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FC Cincinnati - DC United

MLS October 22, 2026 01:00
FC Cincinnati
#9 · 33 pts
vs
DC United
#11 · 29 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
63.67%
Win
FC Cincinnati
17.85%
Draw
18.47%
Win
DC United
2.62
Expected xG
1.32
Most likely outcome
FC Cincinnati
63.67%
Probability
63.0%
1X2 accuracy · 46 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (8.86%)
1X2 Result
1 64%
X 18%
2 18%
Double Chance
1X 82%
X2 36%
12 82%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 88%
Over 2.5 72%
✓ 78.2% hit rate (101 picks)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives FC Cincinnati a 63% win probability, against 17% for a draw and 18% for DC United. Expected goals are 2.6 for FC Cincinnati and 1.3 for DC United (total 3.9), with a 88% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 8.86% probability.

Season Stats

FC Cincinnati
5W 6D 4L
DC United
3W 8D 4L
Averages per game
2.3
Goals
1.3
2.5
Conceded
1.6
6.0
Shots OT
5.3
4.2
Corners
5.3
50%
Poss.
37%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
87%
87%
O 2.5
60%
87%
BTTS
73%
0%
Clean Sht
20%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in MLS. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
50%
O 3.5
75%
BTTS
FC Cincinnati
6W 3D 1L · at home
DC United
2W 6D 2L · away
3.2
gls/g
1.3
2.3
Conceded
1.3
60%
Win %
20%
90%
Win or Draw
80%
100%
O 1.5
70%
80%
O 2.5
40%
70%
O 3.5
30%
90%
BTTS
60%
10%
Clean Sht
30%
0%
Failed to Score
30%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ FC Cincinnati DC United →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.9% 2.6% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
1 5.1% 6.7% 4.4% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2%
2 6.7% 8.8% 5.8% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%
3 5.8% 7.7% 5.1% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
4 3.8% 5.1% 3.3% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
5 2.0% 2.7% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%

Recent form

FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati
D Houston Dynamo 2–2
D Charlotte 3–3
L Philadelphia Union 5–0
L Nashville SC 4–0
D Seattle Sounders 1–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 17%
DC United DC United
L Charlotte 1–2
D Atlanta United FC 0–0
W Columbus Crew 2–1
D Los Angeles FC 0–0
L Charlotte 3–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 18%

Playing profile

FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati
Attack
55
Defence
47
Form
40
DC United DC United
Attack
37
Defence
58
Form
39
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Eastern Conference

# Team G Pts
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 26 57
2 New England Revolution New England Revolution 26 46
3 Inter Miami Inter Miami 26 46
4 Charlotte Charlotte 26 43
5 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 25 39
6 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 26 36
7 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 26 34
8 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 26 33
9 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 25 33
10 New York City FC New York City FC 26 32
11 DC United DC United 25 29
12 Toronto FC Toronto FC 26 29
13 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 26 26
14 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 26 26
15 CF Montreal CF Montreal 26 21

What's at stake · Eastern Conference

Top 2 advance to the next round

FC Cincinnati DC United
Current #9 #11
→ FC Cincinnati #7 #11
→ Draw #7 #11
→ DC United #8 #11

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win FC Cincinnati vs DC United?
The model gives FC Cincinnati a 63% win probability, 17% for a draw, and 18% for an DC United win.
How many goals are expected in FC Cincinnati vs DC United?
Expected goals: FC Cincinnati 2.6, DC United 1.3 (total 3.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 88%.
What is the most likely score in FC Cincinnati vs DC United?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.86%.