35
S. Oregel M
14 Viktor Radojević Viktor Radojević 1' D
Best on the pitch
G · Chicago
9.20
· 35 pass
Hugo Cuypers
Hugo Cuypers
F · Chicago
8.30
2 ⚽
2 shots · 28 pass
Evander
Evander
F · FC
8.30
1 ⚽
5 shots · 40 pass
Philip Zinckernagel
Philip Zinckernagel
M · Chicago
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 30 pass
Ender Echenique
Ender Echenique
M · FC
7.50
3 shots · 18 pass
Pavel Bucha
Pavel Bucha
M · FC
7.30
1 shots · 44 pass
FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.20 — — — 26 23% — — —
Gilberto Flores D 45 6.20 — — — 29 24% — — —
Miles Robinson D 64 6.70 — — 1 36 26% 5 — —
Nick Hagglund D 90 6.30 — — 2 53 46% 1 — —
Bryan Ramirez M 90 7.20 — — 2 39 33% 3 1 —
Samuel Gidi M 90 6.90 — — — 62 52% 1 1 —
Pavel Bucha M 90 7.30 — — 1 44 35% 2 1 —
Ender Echenique M 70 7.50 — — 3 18 15% — — —
Evander F 90 8.30 1 — 5 40 34% — — —
Tom Barlow F 70 6.90 1 — 1 23 16% 1 1 —
Kenji Mboma Dem F 86 7.00 — — 2 30 27% 2 — —
Alvas Powell D 26 7.20 — — — 21 19% — — —
Gerardo Valenzuela M 20 7.20 — — 1 9 9% — — —
Kyle Smith D 15 6.90 — — — 10 7% — — —
T. Hadebe D 45 6.30 — — 1 37 28% — — —
Chicago Fire Chicago Fire — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 9.20 — — — 35 21% — — —
Andrew Gutman D 90 6.00 — — — 39 28% 3 — —
Mbekezeli Mbokazi D 90 6.20 — — — 52 42% 3 1 —
Jack Elliott D 90 6.50 — — — 43 35% — 1 —
Jonathan Dean D 83 6.20 — — — 28 20% — — —
Maren Haile-Selassie M 89 6.50 — — 3 27 22% 2 — —
Dje Tah D'Avilla M 90 6.30 1 — 2 41 35% 2 — —
A. Saletros M 90 6.30 — — 1 51 47% 1 — —
Philip Zinckernagel M 73 7.90 1 — 2 30 20% 3 — —
Robin Lod F 83 6.20 — — — 25 19% 1 — —
Hugo Cuypers F 90 8.30 2 — 2 28 20% 3 — —
Dylan Borso F 18 6.70 — — — 1 1% — 1 —
Joel Waterman D 17 6.00 — — — 5 3% — — —
Puso Dithejane F 18 6.70 — — — 3 3% 1 — —
Viktor Radojević D 1 — — — — 2 1% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire?
The final score was FC Cincinnati 3–3 Chicago Fire.
What did the model predict before FC Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire?
The model assigned 42% probability to a FC Cincinnati win, 27% to a draw, and 30% to an Chicago Fire win.