FC Dallas 4–3 Houston Dynamo — pre-match prediction — MLS — March 22, 2026

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MLS · Regular Season - 5 March 22, 2026 02:30

FC Dallas

#7 · 19 pts

4 – 3

Final score

Houston Dynamo

#8 · 18 pts

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Dallas a 39% win probability (draw 30%, Houston Dynamo 30%). The final result was FC Dallas 4–3 Houston Dynamo.

Match statistics

Shots on target

1.36

Actual xG

1.74

55%

Possession

45%

Corners

Pre-match prediction

39.37%

FC ←

30.36%

30.26%

Houston

we assigned to the actual result (FC Dallas) 39.37% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

2.38

1.36

-1.02

Houston

1.16

1.74

+0.58

Houston Dynamo dominated by xG (1.74 vs 1.36). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	12	29
1	Nashville SC	12	27
2	San Jose Earthquakes	13	29
2	Inter Miami	13	25
3	Seattle Sounders	11	24
3	New England Revolution	12	22
4	Chicago Fire	12	20
4	Real Salt Lake	12	22
5	Los Angeles FC	13	21
5	New York City FC	13	18
6	Minnesota United FC	13	21
6	New York Red Bulls	13	18
7	DC United	13	16
7	FC Dallas	13	19
8	Houston Dynamo	12	18
8	FC Cincinnati	13	16
9	Charlotte	13	15
9	Colorado Rapids	13	16
10	San Diego	13	16
10	Toronto FC	12	14
11	CF Montreal	12	13
11	Los Angeles Galaxy	13	16
12	Orlando City SC	13	13
12	Portland Timbers	12	14
13	Austin	13	14
13	Columbus Crew	13	12
14	St. Louis City	12	12
14	Atlanta United FC	12	10
15	Sporting Kansas City	12	8
15	Philadelphia Union	13	6