MLS
· Regular Season - 20
August 20, 2026 01:30
K. Mboma
(ast. K. Denkey)
11'
Evander
(ast. G. Valenzuela)
90'+1
21'
(ast. A. Ojeda)
Luighi
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Cincinnati a 56% win probability (draw 18%, New York City FC 24%). The final result was FC Cincinnati 2–1 New York City FC. In 1 previous meetings, FC Cincinnati have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for New York City FC.
Match statistics
13
Total shots
12
6
Shots on target
8
1.19
Actual xG
1.67
7
Saves
4
56%
Possession
44%
2
Corners
5
15
Tackles
13
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽K. Mboma
· ast. K. Denkey
11'
21'
ast. A. Ojeda ·
Luighi⚽
M. Miazga
33'
36'
K. Parks
O. Nwobodo
50'
55'
Luighi
M. Miazga
/ T. Hadebe
60'
E. Echenique
/ B. J. Ramirez Leon
60'
64'
S. Reid
/
Luighi
64'
M. Jones
/
B. Traore
O. Nwobodo
/ S. Gidi
72'
K. Denkey
/ T. Barlow
72'
74'
N. Mercau
75'
J. Shore
/
K. Parks
75'
N. Cavallo
/
K. O'Toole
81'
Talles Magno
/
A. Ojeda
S. Gidi
82'
K. Smith
/ T. Anunga
83'
⚽Evander
· ast. G. Valenzuela
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
56.96%
FC ←
18.91%
X
24.13%
New
we assigned to the actual result (FC Cincinnati)
56.96%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.50
1.19
-1.31
1.56
1.67
+0.11
New York City FC dominated by xG (1.67 vs 1.19).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
18
R. Celentano
G
R. Celentano
G
24
K. Smith
83'
D
K. Smith
83'
D
21
Matt Miazga
60'
D
Matt Miazga
60'
D
12
M. Robinson
D
M. Robinson
D
66
E. Echenique
60'
M
E. Echenique
60'
M
22
G. Valenzuela
1 👟
M
G. Valenzuela
1 👟
M
5
O. Nwobodo
72'
M
O. Nwobodo
72'
M
17
K. Mboma Dem
1 ⚽
M
K. Mboma Dem
1 ⚽
M
20
P. Bucha
M
P. Bucha
M
10
Evander
1 ⚽
F
Evander
1 ⚽
F
9
K. Denkey
1 👟
72'
F
K. Denkey
1 👟
72'
F
Bench
99
A. Jabbari
F
A. Jabbari
F
2
A. Powell
D
A. Powell
D
27
B. Anunga
11'
M
B. Anunga
11'
M
29
Bryan Josías Ramírez León
30'
D
Bryan Josías Ramírez León
30'
D
13
E. Louro
G
E. Louro
G
4
N. Hagglund
D
N. Hagglund
D
11
S. Gidi
18'
M
S. Gidi
18'
M
16
T. Barlow
18'
F
T. Barlow
18'
F
15
T. Hadebe
30'
D
T. Hadebe
30'
D
49
M. Freese
G
M. Freese
G
22
K. O'Toole
75'
D
K. O'Toole
75'
D
34
Raul Gustavo
D
Raul Gustavo
D
6
J. Sands
D
J. Sands
D
24
T. Gray
D
T. Gray
D
8
A. Perea
M
A. Perea
M
55
Keaton Parks
75'
M
Keaton Parks
75'
M
9
B. Traoré
64'
M
B. Traoré
64'
M
7
N. Fernández Mercau
M
N. Fernández Mercau
M
26
A. Ojeda
1 👟
81'
M
A. Ojeda
1 👟
81'
M
20
Luighi Hanri
1 ⚽
64'
F
Luighi Hanri
1 ⚽
64'
F
Bench
32
J. Shore
15'
M
J. Shore
15'
M
15
Kevin Pierre
M
Kevin Pierre
M
23
Maxwell Murray
D
Maxwell Murray
D
35
M. Ilenič
D
M. Ilenič
D
88
M. Jones
26'
F
M. Jones
26'
F
2
Nico Cavallo
15'
D
Nico Cavallo
15'
D
99
S. Reid
26'
F
S. Reid
26'
F
11
Talles Magno
9'
F
Talles Magno
9'
F
30
T. Romero
G
T. Romero
G
Best on the pitch
R. Celentano
G · FC
8.50
· 22 pass
Evander
F · FC
8.30
1 ⚽
5 shots
· 48 pass
K. Mboma Dem
M · FC
7.60
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 40 pass
Luighi Hanri
F · New
7.30
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 16 pass
G. Valenzuela
M · FC
7.30
1 👟
· 69 pass
N. Fernández Mercau
M · New
7.30
1 shots
· 44 pass
FC Cincinnati — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Celentano | G | 90 | 8.50 | — | — | — | 22 | 17% | — | — | — |
| K. Smith | D | 83 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 73 | 65% | 1 | — | — |
| Matt Miazga | D | 60 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 36 | 33% | 2 | 1 | — |
| M. Robinson | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 66 | 58% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Echenique | M | 60 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Valenzuela | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 69 | 64% | 1 | — | — |
| O. Nwobodo | M | 72 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 41% | 1 | 1 | — |
| K. Mboma Dem | M | 90 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 3 | 40 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
| P. Bucha | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 50 | 40% | 1 | — | — |
| Evander | F | 90 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 5 | 48 | 40% | — | — | — |
| K. Denkey | F | 72 | 6.20 | — | 1 | — | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
| B. Anunga | M | 11 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Bryan Josías Ramírez León | D | 30 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Gidi | M | 18 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 15 | 15% | 2 | 1 | — |
| T. Barlow | F | 18 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| T. Hadebe | D | 30 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 25% | — | — | — |
New York City FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Freese | G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 13% | — | — | — |
| K. O'Toole | D | 75 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 35 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Raul Gustavo | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 59 | 49% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Sands | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 64 | 56% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Gray | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 31% | 4 | — | — |
| A. Perea | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 36 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Keaton Parks | M | 75 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 39% | 1 | 1 | — |
| B. Traoré | M | 64 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Fernández Mercau | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 36% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Ojeda | M | 81 | 7.00 | — | 1 | — | 24 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Luighi Hanri | F | 64 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 3 | 16 | 9% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Shore | M | 15 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 3% | — | — | — |
| M. Jones | F | 26 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Nico Cavallo | D | 15 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| S. Reid | F | 26 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Talles Magno | F | 9 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 7 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC?
The final score was FC Cincinnati 2–1 New York City FC.
What did the model predict before FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC?
The model assigned 56% probability to a FC Cincinnati win, 18% to a draw, and 24% to an New York City FC win.