FC Cincinnati 4–3 Vancouver Whitecaps — pre-match prediction — MLS — July 23, 2026

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MLS · Regular Season - 16 July 23, 2026 01:30

FC Cincinnati

#7 · 46 pts

4 – 3

Final score

Vancouver Whitecaps

#1 · 61 pts

P. Bucha (ast. S. Gidi) 9'

K. Denkey (ast. E. Echenique) 28'

Evander (ast. G. Valenzuela) 36'

P. Bucha (ast. Evander) 56'

12' (ast. B. Caicedo) J. Badwal

25' (ast. O. Larraz) R. Gauld

58' (ast. J. Badwal) R. Gauld

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Vancouver Whitecaps a 44% win probability (draw 19%, FC Cincinnati 36%). The final result was FC Cincinnati 4–3 Vancouver Whitecaps.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

1.56

Actual xG

1.82

Saves

38%

Possession

62%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

T. Blackmon

⚽P. Bucha · ast. S. Gidi

12'

ast. B. Caicedo · J. Badwal⚽

17'

M. Laborda

25'

ast. O. Larraz · R. Gauld⚽

⚽K. Denkey · ast. E. Echenique

28'

⚽Evander · ast. G. Valenzuela

36'

P. Bucha

41'

44'

C. Sabaly / B. Caicedo ↕

48'

E. Ocampo

⚽P. Bucha · ast. Evander

56'

58'

ast. J. Badwal · R. Gauld⚽

59'

A. Cubas

62'

J. Ngando / J. Badwal ↕

63'

N. Djordjevic / R. Gauld ↕

↕ E. Echenique / B. J. Ramirez Leon

64'

↕ K. Mboma / T. Barlow

64'

↕ M. Robinson / K. Smith

64'

78'

B. White

84'

R. Veselinovic / E. Ocampo ↕

84'

R. Elloumi / A. Cubas ↕

↕ K. Denkey / A. Jabbari

89'

↕ S. Gidi / T. Hadebe

89'

Pre-match prediction

36.62%

FC ←

19.23%

44.16%

Vancouver

we assigned to the actual result (FC Cincinnati) 36.62% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

2.42

1.56

-0.86

Vancouver

2.85

1.82

-1.03

xG dominance was balanced (1.56 – 1.82). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Nashville SC	33	74
2	Inter Miami	33	59
3	New England Revolution	33	58
4	Chicago Fire	33	55
5	Charlotte	33	53
6	Philadelphia Union	33	47
7	FC Cincinnati	33	46
8	Columbus Crew	33	44
9	Orlando City SC	33	43
10	New York Red Bulls	33	39
11	New York City FC	33	39
12	Toronto FC	33	39
13	Atlanta United FC	33	33
14	DC United	33	33
15	CF Montreal	33	26

Lineups

FC Cincinnati 3-4-2-1

R. Celentano G 6.60

S. Gidi 1 👟 89' D 6.50

M. Miazga D 6.60

M. Robinson 64' D 5.90

E. Echenique 1 👟 64' M 6.60

O. Nwobodo M 7.20

G. Valenzuela 1 👟 M 6.90

P. Bucha 2 ⚽ M 8.70

Evander 1 ⚽ 1 👟 F 9.00

K. Mboma Dem 64' F 6.30

K. Denkey 1 ⚽ 89' F 7.90

Bench

A. Jabbari 10' F 6.70

A. Powell D

B. Anunga M

Bryan Josías Ramírez León 35' D 7.20

E. Louro G

K. Smith 35' D 6.90

N. Hagglund D

T. Barlow 35' F 6.50

T. Hadebe 10' D 6.90

Vancouver Whitecaps 4-2-3-1

Y. Takaoka G 5.60

T. Johnson D 6.20

M. Laborda D 5.90

T. Blackmon D 6.30

É. Ocampo 84' D 6.30

A. Cubas 84' M 6.60

O. Larraz 1 👟 M 6.30

Bruno Steven Caicedo Quiñonez 1 👟 44' M 6.70

R. Gauld 2 ⚽ 63' M 7.90

J. Badwal 1 ⚽ 1 👟 62' M 7.60

B. White F 5.90

Bench

C. Sabaly 55' F 6.70

I. Boehmer G

Jean-Claude Ngando 37' M 6.70

M. Gherasimencov D

N. Djordjevic 36' D 6.70

R. Elloumi 15' F 6.20

R. Veselinović 15' D 6.90

S. Adekugbe D

T. Müller F

Best on the pitch

Evander

F · FC

9.00

1 ⚽ 1 👟

2 shots · 32 pass

P. Bucha

M · FC

8.70

2 ⚽

2 shots · 33 pass

R. Gauld

M · Vancouver

7.90

2 ⚽

3 shots · 40 pass

K. Denkey

F · FC

7.90

1 ⚽

2 shots · 26 pass

J. Badwal

M · Vancouver

7.60

1 ⚽ 1 👟

1 shots · 33 pass

Bryan Josías Ramírez León

D · FC

7.20

· 15 pass

FC Cincinnati — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
R. Celentano	G	99	6.60	—	—	—	27	25%	—	—	—
S. Gidi	D	89	6.50	—	1	—	51	44%	—	—	—
M. Miazga	D	99	6.60	—	—	—	52	48%	—	—	—
M. Robinson	D	64	5.90	—	—	—	37	29%	—	—	—
E. Echenique	M	64	6.60	—	1	—	15	11%	—	—	—
O. Nwobodo	M	99	7.20	—	—	—	29	21%	8	—	—
G. Valenzuela	M	99	6.90	—	1	1	29	28%	—	—	—
P. Bucha	M	99	8.70	2	—	2	33	27%	4	1	—
Evander	F	99	9.00	1	1	2	32	28%	1	—	—
K. Mboma Dem	F	64	6.30	—	—	—	14	12%	1	—	—
K. Denkey	F	89	7.90	1	—	2	26	18%	—	—	—
A. Jabbari	F	10	6.70	—	—	—	3	1%	—	—	—
Bryan Josías Ramírez León	D	35	7.20	—	—	—	15	13%	5	—	—
K. Smith	D	35	6.90	—	—	—	17	13%	—	—	—
T. Barlow	F	35	6.50	—	—	—	14	11%	—	—	—
T. Hadebe	D	10	6.90	—	—	—	1	1%	—	—	—

Vancouver Whitecaps — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Y. Takaoka	G	99	5.60	—	—	—	22	20%	—	—	—
T. Johnson	D	99	6.20	—	—	—	82	73%	1	—	—
M. Laborda	D	99	5.90	—	—	4	65	59%	—	1	—
T. Blackmon	D	99	6.30	—	—	—	93	87%	1	1	—
É. Ocampo	D	84	6.30	—	—	—	57	54%	1	1	—
A. Cubas	M	84	6.60	—	—	—	73	68%	6	1	—
O. Larraz	M	99	6.30	—	1	1	58	53%	3	—	—
Bruno Steven Caicedo Quiñonez	M	44	6.70	—	1	1	9	7%	—	—	—
R. Gauld	M	63	7.90	2	—	3	40	35%	1	—	—
J. Badwal	M	62	7.60	1	1	1	33	32%	1	—	—
B. White	F	99	5.90	—	—	—	16	11%	—	1	—
C. Sabaly	F	55	6.70	—	—	1	21	17%	1	—	—
Jean-Claude Ngando	M	37	6.70	—	—	2	27	22%	—	—	—
N. Djordjevic	D	36	6.70	—	—	—	17	13%	2	—	—
R. Elloumi	F	15	6.20	—	—	—	5	4%	—	—	—
R. Veselinović	D	15	6.90	—	—	—	12	11%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of FC Cincinnati vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

The final score was FC Cincinnati 4–3 Vancouver Whitecaps.

What did the model predict before FC Cincinnati vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

The model assigned 36% probability to a FC Cincinnati win, 19% to a draw, and 44% to an Vancouver Whitecaps win.