MLS · Regular Season - 5 March 22, 2026 01:30

FC Dallas

#6 · 27 pts

4 – 3

Final score

Houston Dynamo

#4 · 32 pts

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Dallas a 39% win probability (draw 30%, Houston Dynamo 30%). The final result was FC Dallas 4–3 Houston Dynamo. In 1 previous meetings, FC Dallas have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Houston Dynamo.

Match statistics

6

Shots on target

4

1.36

Actual xG

1.74

55%

Possession

45%

6

Corners

8

Pre-match prediction

39.37%

FC ←

30.36%

X

30.26%

Houston

we assigned to the actual result (FC Dallas) 39.37% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

FC

2.38

1.36

-1.02

Houston

1.16

1.74

+0.58

Houston Dynamo dominated by xG (1.74 vs 1.36). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	17	34
2	Los Angeles FC	19	34
3	San Jose Earthquakes	18	33
4	Houston Dynamo	18	32
5	Real Salt Lake	17	27
6	FC Dallas	18	27
7	St. Louis City	18	26
8	Portland Timbers	18	24
9	Seattle Sounders	17	24
10	Minnesota United FC	18	24
11	Colorado Rapids	18	22
12	Los Angeles Galaxy	19	22
13	San Diego	18	21
14	Austin	18	17
15	Sporting Kansas City	18	14