MLS
· Regular Season - 9
April 23, 2026 02:30
31'
A. Markanich
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Dallas a 46% win probability (draw 26%, Minnesota United FC 26%). The final result was FC Dallas 0–1 Minnesota United FC. In 1 previous meetings, FC Dallas have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Minnesota United FC.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
5
2
Shots on target
4
0.68
Actual xG
0.98
3
Saves
2
49%
Possession
51%
4
Corners
3
19
Tackles
10
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
4'
A. Markanich
31'
A. Markanich⚽
S. Moreno
41'
49'
M. Duggan
N. Norris
56'
C. Cappis
/ Ramiro
61'
S. Moreno
/ L. Farrington
62'
S. Ibeagha
/ S. Sarver
62'
P. Musa
/ P. Delgado
70'
70'
D. Padelford
/
A. Markanich
70'
M. Gonzalez
/
K. Yeboah
73'
N. Romero
82'
M. Dieng
/
T. Chancalay
H. Johansson
/ N. Simmonds
82'
89'
W. Trapp
/
J. Pereyra
Pre-match prediction
46.5%
FC
26.63%
X
26.88%
Minnesota ←
we assigned to the actual result (Minnesota United FC)
26.88%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.06
0.68
-1.38
1.14
0.98
-0.16
xG dominance was balanced (0.68 – 0.98).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
30
Michael Collodi
G
Michael Collodi
G
32
N. Norris
D
N. Norris
D
3
O. Urhoghide
D
O. Urhoghide
D
25
S. Ibeagha
62'
D
S. Ibeagha
62'
D
18
M
12
C. Cappis
61'
M
C. Cappis
61'
M
55
Kaick
M
Kaick
M
14
H. Johansson
82'
M
H. Johansson
82'
M
10
S. Moreno
62'
F
S. Moreno
62'
F
9
P. Musa
70'
F
P. Musa
70'
F
21
J. Valiente
F
J. Valiente
F
Bench
5
L. Abubakar
D
L. Abubakar
D
7
L. Deedson
F
L. Deedson
F
23
L. Farrington
33'
F
L. Farrington
33'
F
16
Nicholas Simmonds
13'
F
Nicholas Simmonds
13'
F
8
P. Delgado
25'
M
P. Delgado
25'
M
17
Ramiro
34'
M
Ramiro
34'
M
6
Ran Binyamin
M
Ran Binyamin
M
28
Samuel Sarver
33'
F
Samuel Sarver
33'
F
12
G
5
N. Romero
D
N. Romero
D
23
M. Duggan
D
M. Duggan
D
28
J. Díaz
D
J. Díaz
D
13
A. Markanich
1 ⚽
70'
M
A. Markanich
1 ⚽
70'
M
30
O. Gene
M
O. Gene
M
25
Nectarios Triantis
M
Nectarios Triantis
M
3
K. Duncan
M
K. Duncan
M
8
T. Chancalay
82'
F
T. Chancalay
82'
F
26
J. Pereyra
89'
F
J. Pereyra
89'
F
9
K. Yeboah
70'
F
K. Yeboah
70'
F
Bench
1
Alec Smir
G
21
B. Hlongwane
F
B. Hlongwane
F
2
D. Padelford
25'
D
D. Padelford
25'
D
27
D. Taylor
D
D. Taylor
D
10
J. Rodríguez
M
J. Rodríguez
M
33
K. Chandler
D
K. Chandler
D
29
Mamadou Dieng
13'
F
Mamadou Dieng
13'
F
18
M. Gonzalez
25'
F
M. Gonzalez
25'
F
20
W. Trapp
6'
M
W. Trapp
6'
M
Best on the pitch
O. Gene
M · Minnesota
7.50
· 67 pass
O. Urhoghide
D · FC
7.50
1 shots
· 53 pass
J. Díaz
D · Minnesota
7.50
· 48 pass
N. Romero
D · Minnesota
7.50
· 61 pass
Kaick
M · FC
7.30
1 shots
· 61 pass
A. Markanich
M · Minnesota
7.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 31 pass
FC Dallas — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Collodi | G | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 23% | — | — | — |
| N. Norris | D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 48 | 41% | 3 | 1 | — |
| O. Urhoghide | D | 95 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 53 | 49% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Ibeagha | D | 62 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 32 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| M | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 41 | 32% | 2 | — | — | |
| C. Cappis | M | 61 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 34 | 27% | 3 | — | — |
| Kaick | M | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 61 | 49% | 2 | — | — |
| H. Johansson | M | 82 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 19% | — | — | — |
| S. Moreno | F | 62 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 24 | 19% | — | 1 | — |
| P. Musa | F | 70 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Valiente | F | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 37 | 29% | 3 | — | — |
| L. Farrington | F | 33 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Nicholas Simmonds | F | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| P. Delgado | M | 25 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Ramiro | M | 34 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 38% | — | — | — |
| Samuel Sarver | F | 33 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 7% | — | — | — |
Minnesota United FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 37 | 17% | — | — | — | |
| N. Romero | D | 95 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 61 | 51% | — | 1 | — |
| M. Duggan | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 40 | 34% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Díaz | D | 95 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 48 | 40% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Markanich | M | 70 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 31 | 19% | — | 1 | — |
| O. Gene | M | 95 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 67 | 58% | 2 | — | — |
| Nectarios Triantis | M | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 64 | 56% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Duncan | M | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Chancalay | F | 82 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 56 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Pereyra | F | 89 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 49 | 41% | — | — | — |
| K. Yeboah | F | 70 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 8% | — | — | — |
| D. Padelford | D | 25 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 13 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Mamadou Dieng | F | 13 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| M. Gonzalez | F | 25 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| W. Trapp | M | 6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC Dallas vs Minnesota United FC?
The final score was FC Dallas 0–1 Minnesota United FC.
What did the model predict before FC Dallas vs Minnesota United FC?
The model assigned 46% probability to a FC Dallas win, 26% to a draw, and 26% to an Minnesota United FC win.