MLS · Regular Season - 5 March 22, 2026 01:30

FC Dallas

#3 · 47 pts

4 – 3

Final score

Houston Dynamo

#5 · 44 pts

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Dallas a 39% win probability (draw 30%, Houston Dynamo 30%). The final result was FC Dallas 4–3 Houston Dynamo. In 1 previous meetings, FC Dallas have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Houston Dynamo.

Match statistics

6

Shots on target

4

1.36

Actual xG

1.74

55%

Possession

45%

6

Corners

8

Pre-match prediction

39.37%

FC ←

30.36%

X

30.26%

Houston

we assigned to the actual result (FC Dallas) 39.37% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

FC

2.38

1.36

-1.02

Houston

1.16

1.74

+0.58

Houston Dynamo dominated by xG (1.74 vs 1.36). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	26	50
2	St. Louis City	27	47
3	FC Dallas	27	47
4	San Jose Earthquakes	27	45
5	Houston Dynamo	27	44
6	Los Angeles FC	28	41
7	Seattle Sounders	27	38
8	Colorado Rapids	27	36
9	Los Angeles Galaxy	28	36
10	Portland Timbers	27	32
11	Real Salt Lake	27	32
12	San Diego	27	32
13	Austin	27	31
14	Minnesota United FC	27	29
15	Sporting Kansas City	27	21