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Superliga · Regular Season - 11 October 18, 2026 18:00 Parken, København
FC Copenhagen
#2 · 26 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Aarhus
#8 · 12 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction FC Copenhagen, result Draw
Robert Silva (ast. Marcos López) 35'
63' (ast. Frederik Emmery) Janni Serra
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Copenhagen a 57% win probability (draw 22%, Aarhus 20%). The final result was FC Copenhagen 1–1 Aarhus. In 3 previous meetings, FC Copenhagen have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 3 wins for Aarhus.

Match statistics
24
Total shots
7
7
Shots on target
3
2.07
Actual xG
0.88
2
Saves
5
51%
Possession
49%
11
Corners
1
18
Tackles
21
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽Robert Silva · ast. Marcos López
35'
45'
Jacob Andersen / Rasmus Carstensen ↕
63'
ast. Frederik Emmery · Janni Serra⚽
↕ William Clem / Thomas Delaney
65'
67'
Eric Kahl / Daniel Leo Gretarsson ↕
74'
James Bogere / Janni Serra ↕
75'
Markus Solbakken / Callum McCowatt ↕
↕ Viktor Dadason / Geovanni Vianney Ndjee
75'
Alex Král
75'
↕ Mohamed Elyounoussi / Thapelo Maseko
84'
↕ Robert Silva / Mads Emil Madsen
84'
↕ Marcos López / Birger Meling
84'
90'+1
Tobias Mölgaard
Pre-match prediction
57.08%
FC
22.02%
X ←
20.9%
Aarhus
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 22.02% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
FC
2.67
2.07
-0.6
Aarhus
1.24
0.88
-0.36
FC Copenhagen dominated by xG (2.07 vs 0.88). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 FC Midtjylland FC Midtjylland 12 28
2 FC Copenhagen FC Copenhagen 12 26
3 Viborg Viborg 12 20
4 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 12 20
5 Brondby Brondby 12 19
6 AC Horsens AC Horsens 12 16
7 Odense Odense 12 14
8 Aarhus Aarhus 12 12
9 Silkeborg Silkeborg 12 12
10 Randers FC Randers FC 12 11
11 Lyngby Lyngby 12 8
12 Sonderjyske Sonderjyske 12 8
Lineups
FC Copenhagen FC Copenhagen 4-2-3-1
1 D. Ramaj D. Ramaj G 6.00
15 M. López M. López 1 👟 84' D 6.57
6 A. Markgráf A. Markgráf D 6.78
4 A. Sørensen A. Sørensen D 7.00
2 F. Beijmo F. Beijmo D 6.52
36 W. Clem W. Clem 65' M 6.37
33 A. Král A. Král M 6.03
16 Robert Robert 1 ⚽ 84' M 8.20
10 M. Elyounoussi M. Elyounoussi 84' M 6.67
20 J. Suzuki J. Suzuki M 6.10
39 V. Dadason V. Dadason 75' F 6.89
Bench
24 B. Meling B. Meling 6' D 6.29
44 G. Vianney G. Vianney 15' F 6.28
28 Hunor Vajk Németh Hunor Vajk Németh M 0.00
34 Marvin Nasnas Marvin Nasnas M 0.00
7 M. Carrizo M. Carrizo F 0.00
21 M. Emil Madsen M. Emil Madsen 6' M 6.40
31 R. Rúnarsson R. Rúnarsson G 0.00
27 T. Delaney T. Delaney 25' M 6.56
12 T. Maseko T. Maseko 6' F 6.50
Aarhus Aarhus 3-4-2-1
1 J. Hansen J. Hansen G 7.61
3 D. Grétarsson D. Grétarsson 67' D 6.77
5 F. Tingager F. Tingager D 7.03
14 T. Mølgaard T. Mølgaard D 6.51
39 Frederik Emmery Frederik Emmery 1 👟 M 6.97
4 M. Knudsen M. Knudsen M 6.57
10 Kristian Fredrik Malt Arnstad Kristian Fredrik Malt Arnstad M 5.90
29 R. Carstensen R. Carstensen 45' M 6.25
18 C. McCowatt C. McCowatt 75' M 6.14
31 T. Bech T. Bech M 6.39
13 Janni Serra Janni Serra 1 ⚽ 74' F 7.90
Bench
25 C. Rösler C. Rösler D 0.00
19 E. Kahl E. Kahl 23' D 6.35
26 J. Andersen J. Andersen 45' D 6.40
28 J. Bogere J. Bogere 16' F 6.46
16 J. Jønsson J. Jønsson M 0.00
21 M. Hedenstad Christiansen M. Hedenstad Christiansen G 0.00
7 M. Solbakken M. Solbakken 15' M 6.31
8 S. Jørgensen S. Jørgensen M 0.00
27 S. Tchamche S. Tchamche F 0.00
Best on the pitch
Robert
Robert
M · FC
8.20
1 ⚽
7 shots · 23 pass
Janni Serra
Janni Serra
F · Aarhus
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 13 pass
J. Hansen
J. Hansen
G · Aarhus
7.61
· 27 pass
F. Tingager
F. Tingager
D · Aarhus
7.03
1 shots · 83 pass
A. Sørensen
A. Sørensen
D · FC
7.00
1 shots · 54 pass
Frederik Emmery
Frederik Emmery
M · Aarhus
6.97
1 👟
1 shots · 17 pass
FC Copenhagen FC Copenhagen — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
D. Ramaj G 90 6.00 — — 0 41 26% 0 — —
M. López D 84 6.57 — 1 1 31 25% 1 — —
A. Markgráf D 90 6.78 — — 0 65 56% 1 — —
A. Sørensen D 90 7.00 — — 1 54 51% 1 — —
F. Beijmo D 90 6.52 — — 2 56 47% 1 — —
W. Clem M 65 6.37 — — 2 24 20% 1 — —
A. Král M 90 6.03 — — 1 42 30% 4 1 —
Robert M 84 8.20 1 — 7 23 21% 1 — —
M. Elyounoussi M 84 6.67 — — 2 31 23% 1 — —
J. Suzuki M 90 6.10 — — 4 26 19% 5 — —
V. Dadason F 75 6.89 — — 2 20 13% 1 — —
B. Meling D 6 6.29 — — 0 7 5% 0 — —
G. Vianney F 15 6.28 — — 1 2 2% 1 — —
M. Emil Madsen M 6 6.40 — — 1 2 1% 0 — —
T. Delaney M 25 6.56 — — 0 29 22% 0 — —
T. Maseko F 6 6.50 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
Aarhus Aarhus — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Hansen G 90 7.61 — — 0 27 20% 0 — —
D. Grétarsson D 67 6.77 — — 0 49 37% 2 — —
F. Tingager D 90 7.03 — — 1 83 76% 1 — —
T. Mølgaard D 90 6.51 — — 0 53 46% 2 1 —
Frederik Emmery M 90 6.97 — 1 1 17 14% 0 — —
M. Knudsen M 90 6.57 — — 1 46 40% 5 — —
Kristian Fredrik Malt Arnstad M 90 5.90 — — 0 54 44% 2 — —
R. Carstensen M 45 6.25 — — 0 13 10% 1 — —
C. McCowatt M 75 6.14 — — 0 22 20% 2 — —
T. Bech M 90 6.39 — — 2 30 22% 2 — —
Janni Serra F 74 7.90 1 — 2 13 8% 0 — —
E. Kahl D 23 6.35 — — 0 14 10% 0 — —
J. Andersen D 45 6.40 — — 0 14 9% 4 — —
J. Bogere F 16 6.46 — — 0 3 1% 0 — —
M. Solbakken M 15 6.31 — — 0 8 6% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC Copenhagen vs Aarhus?
The final score was FC Copenhagen 1–1 Aarhus.
What did the model predict before FC Copenhagen vs Aarhus?
The model assigned 57% probability to a FC Copenhagen win, 22% to a draw, and 20% to an Aarhus win.