MLS
· Regular Season - 14
May 14, 2026 01:30
K. Denkey
41'
(pen.)
P. Bucha
(ast. B. J. Ramirez Leon)
49'
Evander
(ast. K. Denkey)
64'
24'
L. Messi
55'
(ast. R. de Paul)
L. Messi
79'
(ast. L. Messi)
M. Silvetti
84'
G. Berterame
89'
(ast. M. Silvetti)
L. Messi
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Inter Miami a 44% win probability (draw 21%, FC Cincinnati 33%). The final result was FC Cincinnati 3–5 Inter Miami.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
12
3
Shots on target
6
1.76
Actual xG
2.21
1
Saves
0
46%
Possession
54%
1
Corners
8
13
Tackles
32
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
6'
24'
L. Messi⚽
38'
I. Fray
40'
G. Lujan
⚽K. Denkey
(pen.)
41'
⚽P. Bucha
· ast. B. J. Ramirez Leon
49'
55'
ast. R. de Paul ·
L. Messi⚽
S. Gidi
/ E. Echenique
60'
⚽Evander
· ast. K. Denkey
64'
65'
F. Mura
/
S. Reguilon
M. Robinson
/ N. Hagglund
72'
K. Mboma
/ O. Nwobodo
73'
M. Miazga
/ A. Chirila
73'
O. Nwobodo
76'
77'
M. Silvetti
/
L. Suarez
77'
Y. Bright
79'
ast. L. Messi ·
M. Silvetti⚽
84'
G. Berterame⚽
P. Bucha
/ T. Barlow
87'
A. Chirila
/ A. Lajhar
87'
89'
ast. M. Silvetti ·
L. Messi⚽
Evander
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
33.8%
FC
21.72%
X
44.49%
Inter ←
we assigned to the actual result (Inter Miami)
44.49%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.40
1.76
-0.64
2.83
2.21
-0.62
Inter Miami dominated by xG (2.21 vs 1.76).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
18
Roman Celentano
G
Roman Celentano
G
12
Miles Robinson
72'
D
Miles Robinson
72'
D
21
Matt Miazga
73'
D
Matt Miazga
73'
D
24
Kyle Smith
D
Kyle Smith
D
29
Bryan Ramirez
1 👟
M
Bryan Ramirez
1 👟
M
11
Samuel Gidi
60'
M
Samuel Gidi
60'
M
10
Evander
1 ⚽
M
Evander
1 ⚽
M
22
Gerardo Valenzuela
M
Gerardo Valenzuela
M
20
Pavel Bucha
1 ⚽
87'
M
Pavel Bucha
1 ⚽
87'
M
17
Kenji Mboma Dem
73'
F
Kenji Mboma Dem
73'
F
9
Kévin Denkey
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
Kévin Denkey
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
Bench
88
Andrei Chirila
14'
D
Andrei Chirila
14'
D
99
Ayoub Jabbari
F
Ayoub Jabbari
F
55
Ayoub Lajhar
13'
D
Ayoub Lajhar
13'
D
66
Ender Echenique
30'
F
Ender Echenique
30'
F
13
Evan Louro
G
Evan Louro
G
4
Nick Hagglund
18'
D
Nick Hagglund
18'
D
5
Obinna Nwobodo
17'
M
Obinna Nwobodo
17'
M
27
Tah Anunga
M
Tah Anunga
M
16
Tom Barlow
13'
F
Tom Barlow
13'
F
97
Dayne St. Clair
G
Dayne St. Clair
G
3
Sergio Reguilón
65'
D
Sergio Reguilón
65'
D
16
Micael
D
Micael
D
2
Gonzalo Luján
D
Gonzalo Luján
D
17
Ian Fray
D
Ian Fray
D
8
Telasco Segovia
M
Telasco Segovia
M
42
Yannick Bright
M
Yannick Bright
M
7
Rodrigo De Paul
1 👟
M
Rodrigo De Paul
1 👟
M
9
Luis Suárez
77'
F
Luis Suárez
77'
F
19
G. Berterame
1 ⚽
F
G. Berterame
1 ⚽
F
10
Lionel Messi
3 ⚽
1 👟
F
Lionel Messi
3 ⚽
1 👟
F
Bench
56
Daniel Pinter
F
Daniel Pinter
F
22
David Ayala
M
David Ayala
M
41
David Ruíz
M
David Ruíz
M
76
Ezequiel Abadia-Reda
D
Ezequiel Abadia-Reda
D
4
Facundo Mura
25'
D
Facundo Mura
25'
D
24
Mateo Silvetti
1 ⚽
1 👟
13'
F
Mateo Silvetti
1 ⚽
1 👟
13'
F
37
Maximiliano Falcón
D
Maximiliano Falcón
D
59
Preston Plambeck
M
Preston Plambeck
M
34
Rocco Ríos Novo
G
Rocco Ríos Novo
G
Best on the pitch
Lionel Messi
F · Inter
10.00
3 ⚽ 1 👟
5 shots
· 51 pass
Mateo Silvetti
F · Inter
8.50
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 5 pass
Yannick Bright
M · Inter
7.70
1 shots
· 48 pass
Kévin Denkey
F · FC
7.60
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 29 pass
Bryan Ramirez
M · FC
7.30
1 👟
· 42 pass
Miles Robinson
D · FC
7.30
· 44 pass
FC Cincinnati — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roman Celentano | G | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Miles Robinson | D | 72 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 44 | 39% | 2 | — | — |
| Matt Miazga | D | 73 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 42 | 37% | — | — | — |
| Kyle Smith | D | 90 | 5.70 | — | — | — | 40 | 33% | — | — | — |
| Bryan Ramirez | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 42 | 35% | 4 | — | — |
| Samuel Gidi | M | 60 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 43 | 36% | — | — | — |
| Evander | M | 90 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 37 | 32% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Gerardo Valenzuela | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 45 | 43% | 2 | — | — |
| Pavel Bucha | M | 87 | 6.60 | 1 | — | 2 | 33 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Kenji Mboma Dem | F | 73 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 22 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| Kévin Denkey | F | 90 | 7.60 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 29 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Andrei Chirila | D | 14 | 5.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Ayoub Lajhar | D | 13 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Ender Echenique | F | 30 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Nick Hagglund | D | 18 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 11 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Obinna Nwobodo | M | 17 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | — | 1 | — |
| Tom Barlow | F | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Inter Miami — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dayne St. Clair | G | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Sergio Reguilón | D | 65 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 37 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| Micael | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 49 | 45% | 3 | — | — |
| Gonzalo Luján | D | 90 | 5.00 | — | — | 1 | 51 | 40% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Ian Fray | D | 90 | 5.70 | — | — | — | 30 | 25% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Telasco Segovia | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 54 | 49% | 5 | — | — |
| Yannick Bright | M | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 44% | 10 | 1 | — |
| Rodrigo De Paul | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 74 | 61% | 1 | — | — |
| Luis Suárez | F | 77 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Berterame | F | 90 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 29 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Lionel Messi | F | 90 | 10.00 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 51 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| Facundo Mura | D | 25 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| Mateo Silvetti | F | 13 | 8.50 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5% | 3 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC Cincinnati vs Inter Miami?
The final score was FC Cincinnati 3–5 Inter Miami.
What did the model predict before FC Cincinnati vs Inter Miami?
The model assigned 33% probability to a FC Cincinnati win, 21% to a draw, and 44% to an Inter Miami win.