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MLS · Regular Season - 30 October 18, 2026 23:00 TQL Stadium, Cincinnati
FC Cincinnati
#8 · 42 pts
0 – 2
Final score
Columbus Crew
#10 · 38 pts
22' (ast. Brais Méndez) Gonzalo Tapia
54' (ast. Gonzalo Tapia) Taha Habroune
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Cincinnati a 41% win probability (draw 20%, Columbus Crew 37%). The final result was FC Cincinnati 0–2 Columbus Crew. In 1 previous meetings, FC Cincinnati have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Columbus Crew.

Match statistics
23
Total shots
3
7
Shots on target
2
2.27
Actual xG
0.36
0
Saves
7
55%
Possession
45%
2
Corners
2
18
Tackles
21
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
↕ Julian Malatini / Nick Hagglund
18'
22'
ast. Brais Méndez · Gonzalo Tapia⚽
Samuel Mawuena Gidi
28'
Teenage Hadebe
31'
45'+7
André Gomes
45'
Sekou Tidiany Bangoura / Brais Méndez ↕
54'
ast. Gonzalo Tapia · Taha Habroune⚽
↕ David Douděra / Ender Jesús Echenique Peña
59'
↕ Tom Barlow / Kenji Mboma Dem
59'
65'
Jamal Thiare / Santiago Rodriguez ↕
66'
Dylan Chambost / Taha Habroune ↕
66'
Eric Bailly / Steven Moreira ↕
79'
Lautaro Giaccone / Gonzalo Tapia ↕
↕ Nick Hagglund / Gerardo Valenzuela
79'
↕ Pavel Bucha / Ayoub Jabbari
79'
90'+3
Dylan Chambost
Pre-match prediction
41.77%
FC
20.3%
X
37.93%
Columbus ←
we assigned to the actual result (Columbus Crew) 37.93% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
FC
2.02
2.27
+0.25
Columbus
2.00
0.36
-1.64
FC Cincinnati dominated by xG (2.27 vs 0.36). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 31 70
2 New England Revolution New England Revolution 31 55
3 Inter Miami Inter Miami 31 55
4 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 31 51
5 Charlotte Charlotte 31 47
6 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 31 46
7 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 31 42
8 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 31 42
9 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 31 39
10 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 31 38
11 Toronto FC Toronto FC 31 36
12 New York City FC New York City FC 31 35
13 DC United DC United 31 33
14 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 31 30
15 CF Montreal CF Montreal 31 25
Lineups
FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 3-4-1-2
18 R. Celentano R. Celentano G 5.81
15 T. Hadebe T. Hadebe D 6.35
6 J. Malatini J. Malatini 18' D 6.12
11 S. Gidi S. Gidi D 6.16
3 T. Malacia T. Malacia M 6.92
20 P. Bucha P. Bucha 79' M 6.43
5 O. Nwobodo O. Nwobodo M 6.73
23 D. Douděra D. Douděra 59' M 6.60
10 Evander Evander M 6.36
9 K. Denkey K. Denkey F 6.29
16 T. Barlow T. Barlow 59' F 6.96
Bench
99 A. Jabbari A. Jabbari 11' F 6.55
27 B. Anunga B. Anunga M 0.00
29 Bryan Josías Ramírez León Bryan Josías Ramírez León D 0.00
66 E. Echenique E. Echenique 31' F 6.90
13 E. Louro E. Louro G 0.00
22 G. Valenzuela G. Valenzuela 11' M 6.16
17 K. Mboma Dem K. Mboma Dem 31' F 6.50
24 K. Smith K. Smith D 0.00
4 N. Hagglund N. Hagglund 61' D 6.75
Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 3-4-3
28 P. Schulte P. Schulte G 8.32
18 M. Amundsen M. Amundsen D 7.24
25 S. Zawadzki S. Zawadzki D 7.34
31 S. Moreira S. Moreira 66' D 7.08
11 B. Lennon B. Lennon M 6.36
16 T. Habroune T. Habroune 1 ⚽ 66' M 8.07
20 André Gomes André Gomes M 6.31
2 M. Herrera M. Herrera M 6.70
8 S. Rodríguez S. Rodríguez 65' F 6.21
33 G. Tapia G. Tapia 1 ⚽ 1 👟 79' F 8.27
10 Brais Méndez Brais Méndez 1 👟 45' F 7.28
Bench
14 A. Sejdić A. Sejdić M 0.00
7 D. Chambost D. Chambost 24' M 6.55
3 E. Bailly E. Bailly 24' D 7.01
77 Josef Martínez Josef Martínez F 0.00
19 J. Thiaré J. Thiaré 25' F 6.58
26 L. Giaccone L. Giaccone 11' M 6.75
23 M. Farsi M. Farsi D 0.00
1 N. Hagen N. Hagen G 0.00
17 S. Bangoura S. Bangoura 45' M 7.01
Best on the pitch
P. Schulte
P. Schulte
G · Columbus
8.32
· 42 pass
G. Tapia
G. Tapia
F · Columbus
8.27
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots · 15 pass
T. Habroune
T. Habroune
M · Columbus
8.07
1 ⚽
1 shots · 18 pass
S. Zawadzki
S. Zawadzki
D · Columbus
7.34
· 40 pass
Brais Méndez
Brais Méndez
F · Columbus
7.28
1 👟
· 18 pass
M. Amundsen
M. Amundsen
D · Columbus
7.24
· 33 pass
FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
R. Celentano G 90 5.81 — — 0 22 21% 0 — —
T. Hadebe D 90 6.35 — — 1 87 76% 0 1 —
J. Malatini D 18 6.12 — — 0 11 10% 0 — —
S. Gidi D 90 6.16 — — 0 88 80% 2 1 —
T. Malacia M 90 6.92 — — 0 36 33% 3 — —
P. Bucha M 79 6.43 — — 2 52 47% 3 — —
O. Nwobodo M 90 6.73 — — 1 67 61% 5 — —
D. Douděra M 59 6.60 — — 1 23 18% 4 — —
Evander M 90 6.36 — — 6 52 39% 0 — —
K. Denkey F 90 6.29 — — 2 21 13% 0 — —
T. Barlow F 59 6.96 — — 5 10 7% 1 — —
A. Jabbari F 11 6.55 — — 2 3 1% 0 — —
E. Echenique F 31 6.90 — — 1 31 26% 0 — —
G. Valenzuela M 11 6.16 — — 0 12 10% 0 — —
K. Mboma Dem F 31 6.50 — — 1 22 21% 0 — —
N. Hagglund D 61 6.75 — — 1 71 66% 0 — —
Columbus Crew Columbus Crew — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
P. Schulte G 90 8.32 — — 0 42 25% 0 — —
M. Amundsen D 90 7.24 — — 0 33 24% 3 — —
S. Zawadzki D 90 7.34 — — 0 40 36% 1 — —
S. Moreira D 66 7.08 — — 0 21 16% 1 — —
B. Lennon M 90 6.36 — — 0 15 13% 0 — —
T. Habroune M 66 8.07 1 — 1 18 13% 5 — —
André Gomes M 90 6.31 — — 0 34 27% 0 1 —
M. Herrera M 90 6.70 — — 0 9 5% 3 — —
S. Rodríguez F 65 6.21 — — 0 16 13% 3 — —
G. Tapia F 79 8.27 1 1 1 15 8% 2 — —
Brais Méndez F 45 7.28 — 1 0 18 15% 1 — —
D. Chambost M 24 6.55 — — 0 5 1% 0 1 —
E. Bailly D 24 7.01 — — 0 4 2% 0 — —
J. Thiaré F 25 6.58 — — 1 4 1% 0 — —
L. Giaccone M 11 6.75 — — 0 1 0% 0 — —
S. Bangoura M 45 7.01 — — 0 10 8% 2 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC Cincinnati vs Columbus Crew?
The final score was FC Cincinnati 0–2 Columbus Crew.
What did the model predict before FC Cincinnati vs Columbus Crew?
The model assigned 41% probability to a FC Cincinnati win, 20% to a draw, and 37% to an Columbus Crew win.