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MLS · Regular Season - 15 May 24, 2026 01:30
FC Cincinnati
#7 · 46 pts
6 – 2
Final score
Orlando City SC
#9 · 43 pts
✓Model correct — prediction FC Cincinnati
K. Mboma (ast. Evander) 42'
Evander (ast. P. Bucha) 45'+2
K. Mboma (ast. Evander) 52'
Evander (ast. M. Miazga) 58'
K. Denkey (ast. Evander) 77'
T. Barlow (ast. E. Echenique) 90'+1
(pen.) 16' M. Ojeda
48' M. Ojeda
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Cincinnati a 65% win probability (draw 15%, Orlando City SC 19%). The final result was FC Cincinnati 6–2 Orlando City SC. In 2 previous meetings, FC Cincinnati have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Orlando City SC.

Match statistics
18
Total shots
15
11
Shots on target
9
3.23
Actual xG
2.29
7
Saves
5
55%
Possession
45%
6
Corners
9
20
Tackles
22
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
10'
A. Gomez
16'
(pen.) M. Ojeda⚽
G. Valenzuela
32'
40'
Tiago
⚽K. Mboma · ast. Evander
42'
⚽Evander · ast. P. Bucha
45'+2
46'
T. Spicer / Tiago ↕
M. Miazga
47'
48'
M. Ojeda⚽
⚽K. Mboma · ast. Evander
52'
57'
M. Pasalic / J. Ellis ↕
⚽Evander · ast. M. Miazga
58'
70'
D. Brekalo
72'
D. McGuire / A. Gomez ↕
72'
W. Cartagena / G. Dorsey ↕
↕ O. Nwobodo / T. Anunga
74'
⚽K. Denkey · ast. Evander
77'
↕ G. Valenzuela / E. Echenique
83'
↕ K. Mboma / T. Barlow
83'
85'
Luis Otavio / B. Ojeda ↕
⚽T. Barlow · ast. E. Echenique
90'+1
↕ S. Gidi / N. Hagglund
90'+2
↕ K. Denkey / A. Jabbari
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
65.42%
FC ←
15.29%
X
19.28%
Orlando
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (FC Cincinnati) 65.42% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
FC
3.98
3.23
-0.75
Orlando
2.01
2.29
+0.28
FC Cincinnati dominated by xG (3.23 vs 2.29). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 33 74
2 Inter Miami Inter Miami 33 59
3 New England Revolution New England Revolution 33 58
4 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 33 55
5 Charlotte Charlotte 33 53
6 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 33 47
7 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 33 46
8 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 33 44
9 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 33 43
10 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 33 39
11 New York City FC New York City FC 33 39
12 Toronto FC Toronto FC 33 39
13 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 33 33
14 DC United DC United 33 33
15 CF Montreal CF Montreal 33 26
Lineups
FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 3-4-2-1
18 R. Celentano R. Celentano G 6.90
24 K. Smith K. Smith D 5.70
21 M. Miazga M. Miazga 1 👟 D 7.50
11 S. Gidi S. Gidi 89' D 6.70
29 Bryan Josías Ramírez León Bryan Josías Ramírez León M 7.70
5 O. Nwobodo O. Nwobodo 74' M 6.60
22 G. Valenzuela G. Valenzuela 83' M 6.60
20 P. Bucha P. Bucha 1 👟 M 7.00
10 Evander Evander 2 ⚽ 3 👟 F 10.00
17 K. Mboma Dem K. Mboma Dem 2 ⚽ 83' F 9.20
9 K. Denkey K. Denkey 1 ⚽ 89' F 8.50
Bench
88 A. Chirila A. Chirila D
99 A. Jabbari A. Jabbari 1' F
55 Ayoub Lajhar Ayoub Lajhar D
27 B. Anunga B. Anunga 16' M 6.60
66 E. Echenique E. Echenique 1 👟 15' F 7.00
13 E. Louro E. Louro G
3 Gilberto Flores Gilberto Flores D
4 N. Hagglund N. Hagglund 1' D
16 T. Barlow T. Barlow 1 ⚽ 15' F 7.20
Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 3-4-2-1
71 M. Crépeau M. Crépeau G 7.30
3 Adrián Marín Adrián Marín 72' D 5.70
6 R. Jansson R. Jansson D 6.00
4 D. Brekalo D. Brekalo D 5.20
77 I. Angulo I. Angulo M 6.00
20 E. Atuesta E. Atuesta M 7.30
8 B. Ojeda B. Ojeda 85' M 6.20
24 G. Dorsey G. Dorsey 72' M 6.50
11 Tiago Tiago 45' F 6.90
22 Justin Ellis Justin Ellis 57' F 6.70
10 M. Ojeda M. Ojeda 2 ⚽ F 8.30
Bench
13 D. McGuire D. McGuire 18' F 6.30
57 Iago Iago D
12 Javier Otero Javier Otero G
5 Luis Otávio Luis Otávio 13' M 6.70
87 Marco Pasalic Marco Pasalic 33' F 6.60
29 Tahir Reid-Brown Tahir Reid-Brown D
14 T. Spicer T. Spicer 45' F 6.90
16 W. Cartagena W. Cartagena 18' M 6.70
19 Z. Taifi Z. Taifi M
Best on the pitch
Evander
Evander
F · FC
10.00
2 ⚽ 3 👟
4 shots · 47 pass
K. Mboma Dem
K. Mboma Dem
F · FC
9.20
2 ⚽
3 shots · 31 pass
K. Denkey
K. Denkey
F · FC
8.50
1 ⚽
4 shots · 16 pass
M. Ojeda
M. Ojeda
F · Orlando
8.30
2 ⚽
6 shots · 36 pass
Bryan Josías Ramírez León
Bryan Josías Ramírez León
M · FC
7.70
1 shots · 53 pass
M. Miazga
M. Miazga
D · FC
7.50
1 👟
3 shots · 55 pass
FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
R. Celentano G 90 6.90 — — — 21 17% — — —
K. Smith D 90 5.70 — — 2 58 55% — — —
M. Miazga D 90 7.50 — 1 3 55 55% 2 1 —
S. Gidi D 89 6.70 — — — 55 50% — — —
Bryan Josías Ramírez León M 90 7.70 — — 1 53 47% 5 — —
O. Nwobodo M 74 6.60 — — — 35 32% 2 — —
G. Valenzuela M 83 6.60 — — — 49 43% 2 1 —
P. Bucha M 90 7.00 — 1 — 47 44% 3 — —
Evander F 90 10.00 2 3 4 47 41% 2 — —
K. Mboma Dem F 83 9.20 2 — 3 31 27% — — —
K. Denkey F 89 8.50 1 — 4 16 13% 2 — —
A. Jabbari F 1 — — — — — — — — —
B. Anunga M 16 6.60 — — — 19 19% 1 — —
E. Echenique F 15 7.00 — 1 — 5 5% — — —
N. Hagglund D 1 — — — — 5 4% — — —
T. Barlow F 15 7.20 1 — 1 4 3% 1 — —
Orlando City SC Orlando City SC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Crépeau G 90 7.30 — — — 18 15% — — —
Adrián Marín D 72 5.70 — — — 53 45% — 1 —
R. Jansson D 90 6.00 — — — 55 49% — — —
D. Brekalo D 90 5.20 — — — 26 24% 4 1 —
I. Angulo M 90 6.00 — — 1 29 25% 3 — —
E. Atuesta M 90 7.30 — — 2 64 56% 6 — —
B. Ojeda M 85 6.20 — — 1 31 28% 2 — —
G. Dorsey M 72 6.50 — — 1 11 8% 2 — —
Tiago F 45 6.90 — — — 12 10% 3 1 —
Justin Ellis F 57 6.70 — — — 11 5% — — —
M. Ojeda F 90 8.30 2 — 6 36 30% — — —
D. McGuire F 18 6.30 — — 1 6 4% — — —
Luis Otávio M 13 6.70 — — 1 6 5% 1 — —
Marco Pasalic F 33 6.60 — — 1 12 9% — — —
T. Spicer F 45 6.90 — — 1 8 7% — — —
W. Cartagena M 18 6.70 — — — 13 10% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC Cincinnati vs Orlando City SC?
The final score was FC Cincinnati 6–2 Orlando City SC.
What did the model predict before FC Cincinnati vs Orlando City SC?
The model assigned 65% probability to a FC Cincinnati win, 15% to a draw, and 19% to an Orlando City SC win.