✗Model wrong — prediction FC Copenhagen, result Draw
Birger Meling
77'
34'
(ast. Topi Keskinen)
Noah Ganaus
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Copenhagen a 63% win probability (draw 19%, Odense 17%). The final result was FC Copenhagen 1–1 Odense. In 5 previous meetings, FC Copenhagen have won 2 times, with 2 draws and 1 wins for Odense.
Match statistics
22
Total shots
7
10
Shots on target
2
2.27
Actual xG
0.47
1
Saves
7
68%
Possession
32%
4
Corners
2
16
Tackles
15
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
30'
Fredrik Ulvestad
34'
ast. Topi Keskinen ·
Noah Ganaus⚽
Robert Silva
/ Maher Carrizo
45'
Alex Král
/ Viktor Dadason
61'
61'
Jann-Fiete Arp
/
Christian Gammelgaard
Mads Emil Madsen
/ Thomas Delaney
61'
Marcos López
/ Birger Meling
61'
74'
Nikolaj Juul-Sandberg
/
Rasmus Falk Jensen
74'
Jay-Roy Grot
/
Noah Ganaus
⚽Birger Meling
77'
79'
Jay-Roy Grot
86'
Anssi Suhonen
/
Topi Keskinen
86'
Ulrik Jenssen
/
Ismahila Ouédraogo
Pre-match prediction
63.06%
FC
19.06%
X ←
17.89%
Odense
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
19.06%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
3.22
2.27
-0.95
1.32
0.47
-0.85
FC Copenhagen dominated by xG (2.27 vs 0.47).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
D. Ramaj
G
D. Ramaj
G
15
M. López
61'
D
M. López
61'
D
6
A. Markgráf
D
A. Markgráf
D
4
A. Sørensen
D
A. Sørensen
D
2
F. Beijmo
D
F. Beijmo
D
21
M. Emil Madsen
61'
M
M. Emil Madsen
61'
M
36
W. Clem
M
W. Clem
M
16
Robert
45'
M
Robert
45'
M
10
M. Elyounoussi
M
M. Elyounoussi
M
33
A. Král
61'
M
A. Král
61'
M
14
A. Cornelius
F
A. Cornelius
F
Bench
24
B. Meling
1 ⚽
29'
D
B. Meling
1 ⚽
29'
D
44
G. Vianney
F
G. Vianney
F
28
Hunor Vajk Németh
M
Hunor Vajk Németh
M
20
J. Suzuki
D
J. Suzuki
D
7
M. Carrizo
45'
F
M. Carrizo
45'
F
13
R. Huescas
D
R. Huescas
D
31
R. Rúnarsson
G
R. Rúnarsson
G
27
T. Delaney
29'
M
T. Delaney
29'
M
39
V. Dadason
29'
F
V. Dadason
29'
F
16
V. Myhra
G
V. Myhra
G
15
M. McCoy
D
M. McCoy
D
13
J. Berthel Askou
D
J. Berthel Askou
D
4
Julian Andreas Pauli
D
Julian Andreas Pauli
D
28
Magnus Hvitfeldt Andersen
D
Magnus Hvitfeldt Andersen
D
6
F. Ulvestad
M
F. Ulvestad
M
8
R. Falk
74'
M
R. Falk
74'
M
9
T. Keskinen
1 👟
86'
M
T. Keskinen
1 👟
86'
M
22
I. Ouédraogo
86'
M
I. Ouédraogo
86'
M
14
C. Gammelgaard
61'
M
C. Gammelgaard
61'
M
17
N. Ganaus
1 ⚽
74'
F
N. Ganaus
1 ⚽
74'
F
Bench
3
A. Sørensen
D
A. Sørensen
D
10
A. Suhonen
4'
M
A. Suhonen
4'
M
7
J. Arp
29'
F
J. Arp
29'
F
31
J. Grot
16'
F
J. Grot
16'
F
26
Lasse Legolas
F
Lasse Legolas
F
1
M. Hansen
G
M. Hansen
G
24
M. Rakneberg
D
M. Rakneberg
D
19
Nikolaj Juul-Sandberg
16'
M
Nikolaj Juul-Sandberg
16'
M
5
U. Yttergård Jenssen
4'
D
U. Yttergård Jenssen
4'
D
Best on the pitch
B. Meling
D · FC
8.18
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 22 pass
V. Myhra
G · Odense
7.84
· 39 pass
N. Ganaus
F · Odense
7.79
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 14 pass
M. López
D · FC
7.31
· 45 pass
T. Keskinen
M · Odense
7.28
1 👟
3 shots
· 12 pass
A. Sørensen
D · FC
7.26
1 shots
· 105 pass
FC Copenhagen — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Ramaj | G | 90 | 6.73 | — | — | 0 | 34 | 28% | 0 | — | — |
| M. López | D | 61 | 7.31 | — | — | 0 | 45 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Markgráf | D | 90 | 6.78 | — | — | 0 | 117 | 107% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Sørensen | D | 90 | 7.26 | — | — | 1 | 105 | 96% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Beijmo | D | 90 | 7.17 | — | — | 1 | 69 | 61% | 4 | — | — |
| M. Emil Madsen | M | 61 | 6.29 | — | — | 0 | 33 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| W. Clem | M | 90 | 6.63 | — | — | 2 | 69 | 60% | 2 | — | — |
| Robert | M | 45 | 7.01 | — | — | 3 | 27 | 24% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Elyounoussi | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 47 | 42% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Král | M | 61 | 6.42 | — | — | 3 | 28 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Cornelius | F | 90 | 6.66 | — | — | 2 | 23 | 18% | 0 | — | — |
| B. Meling | D | 29 | 8.18 | 1 | — | 1 | 22 | 21% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Carrizo | F | 45 | 6.55 | — | — | 2 | 26 | 21% | 0 | — | — |
| T. Delaney | M | 29 | 6.58 | — | — | 0 | 15 | 12% | 0 | — | — |
| V. Dadason | F | 29 | 6.20 | — | — | 5 | 4 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
Odense — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Myhra | G | 90 | 7.84 | — | — | 0 | 39 | 24% | 0 | — | — |
| M. McCoy | D | 90 | 6.79 | — | — | 0 | 21 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Berthel Askou | D | 90 | 7.23 | — | — | 0 | 44 | 39% | 0 | — | — |
| Julian Andreas Pauli | D | 90 | 6.39 | — | — | 0 | 36 | 26% | 4 | — | — |
| Magnus Hvitfeldt Andersen | D | 90 | 6.95 | — | — | 0 | 27 | 23% | 0 | — | — |
| F. Ulvestad | M | 90 | 6.35 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 22% | 1 | 1 | — |
| R. Falk | M | 74 | 6.89 | — | — | 0 | 30 | 29% | 0 | — | — |
| T. Keskinen | M | 86 | 7.28 | — | 1 | 3 | 12 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Ouédraogo | M | 86 | 6.68 | — | — | 0 | 29 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Gammelgaard | M | 61 | 6.46 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Ganaus | F | 74 | 7.79 | 1 | — | 1 | 14 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Suhonen | M | 4 | 6.44 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Arp | F | 29 | 6.62 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 1% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Grot | F | 16 | 6.21 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 2% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Nikolaj Juul-Sandberg | M | 16 | 6.45 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| U. Yttergård Jenssen | D | 4 | 6.61 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC Copenhagen vs Odense?
The final score was FC Copenhagen 1–1 Odense.
What did the model predict before FC Copenhagen vs Odense?
The model assigned 63% probability to a FC Copenhagen win, 19% to a draw, and 17% to an Odense win.