MLS · Regular Season - 5 March 22, 2026 02:30

FC Dallas

#4 · 25 pts

4 – 3

Final score

Houston Dynamo

#7 · 22 pts

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Dallas a 39% win probability (draw 30%, Houston Dynamo 30%). The final result was FC Dallas 4–3 Houston Dynamo. In 1 previous meetings, FC Dallas have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Houston Dynamo.

Match statistics

6

Shots on target

4

1.36

Actual xG

1.74

55%

Possession

45%

6

Corners

8

Pre-match prediction

39.37%

FC ←

30.36%

X

30.26%

Houston

we assigned to the actual result (FC Dallas) 39.37% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

FC

2.38

1.36

-1.02

Houston

1.16

1.74

+0.58

Houston Dynamo dominated by xG (1.74 vs 1.36). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	14	32
2	San Jose Earthquakes	15	32
3	Real Salt Lake	14	26
4	FC Dallas	15	25
5	Los Angeles FC	15	24
6	Seattle Sounders	13	24
7	Houston Dynamo	14	22
8	Minnesota United FC	15	22
9	Los Angeles Galaxy	15	20
10	San Diego	15	17
11	Colorado Rapids	15	16
12	St. Louis City	14	16
13	Portland Timbers	14	14
14	Austin	15	14
15	Sporting Kansas City	14	11