MLS
· Regular Season - 10
April 26, 2026 03:30
✓Model correct — prediction FC Cincinnati
K. Denkey
(ast. P. Bucha)
40'
K. Denkey
45'+5
(pen.)
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Cincinnati a 61% win probability (draw 19%, New York Red Bulls 19%). The final result was FC Cincinnati 2–0 New York Red Bulls. In 1 previous meetings, FC Cincinnati have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for New York Red Bulls.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
16
5
Shots on target
6
2.86
Actual xG
1.44
6
Saves
3
48%
Possession
52%
4
Corners
7
22
Tackles
19
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
18'
J. Masanka Bungi
B. J. Ramirez Leon
31'
⚽K. Denkey
· ast. P. Bucha
40'
⚽K. Denkey
(pen.)
45'+5
46'
M. Dos Santos
/
J. Masanka Bungi
K. Mboma
/ T. Barlow
61'
P. Bucha
/ E. Echenique
61'
62'
E. Forsberg
/
G. Berggren
62'
J. Ruvalcaba
/
M. Sofo
73'
R. Mosquera
/
C. Cowell
78'
A. Mehmeti
B. J. Ramirez Leon
/ A. Lajhar
79'
K. Denkey
/ A. Jabbari
79'
85'
N. Benedetti
/
R. Donkor
K. Smith
/ G. Flores
89'
Pre-match prediction
61.34%
FC ←
19.07%
X
19.6%
New
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (FC Cincinnati)
61.34%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
4.35
2.86
-1.49
1.43
1.44
+0.01
FC Cincinnati dominated by xG (2.86 vs 1.44).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
18
G
11
Samuel Gidi
D
Samuel Gidi
D
88
Andrei Chirila
D
Andrei Chirila
D
24
K. Smith
89'
D
K. Smith
89'
D
29
Bryan Josías Ramírez León
79'
M
Bryan Josías Ramírez León
79'
M
27
B. Anunga
M
B. Anunga
M
22
G. Valenzuela
M
G. Valenzuela
M
20
Pavel Bucha
1 👟
61'
M
10
Evander
F
Evander
F
9
K. Denkey
2 ⚽
79'
F
K. Denkey
2 ⚽
79'
F
17
K. Mboma Dem
61'
F
K. Mboma Dem
61'
F
Bench
55
Ayoub Lajhar
11'
D
Ayoub Lajhar
11'
D
66
Ender Echenique
29'
F
3
Gilberto Flores
1'
D
Gilberto Flores
1'
D
16
T. Barlow
29'
F
T. Barlow
29'
F
34
G
23
J. Masanka Bungi
45'
D
26
D
12
Dylan Nealis
D
Dylan Nealis
D
3
Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty
D
Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty
D
4
Gustav Berggren
62'
M
Gustav Berggren
62'
M
15
Adri Mehmeti
M
Adri Mehmeti
M
48
Ronald Donkor
85'
M
Ronald Donkor
85'
M
37
Mohammed Sofo
62'
F
Mohammed Sofo
62'
F
16
J. Hall
F
J. Hall
F
7
Cade Cowell
73'
F
Cade Cowell
73'
F
Bench
13
E. M. Choupo-Moting
F
10
Emil Forsberg
28'
M
Emil Forsberg
28'
M
20
J. Mina
D
11
J. Ruvalcaba
28'
F
J. Ruvalcaba
28'
F
56
Matthew Dos Santos
45'
D
Matthew Dos Santos
45'
D
79
Rafael Mosquera
17'
F
Rafael Mosquera
17'
F
6
Robert Voloder
D
Robert Voloder
D
Best on the pitch
Evander
F · FC
8.90
4 shots
· 33 pass
Pavel Bucha
M · FC
8.20
1 👟
· 39 pass
K. Denkey
F · FC
8.00
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 16 pass
G · FC
7.90
· 27 pass
Samuel Gidi
D · FC
7.90
· 65 pass
Dylan Nealis
D · New
7.70
· 53 pass
FC Cincinnati — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 20% | — | — | — | |
| Samuel Gidi | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 65 | 57% | 4 | — | — |
| Andrei Chirila | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 63 | 52% | — | — | — |
| K. Smith | D | 89 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 50 | 47% | 1 | — | — |
| Bryan Josías Ramírez León | M | 79 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 53 | 46% | 4 | 1 | — |
| B. Anunga | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 36 | 32% | 3 | — | — |
| G. Valenzuela | M | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 42% | 3 | — | — |
| Pavel Bucha | M | 61 | 8.20 | — | 1 | — | 39 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| Evander | F | 90 | 8.90 | — | — | 4 | 33 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Denkey | F | 79 | 8.00 | 2 | — | 3 | 16 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Mboma Dem | F | 61 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Ayoub Lajhar | D | 11 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 3 | — | 2 | — | — |
| Ender Echenique | F | 29 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Gilberto Flores | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Barlow | F | 29 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 8 | 3% | — | — | — |
New York Red Bulls — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 17% | — | — | — | |
| J. Masanka Bungi | D | 45 | 5.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 8% | 4 | 1 | — |
| D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 46 | 44% | — | — | — | |
| Dylan Nealis | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 53 | 46% | 2 | — | — |
| Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 68 | 62% | 2 | — | — |
| Gustav Berggren | M | 62 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Adri Mehmeti | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 66 | 55% | 5 | 1 | — |
| Ronald Donkor | M | 85 | 5.30 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 36% | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Sofo | F | 62 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 19 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Hall | F | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Cade Cowell | F | 73 | 6.20 | — | — | 4 | 23 | 19% | 3 | — | — |
| Emil Forsberg | M | 28 | 7.00 | — | — | 3 | 25 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Ruvalcaba | F | 28 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 30 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Matthew Dos Santos | D | 45 | 7.60 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 32% | — | — | — |
| Rafael Mosquera | F | 17 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC Cincinnati vs New York Red Bulls?
The final score was FC Cincinnati 2–0 New York Red Bulls.
What did the model predict before FC Cincinnati vs New York Red Bulls?
The model assigned 61% probability to a FC Cincinnati win, 19% to a draw, and 19% to an New York Red Bulls win.