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MLS · Regular Season - 13 May 14, 2026 01:30
FC Cincinnati
#7 · 31 pts
3 – 5
Final score
Inter Miami
#2 · 44 pts
K. Denkey 41' (pen.)
P. Bucha (ast. B. J. Ramirez Leon) 49'
Evander (ast. K. Denkey) 64'
24' L. Messi
55' (ast. R. de Paul) L. Messi
79' (ast. L. Messi) M. Silvetti
84' G. Berterame
89' (ast. M. Silvetti) L. Messi
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Inter Miami a 44% win probability (draw 21%, FC Cincinnati 33%). The final result was FC Cincinnati 3–5 Inter Miami.

Match statistics
7
Total shots
12
3
Shots on target
6
1.76
Actual xG
2.21
1
Saves
0
46%
Possession
54%
1
Corners
8
13
Tackles
32
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
6'
24'
L. Messi⚽
38'
I. Fray
40'
G. Lujan
⚽K. Denkey (pen.)
41'
⚽P. Bucha · ast. B. J. Ramirez Leon
49'
55'
ast. R. de Paul · L. Messi⚽
↕ S. Gidi / E. Echenique
60'
⚽Evander · ast. K. Denkey
64'
65'
F. Mura / S. Reguilon ↕
↕ M. Robinson / N. Hagglund
72'
↕ K. Mboma / O. Nwobodo
73'
↕ M. Miazga / A. Chirila
73'
O. Nwobodo
76'
77'
M. Silvetti / L. Suarez ↕
77'
Y. Bright
79'
ast. L. Messi · M. Silvetti⚽
84'
G. Berterame⚽
↕ P. Bucha / T. Barlow
87'
↕ A. Chirila / A. Lajhar
87'
89'
ast. M. Silvetti · L. Messi⚽
Evander
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
33.8%
FC
21.72%
X
44.49%
Inter ←
we assigned to the actual result (Inter Miami) 44.49% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
FC
2.40
1.76
-0.64
Inter
2.83
2.21
-0.62
Inter Miami dominated by xG (2.21 vs 1.76). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 24 53
2 Inter Miami Inter Miami 24 44
3 New England Revolution New England Revolution 24 40
4 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 23 39
5 Charlotte Charlotte 24 39
6 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 24 31
7 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 23 31
8 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 24 30
9 New York City FC New York City FC 24 29
10 Toronto FC Toronto FC 24 29
11 DC United DC United 23 28
12 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 24 27
13 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 24 23
14 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 24 22
15 CF Montreal CF Montreal 24 21
Lineups
FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 3-5-2
18 R. Celentano R. Celentano G 6.20
12 M. Robinson M. Robinson 72' D 7.30
21 Matt Miazga Matt Miazga 73' D 5.90
24 K. Smith K. Smith D 5.70
29 Bryan Josías Ramírez León Bryan Josías Ramírez León 1 👟 M 7.30
11 S. Gidi S. Gidi 60' M 6.20
10 Evander Evander 1 ⚽ M 7.20
22 G. Valenzuela G. Valenzuela M 6.30
20 P. Bucha P. Bucha 1 ⚽ 87' M 6.60
17 K. Mboma Dem K. Mboma Dem 73' F 6.60
9 K. Denkey K. Denkey 1 ⚽ 1 👟 F 7.60
Bench
88 A. Chirila A. Chirila 14' D 5.70
99 A. Jabbari A. Jabbari F
55 Ayoub Lajhar Ayoub Lajhar 13' D 6.50
27 B. Anunga B. Anunga M
66 E. Echenique E. Echenique 30' F 6.20
13 E. Louro E. Louro G
4 N. Hagglund N. Hagglund 18' D 6.00
5 O. Nwobodo O. Nwobodo 17' M 6.20
16 T. Barlow T. Barlow 13' F 6.30
Inter Miami Inter Miami 4-3-3
97 D. St. Clair D. St. Clair G 6.20
3 Sergio Reguilón Sergio Reguilón 65' D 6.20
16 Micael Micael D 6.30
2 Gonzalo Luján Gonzalo Luján D 5.00
17 I. Fray I. Fray D 5.70
8 T. Segovia T. Segovia M 7.20
42 Y. Bright Y. Bright M 7.70
7 R. De Paul R. De Paul 1 👟 M 7.30
9 L. Suárez L. Suárez 77' F 6.30
19 G. Berterame G. Berterame 1 ⚽ F 6.90
10 L. Messi L. Messi 3 ⚽ 1 👟 F 10.00
Bench
56 Daniel Pinter Daniel Pinter F
22 D. Ayala D. Ayala M
41 D. Ruíz D. Ruíz M
76 Ezequiel Abadia-Reda Ezequiel Abadia-Reda D
4 F. Mura F. Mura 25' D 6.90
24 Mateo Silvetti Mateo Silvetti 1 ⚽ 1 👟 13' F 8.50
37 M. Falcón M. Falcón D
59 P. Plambeck P. Plambeck M
34 R. Ríos Novo R. Ríos Novo G
Best on the pitch
L. Messi
L. Messi
F · Inter
10.00
3 ⚽ 1 👟
5 shots · 51 pass
Mateo Silvetti
Mateo Silvetti
F · Inter
8.50
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots · 5 pass
Y. Bright
Y. Bright
M · Inter
7.70
1 shots · 48 pass
K. Denkey
K. Denkey
F · FC
7.60
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 29 pass
Bryan Josías Ramírez León
Bryan Josías Ramírez León
M · FC
7.30
1 👟
· 42 pass
M. Robinson
M. Robinson
D · FC
7.30
· 44 pass
FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
R. Celentano G 90 6.20 — — — 23 23% — — —
M. Robinson D 72 7.30 — — — 44 39% 2 — —
Matt Miazga D 73 5.90 — — — 42 37% — — —
K. Smith D 90 5.70 — — — 40 33% — — —
Bryan Josías Ramírez León M 90 7.30 — 1 — 42 35% 4 — —
S. Gidi M 60 6.20 — — — 43 36% — — —
Evander M 90 7.20 1 — 2 37 32% 1 1 —
G. Valenzuela M 90 6.30 — — — 45 43% 2 — —
P. Bucha M 87 6.60 1 — 2 33 25% 1 — —
K. Mboma Dem F 73 6.60 — — — 22 16% 2 — —
K. Denkey F 90 7.60 1 1 2 29 23% — — —
A. Chirila D 14 5.70 — — — 6 5% — — —
Ayoub Lajhar D 13 6.50 — — — 8 8% — — —
E. Echenique F 30 6.20 — — 1 13 10% 1 — —
N. Hagglund D 18 6.00 — — — 11 11% — — —
O. Nwobodo M 17 6.20 — — — 15 12% — 1 —
T. Barlow F 13 6.30 — — — 2 2% — — —
Inter Miami Inter Miami — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
D. St. Clair G 90 6.20 — — — 27 22% — — —
Sergio Reguilón D 65 6.20 — — — 37 28% 2 — —
Micael D 90 6.30 — — 1 49 45% 3 — —
Gonzalo Luján D 90 5.00 — — 1 51 40% 1 1 —
I. Fray D 90 5.70 — — — 30 25% 2 1 —
T. Segovia M 90 7.20 — — 1 54 49% 5 — —
Y. Bright M 90 7.70 — — 1 48 44% 10 1 —
R. De Paul M 90 7.30 — 1 — 74 61% 1 — —
L. Suárez F 77 6.30 — — 1 39 29% 1 — —
G. Berterame F 90 6.90 1 — 1 29 22% 1 — —
L. Messi F 90 10.00 3 1 5 51 37% 1 — —
F. Mura D 25 6.90 — — — 19 17% 2 — —
Mateo Silvetti F 13 8.50 1 1 1 5 5% 3 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC Cincinnati vs Inter Miami?
The final score was FC Cincinnati 3–5 Inter Miami.
What did the model predict before FC Cincinnati vs Inter Miami?
The model assigned 33% probability to a FC Cincinnati win, 21% to a draw, and 44% to an Inter Miami win.