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MLS · Regular Season - 14 May 14, 2026 01:30
FC Cincinnati
#7 · 20 pts
3 – 5
Final score
Inter Miami
#2 · 31 pts
K. Denkey 41' (pen.)
P. Bucha (ast. B. J. Ramirez Leon) 49'
Evander (ast. K. Denkey) 64'
24' L. Messi
55' (ast. R. de Paul) L. Messi
79' (ast. L. Messi) M. Silvetti
84' G. Berterame
89' (ast. M. Silvetti) L. Messi
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Inter Miami a 44% win probability (draw 21%, FC Cincinnati 33%). The final result was FC Cincinnati 3–5 Inter Miami.

Match statistics
7
Total shots
12
3
Shots on target
6
1.76
Actual xG
2.21
1
Saves
0
46%
Possession
54%
1
Corners
8
13
Tackles
32
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
6'
24'
L. Messi⚽
38'
I. Fray
40'
G. Lujan
⚽K. Denkey (pen.)
41'
⚽P. Bucha · ast. B. J. Ramirez Leon
49'
55'
ast. R. de Paul · L. Messi⚽
↕ S. Gidi / E. Echenique
60'
⚽Evander · ast. K. Denkey
64'
65'
F. Mura / S. Reguilon ↕
↕ M. Robinson / N. Hagglund
72'
↕ K. Mboma / O. Nwobodo
73'
↕ M. Miazga / A. Chirila
73'
O. Nwobodo
76'
77'
M. Silvetti / L. Suarez ↕
77'
Y. Bright
79'
ast. L. Messi · M. Silvetti⚽
84'
G. Berterame⚽
↕ P. Bucha / T. Barlow
87'
↕ A. Chirila / A. Lajhar
87'
89'
ast. M. Silvetti · L. Messi⚽
Evander
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
33.8%
FC
21.72%
X
44.49%
Inter ←
we assigned to the actual result (Inter Miami) 44.49% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
FC
2.40
1.76
-0.64
Inter
2.83
2.21
-0.62
Inter Miami dominated by xG (2.21 vs 1.76). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 14 33
2 Inter Miami Inter Miami 15 31
3 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 14 26
4 New England Revolution New England Revolution 14 25
5 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 15 22
6 Charlotte Charlotte 15 21
7 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 15 20
8 New York City FC New York City FC 15 19
9 DC United DC United 15 18
10 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 15 16
11 CF Montreal CF Montreal 14 14
12 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 15 14
13 Toronto FC Toronto FC 14 14
14 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 14 11
15 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 15 7
Lineups
FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 3-5-2
18 Roman Celentano Roman Celentano G 6.20
12 M. Robinson M. Robinson 72' D 7.30
21 Matt Miazga Matt Miazga 73' D 5.90
24 K. Smith K. Smith D 5.70
29 Bryan Josías Ramírez León Bryan Josías Ramírez León 1 👟 M 7.30
11 Samuel Gidi Samuel Gidi 60' M 6.20
10 Evander Evander 1 ⚽ M 7.20
22 G. Valenzuela G. Valenzuela M 6.30
20
Pavel Bucha 1 ⚽ 87' M 6.60
17 K. Mboma Dem K. Mboma Dem 73' F 6.60
9 K. Denkey K. Denkey 1 ⚽ 1 👟 F 7.60
Bench
88 Andrei Chirila Andrei Chirila 14' D 5.70
99 Ayoub Jabbari Ayoub Jabbari F
55 Ayoub Lajhar Ayoub Lajhar 13' D 6.50
27 B. Anunga B. Anunga M
66
Ender Echenique 30' F 6.20
13 Evan Louro Evan Louro G
4 Nick Hagglund Nick Hagglund 18' D 6.00
5 O. Nwobodo O. Nwobodo 17' M 6.20
16 T. Barlow T. Barlow 13' F 6.30
Inter Miami Inter Miami 4-3-3
97 Dayne St. Clair Dayne St. Clair G 6.20
3 Sergio Reguilón Sergio Reguilón 65' D 6.20
16 Micael Micael D 6.30
2 Gonzalo Luján Gonzalo Luján D 5.00
17 I. Fray I. Fray D 5.70
8 T. Segovia T. Segovia M 7.20
42 Y. Bright Y. Bright M 7.70
7 Rodrigo De Paul Rodrigo De Paul 1 👟 M 7.30
9 Luis Suárez Luis Suárez 77' F 6.30
19 G. Berterame G. Berterame 1 ⚽ F 6.90
10 L. Messi L. Messi 3 ⚽ 1 👟 F 10.00
Bench
56 Daniel Pinter Daniel Pinter F
22 David Ayala David Ayala M
41 David Ruíz David Ruíz M
76 Ezequiel Abadia-Reda Ezequiel Abadia-Reda D
4 Facundo Mura Facundo Mura 25' D 6.90
24 Mateo Silvetti Mateo Silvetti 1 ⚽ 1 👟 13' F 8.50
37 Maximiliano Falcón Maximiliano Falcón D
59 Preston Plambeck Preston Plambeck M
34 Rocco Ríos Novo Rocco Ríos Novo G
Best on the pitch
L. Messi
L. Messi
F · Inter
10.00
3 ⚽ 1 👟
5 shots · 51 pass
Mateo Silvetti
Mateo Silvetti
F · Inter
8.50
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots · 5 pass
Y. Bright
Y. Bright
M · Inter
7.70
1 shots · 48 pass
K. Denkey
K. Denkey
F · FC
7.60
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 29 pass
Bryan Josías Ramírez León
Bryan Josías Ramírez León
M · FC
7.30
1 👟
· 42 pass
M. Robinson
M. Robinson
D · FC
7.30
· 44 pass
FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Roman Celentano G 90 6.20 — — — 23 23% — — —
M. Robinson D 72 7.30 — — — 44 39% 2 — —
Matt Miazga D 73 5.90 — — — 42 37% — — —
K. Smith D 90 5.70 — — — 40 33% — — —
Bryan Josías Ramírez León M 90 7.30 — 1 — 42 35% 4 — —
Samuel Gidi M 60 6.20 — — — 43 36% — — —
Evander M 90 7.20 1 — 2 37 32% 1 1 —
G. Valenzuela M 90 6.30 — — — 45 43% 2 — —
Pavel Bucha M 87 6.60 1 — 2 33 25% 1 — —
K. Mboma Dem F 73 6.60 — — — 22 16% 2 — —
K. Denkey F 90 7.60 1 1 2 29 23% — — —
Andrei Chirila D 14 5.70 — — — 6 5% — — —
Ayoub Lajhar D 13 6.50 — — — 8 8% — — —
Ender Echenique F 30 6.20 — — 1 13 10% 1 — —
Nick Hagglund D 18 6.00 — — — 11 11% — — —
O. Nwobodo M 17 6.20 — — — 15 12% — 1 —
T. Barlow F 13 6.30 — — — 2 2% — — —
Inter Miami Inter Miami — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Dayne St. Clair G 90 6.20 — — — 27 22% — — —
Sergio Reguilón D 65 6.20 — — — 37 28% 2 — —
Micael D 90 6.30 — — 1 49 45% 3 — —
Gonzalo Luján D 90 5.00 — — 1 51 40% 1 1 —
I. Fray D 90 5.70 — — — 30 25% 2 1 —
T. Segovia M 90 7.20 — — 1 54 49% 5 — —
Y. Bright M 90 7.70 — — 1 48 44% 10 1 —
Rodrigo De Paul M 90 7.30 — 1 — 74 61% 1 — —
Luis Suárez F 77 6.30 — — 1 39 29% 1 — —
G. Berterame F 90 6.90 1 — 1 29 22% 1 — —
L. Messi F 90 10.00 3 1 5 51 37% 1 — —
Facundo Mura D 25 6.90 — — — 19 17% 2 — —
Mateo Silvetti F 13 8.50 1 1 1 5 5% 3 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC Cincinnati vs Inter Miami?
The final score was FC Cincinnati 3–5 Inter Miami.
What did the model predict before FC Cincinnati vs Inter Miami?
The model assigned 33% probability to a FC Cincinnati win, 21% to a draw, and 44% to an Inter Miami win.