MLS
· Regular Season - 21
August 23, 2026 01:30
✗Model wrong — prediction FC Cincinnati, result Draw
Evander
24'
83'
(ast. A. Rusnak)
K. Kossa-Rienzi
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Cincinnati a 70% win probability (draw 17%, Seattle Sounders 12%). The final result was FC Cincinnati 1–1 Seattle Sounders.
Match statistics
9
Shots on target
3
1.38
Actual xG
1.38
70%
Possession
30%
9
Corners
4
Match Events
⚽Evander
24'
38'
R. Sailor
K. Mboma
/ K. Denkey
59'
61'
D. Musovski
/
S. Brunell
61'
Nouhou
/
E. Carli
B. J. Ramirez Leon
64'
B. J. Ramirez Leon
/ P. Bucha
73'
T. Barlow
/ A. Jabbari
73'
75'
P. Kingston
77'
A. Rusnak
/
A. Lopez
77'
A. Roldan
/
O. De Rosario
83'
ast. A. Rusnak ·
K. Kossa-Rienzi⚽
E. Echenique
/ A. Powell
89'
T. Anunga
/ O. Nwobodo
89'
90'+1
Kim Kee-Hee
/
S. Gomez
Pre-match prediction
70.08%
FC
17.02%
X ←
12.9%
Seattle
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
17.02%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.28
1.38
-0.9
0.73
1.38
+0.65
xG dominance was balanced (1.38 – 1.38).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC Cincinnati vs Seattle Sounders?
The final score was FC Cincinnati 1–1 Seattle Sounders.
What did the model predict before FC Cincinnati vs Seattle Sounders?
The model assigned 70% probability to a FC Cincinnati win, 17% to a draw, and 12% to an Seattle Sounders win.