FC Cincinnati 6–2 Orlando City SC — pre-match prediction — MLS — May 24, 2026

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MLS · Regular Season - 15 May 24, 2026 01:30

FC Cincinnati

#7 · 23 pts

6 – 2

Final score

Orlando City SC

#10 · 20 pts

✓Model correct — prediction FC Cincinnati

K. Mboma (ast. Evander) 42'

Evander (ast. P. Bucha) 45'+2

K. Mboma (ast. Evander) 52'

Evander (ast. M. Miazga) 58'

K. Denkey (ast. Evander) 77'

T. Barlow (ast. E. Echenique) 90'+1

(pen.) 16' M. Ojeda

48' M. Ojeda

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Cincinnati a 65% win probability (draw 15%, Orlando City SC 19%). The final result was FC Cincinnati 6–2 Orlando City SC. In 1 previous meetings, FC Cincinnati have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Orlando City SC.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

3.23

Actual xG

2.29

Saves

55%

Possession

45%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

10'

A. Gomez

16'

(pen.) M. Ojeda⚽

G. Valenzuela

32'

40'

Tiago

⚽K. Mboma · ast. Evander

42'

⚽Evander · ast. P. Bucha

45'+2

46'

T. Spicer / Tiago ↕

M. Miazga

47'

48'

M. Ojeda⚽

⚽K. Mboma · ast. Evander

52'

57'

M. Pasalic / J. Ellis ↕

⚽Evander · ast. M. Miazga

58'

70'

D. Brekalo

72'

D. McGuire / A. Gomez ↕

72'

W. Cartagena / G. Dorsey ↕

↕ O. Nwobodo / T. Anunga

74'

⚽K. Denkey · ast. Evander

77'

↕ G. Valenzuela / E. Echenique

83'

↕ K. Mboma / T. Barlow

83'

85'

Luis Otavio / B. Ojeda ↕

⚽T. Barlow · ast. E. Echenique

90'+1

↕ S. Gidi / N. Hagglund

90'+2

↕ K. Denkey / A. Jabbari

90'+5

Pre-match prediction

65.42%

FC ←

15.29%

19.28%

Orlando

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (FC Cincinnati) 65.42% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

3.98

3.23

-0.75

Orlando

2.01

2.29

+0.28

FC Cincinnati dominated by xG (3.23 vs 2.29). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Nashville SC	17	39
2	Inter Miami	17	37
3	New England Revolution	16	29
4	Chicago Fire	16	26
5	New York City FC	17	25
6	Charlotte	17	25
7	FC Cincinnati	17	23
8	New York Red Bulls	17	22
9	DC United	17	22
10	Orlando City SC	17	20
11	Columbus Crew	17	19
12	Toronto FC	17	16
13	CF Montreal	17	15
14	Philadelphia Union	17	13
15	Atlanta United FC	17	12

Lineups

FC Cincinnati 3-4-2-1

Roman Celentano G 6.90

K. Smith D 5.70

Matt Miazga 1 👟 D 7.50

Samuel Gidi 89' D 6.70

Bryan Josías Ramírez León M 7.70

Obinna Nwobodo 74' M 6.60

G. Valenzuela 83' M 6.60

Pavel Bucha 1 👟 M 7.00

Evander 2 ⚽ 3 👟 F 10.00

Kenji Mboma Dem 2 ⚽ 83' F 9.20

K. Denkey 1 ⚽ 89' F 8.50

Bench

Andrei Chirila D

Ayoub Jabbari 1' F

Ayoub Lajhar D

E. Echenique 1 👟 15' F 7.00

Evan Louro G

Gilberto Flores D

Nick Hagglund 1' D

Tah Anunga 16' M 6.60

Tom Barlow 1 ⚽ 15' F 7.20

Orlando City SC 3-4-2-1

M. Crépeau G 7.30

Adrián Marín 72' D 5.70

Robin Jansson D 6.00

David Brekalo D 5.20

Iván Angulo M 6.00

Eduard Atuesta M 7.30

Braian Ojeda 85' M 6.20

Griffin Dorsey 72' M 6.50

Tiago Souza 45' F 6.90

Justin Ellis 57' F 6.70

M. Ojeda 2 ⚽ F 8.30

Bench

Duncan McGuire 18' F 6.30

Iago Silva D

Javier Otero G

Luis Otávio 13' M 6.70

Marco Pasalic 33' F 6.60

Tahir Reid-Brown D

Tyrese Spicer 45' F 6.90

Wilder Cartagena 18' M 6.70

Zakaria Taifi M

Best on the pitch

Evander

F · FC

10.00

2 ⚽ 3 👟

4 shots · 47 pass

Kenji Mboma Dem

F · FC

9.20

2 ⚽

3 shots · 31 pass

K. Denkey

F · FC

8.50

1 ⚽

4 shots · 16 pass

M. Ojeda

F · Orlando

8.30

2 ⚽

6 shots · 36 pass

Bryan Josías Ramírez León

M · FC

7.70

1 shots · 53 pass

Matt Miazga

D · FC

7.50

1 👟

3 shots · 55 pass

FC Cincinnati — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Roman Celentano	G	90	6.90	—	—	—	21	17%	—	—	—
K. Smith	D	90	5.70	—	—	2	58	55%	—	—	—
Matt Miazga	D	90	7.50	—	1	3	55	55%	2	1	—
Samuel Gidi	D	89	6.70	—	—	—	55	50%	—	—	—
Bryan Josías Ramírez León	M	90	7.70	—	—	1	53	47%	5	—	—
Obinna Nwobodo	M	74	6.60	—	—	—	35	32%	2	—	—
G. Valenzuela	M	83	6.60	—	—	—	49	43%	2	1	—
Pavel Bucha	M	90	7.00	—	1	—	47	44%	3	—	—
Evander	F	90	10.00	2	3	4	47	41%	2	—	—
Kenji Mboma Dem	F	83	9.20	2	—	3	31	27%	—	—	—
K. Denkey	F	89	8.50	1	—	4	16	13%	2	—	—
Ayoub Jabbari	F	1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
E. Echenique	F	15	7.00	—	1	—	5	5%	—	—	—
Nick Hagglund	D	1	—	—	—	—	5	4%	—	—	—
Tah Anunga	M	16	6.60	—	—	—	19	19%	1	—	—
Tom Barlow	F	15	7.20	1	—	1	4	3%	1	—	—

Orlando City SC — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
M. Crépeau	G	90	7.30	—	—	—	18	15%	—	—	—
Adrián Marín	D	72	5.70	—	—	—	53	45%	—	1	—
Robin Jansson	D	90	6.00	—	—	—	55	49%	—	—	—
David Brekalo	D	90	5.20	—	—	—	26	24%	4	1	—
Iván Angulo	M	90	6.00	—	—	1	29	25%	3	—	—
Eduard Atuesta	M	90	7.30	—	—	2	64	56%	6	—	—
Braian Ojeda	M	85	6.20	—	—	1	31	28%	2	—	—
Griffin Dorsey	M	72	6.50	—	—	1	11	8%	2	—	—
Tiago Souza	F	45	6.90	—	—	—	12	10%	3	1	—
Justin Ellis	F	57	6.70	—	—	—	11	5%	—	—	—
M. Ojeda	F	90	8.30	2	—	6	36	30%	—	—	—
Duncan McGuire	F	18	6.30	—	—	1	6	4%	—	—	—
Luis Otávio	M	13	6.70	—	—	1	6	5%	1	—	—
Marco Pasalic	F	33	6.60	—	—	1	12	9%	—	—	—
Tyrese Spicer	F	45	6.90	—	—	1	8	7%	—	—	—
Wilder Cartagena	M	18	6.70	—	—	—	13	10%	1	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of FC Cincinnati vs Orlando City SC?

The final score was FC Cincinnati 6–2 Orlando City SC.

What did the model predict before FC Cincinnati vs Orlando City SC?

The model assigned 65% probability to a FC Cincinnati win, 15% to a draw, and 19% to an Orlando City SC win.