FC Cincinnati 4–3 Vancouver Whitecaps — pre-match prediction — MLS — July 23, 2026

← MLS

MLS · Regular Season - 16 July 23, 2026 01:30

FC Cincinnati

#7 · 23 pts

4 – 3

Final score

Vancouver Whitecaps

#1 · 33 pts

P. Bucha (ast. S. Gidi) 9'

K. Denkey (ast. E. Echenique) 28'

Evander (ast. G. Valenzuela) 36'

P. Bucha (ast. Evander) 56'

12' (ast. B. Caicedo) J. Badwal

25' (ast. O. Larraz) R. Gauld

58' (ast. J. Badwal) R. Gauld

Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Vancouver Whitecaps a 44% win probability (draw 19%, FC Cincinnati 36%). The final result was FC Cincinnati 4–3 Vancouver Whitecaps.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

1.56

Actual xG

1.82

Saves

38%

Possession

62%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

T. Blackmon

⚽P. Bucha · ast. S. Gidi

12'

ast. B. Caicedo · J. Badwal⚽

17'

M. Laborda

25'

ast. O. Larraz · R. Gauld⚽

⚽K. Denkey · ast. E. Echenique

28'

⚽Evander · ast. G. Valenzuela

36'

P. Bucha

41'

44'

C. Sabaly / B. Caicedo ↕

48'

E. Ocampo

⚽P. Bucha · ast. Evander

56'

58'

ast. J. Badwal · R. Gauld⚽

59'

A. Cubas

62'

J. Ngando / J. Badwal ↕

63'

N. Djordjevic / R. Gauld ↕

↕ E. Echenique / B. J. Ramirez Leon

64'

↕ K. Mboma / T. Barlow

64'

↕ M. Robinson / K. Smith

64'

78'

B. White

84'

R. Veselinovic / E. Ocampo ↕

84'

R. Elloumi / A. Cubas ↕

↕ K. Denkey / A. Jabbari

89'

↕ S. Gidi / T. Hadebe

89'

Pre-match prediction

36.62%

FC ←

19.23%

44.16%

Vancouver

we assigned to the actual result (FC Cincinnati) 36.62% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

2.42

1.56

-0.86

Vancouver

2.85

1.82

-1.03

xG dominance was balanced (1.56 – 1.82). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Nashville SC	17	39
2	Inter Miami	17	37
3	New England Revolution	16	29
4	Chicago Fire	16	26
5	New York City FC	17	25
6	Charlotte	17	25
7	FC Cincinnati	17	23
8	New York Red Bulls	17	22
9	DC United	17	22
10	Orlando City SC	17	20
11	Columbus Crew	17	19
12	Toronto FC	17	16
13	CF Montreal	17	15
14	Philadelphia Union	17	13
15	Atlanta United FC	17	12

Lineups

FC Cincinnati 3-4-2-1

Roman Celentano G 6.60

Samuel Gidi 1 👟 89' D 6.50

Matt Miazga D 6.60

M. Robinson 64' D 5.90

E. Echenique 1 👟 64' M 6.60

Obinna Nwobodo M 7.20

G. Valenzuela 1 👟 M 6.90

Pavel Bucha 2 ⚽ M 8.70

Evander 1 ⚽ 1 👟 F 9.00

Kenji Mboma Dem 64' F 6.30

K. Denkey 1 ⚽ 89' F 7.90

Bench

Alvas Powell D

Ayoub Jabbari 10' F 6.70

Bryan Josías Ramírez León 35' D 7.20

Evan Louro G

K. Smith 35' D 6.90

Nick Hagglund D

Tah Anunga M

Teenage Hadebe 10' D 6.90

Tom Barlow 35' F 6.50

Vancouver Whitecaps 4-2-3-1

Y. Takaoka G 5.60

Tate Johnson D 6.20

Mathías Laborda D 5.90

Tristan Blackmon D 6.30

É. Ocampo 84' D 6.30

A. Cubas 84' M 6.60

Oliver Larraz 1 👟 M 6.30

Bruno Quiñonez 1 👟 44' M 6.70

Ryan Gauld 2 ⚽ 63' M 7.90

Jeevan Badwal 1 ⚽ 1 👟 62' M 7.60

B. White F 5.90

Bench

Cheick Tidiane Sabaly 55' F 6.70

Isaac Boehmer G

Jean-Claude Ngando 37' M 6.70

Mihail Gherasimencov D

Nikola Djordjevic 36' D 6.70

Ranko Veselinović 15' D 6.90

Rayan Elloumi 15' F 6.20

Sam Adekugbe D

Thomas Müller F

Best on the pitch

Evander

F · FC

9.00

1 ⚽ 1 👟

2 shots · 32 pass

Pavel Bucha

M · FC

8.70

2 ⚽

2 shots · 33 pass

Ryan Gauld

M · Vancouver

7.90

2 ⚽

3 shots · 40 pass

K. Denkey

F · FC

7.90

1 ⚽

2 shots · 26 pass

Jeevan Badwal

M · Vancouver

7.60

1 ⚽ 1 👟

1 shots · 33 pass

Bryan Josías Ramírez León

D · FC

7.20

· 15 pass

FC Cincinnati — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Roman Celentano	G	99	6.60	—	—	—	27	25%	—	—	—
Samuel Gidi	D	89	6.50	—	1	—	51	44%	—	—	—
Matt Miazga	D	99	6.60	—	—	—	52	48%	—	—	—
M. Robinson	D	64	5.90	—	—	—	37	29%	—	—	—
E. Echenique	M	64	6.60	—	1	—	15	11%	—	—	—
Obinna Nwobodo	M	99	7.20	—	—	—	29	21%	8	—	—
G. Valenzuela	M	99	6.90	—	1	1	29	28%	—	—	—
Pavel Bucha	M	99	8.70	2	—	2	33	27%	4	1	—
Evander	F	99	9.00	1	1	2	32	28%	1	—	—
Kenji Mboma Dem	F	64	6.30	—	—	—	14	12%	1	—	—
K. Denkey	F	89	7.90	1	—	2	26	18%	—	—	—
Ayoub Jabbari	F	10	6.70	—	—	—	3	1%	—	—	—
Bryan Josías Ramírez León	D	35	7.20	—	—	—	15	13%	5	—	—
K. Smith	D	35	6.90	—	—	—	17	13%	—	—	—
Teenage Hadebe	D	10	6.90	—	—	—	1	1%	—	—	—
Tom Barlow	F	35	6.50	—	—	—	14	11%	—	—	—

Vancouver Whitecaps — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Y. Takaoka	G	99	5.60	—	—	—	22	20%	—	—	—
Tate Johnson	D	99	6.20	—	—	—	82	73%	1	—	—
Mathías Laborda	D	99	5.90	—	—	4	65	59%	—	1	—
Tristan Blackmon	D	99	6.30	—	—	—	93	87%	1	1	—
É. Ocampo	D	84	6.30	—	—	—	57	54%	1	1	—
A. Cubas	M	84	6.60	—	—	—	73	68%	6	1	—
Oliver Larraz	M	99	6.30	—	1	1	58	53%	3	—	—
Bruno Quiñonez	M	44	6.70	—	1	1	9	7%	—	—	—
Ryan Gauld	M	63	7.90	2	—	3	40	35%	1	—	—
Jeevan Badwal	M	62	7.60	1	1	1	33	32%	1	—	—
B. White	F	99	5.90	—	—	—	16	11%	—	1	—
Cheick Tidiane Sabaly	F	55	6.70	—	—	1	21	17%	1	—	—
Jean-Claude Ngando	M	37	6.70	—	—	2	27	22%	—	—	—
Nikola Djordjevic	D	36	6.70	—	—	—	17	13%	2	—	—
Ranko Veselinović	D	15	6.90	—	—	—	12	11%	—	—	—
Rayan Elloumi	F	15	6.20	—	—	—	5	4%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of FC Cincinnati vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

The final score was FC Cincinnati 4–3 Vancouver Whitecaps.

What did the model predict before FC Cincinnati vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

The model assigned 36% probability to a FC Cincinnati win, 19% to a draw, and 44% to an Vancouver Whitecaps win.