MLS
· Regular Season - 13
May 10, 2026 02:30
S. Moreno
(ast. P. Musa)
18'
Kaick
24'
S. Sarver
(ast. S. Ibeagha)
90'+2
85'
(ast. M. Guilavogui)
D. Luna
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Dallas a 44% win probability (draw 27%, Real Salt Lake 27%). The final result was FC Dallas 3–1 Real Salt Lake.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
5
4
Shots on target
2
2.15
Actual xG
0.50
2
Saves
1
27%
Possession
73%
4
Corners
6
18
Tackles
19
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽S. Moreno
· ast. P. Musa
18'
O. Urhoghide
23'
⚽Kaick
24'
35'
M. Guilavogui
45'+1
D. Luna
58'
V. Olatunji
/
S. Solans
S. Moreno
/ C. Cappis
67'
68'
A. Hezarkhani
/
S. Spierings
68'
A. Katranis
/
J. Sanabria
J. Valiente
/ S. Sarver
76'
P. Musa
/ L. Farrington
76'
81'
D. Yedlin
83'
D. Marczuk
/
D. Yedlin
85'
ast. M. Guilavogui ·
D. Luna⚽
R. Binyamin
/ S. Ibeagha
88'
⚽S. Sarver
· ast. S. Ibeagha
90'+2
S. Sarver
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
44.68%
FC ←
27.8%
X
27.52%
Real
we assigned to the actual result (FC Dallas)
44.68%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.00
2.15
+0.15
1.33
0.50
-0.83
FC Dallas dominated by xG (2.15 vs 0.50).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
30
Michael Collodi
G
Michael Collodi
G
32
N. Norris
D
3
Osaze Urhoghide
D
Osaze Urhoghide
D
18
Shaq Moore
D
Shaq Moore
D
14
H. Johansson
D
H. Johansson
D
6
Ran Binyamin
88'
M
Ran Binyamin
88'
M
17
Ramiro
M
Ramiro
M
55
Kaick
1 ⚽
M
Kaick
1 ⚽
M
21
Joaquín Valiente
76'
M
Joaquín Valiente
76'
M
9
Petar Musa
1 👟
76'
F
Petar Musa
1 👟
76'
F
10
Santiago Moreno
1 ⚽
67'
F
Santiago Moreno
1 ⚽
67'
F
Bench
27
Caleb Swann
M
Caleb Swann
M
12
Christian Cappis
28'
M
Christian Cappis
28'
M
40
Jonathan Sirois
G
Jonathan Sirois
G
5
Lalas Abubakar
D
Lalas Abubakar
D
23
Logan Farrington
19'
F
Logan Farrington
19'
F
16
Nicholas Simmonds
F
8
Patrickson Delgado
M
Patrickson Delgado
M
28
Sam Sarver
1 ⚽
19'
F
Sam Sarver
1 ⚽
19'
F
25
Sebastien Ibeagha
1 👟
7'
D
Sebastien Ibeagha
1 👟
7'
D
1
Rafael Cabral
G
Rafael Cabral
G
8
Juan Sanabria
68'
D
Juan Sanabria
68'
D
29
Sam Junqua
D
Sam Junqua
D
26
Philip Quinton
D
Philip Quinton
D
2
DeAndre Yedlin
83'
D
DeAndre Yedlin
83'
D
72
Z. Gozo
D
Z. Gozo
D
10
D. Luna
1 ⚽
M
D. Luna
1 ⚽
M
6
Stijn Spierings
68'
M
Stijn Spierings
68'
M
92
Noel Caliskan
M
Noel Caliskan
M
9
Morgan Guilavogui
1 👟
M
Morgan Guilavogui
1 👟
M
22
Sergi Solans
58'
F
Sergi Solans
58'
F
Bench
39
Aiden Hezarkhani
27'
F
Aiden Hezarkhani
27'
F
98
Alexandros Katranis
27'
D
Alexandros Katranis
27'
D
11
Dominik Marczuk
12'
F
Dominik Marczuk
12'
F
27
Griffin Dillon
M
Griffin Dillon
M
3
Kobi Henry
D
Kobi Henry
D
31
Mason Stajduhar
G
Mason Stajduhar
G
7
Pablo Ruíz
M
Pablo Ruíz
M
17
Victor Olatunji
37'
F
Victor Olatunji
37'
F
23
Z. Booth
M
Best on the pitch
Sam Sarver
F · FC
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 3 pass
Kaick
M · FC
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 24 pass
D. Luna
M · Real
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 68 pass
Osaze Urhoghide
D · FC
7.30
1 shots
· 12 pass
Santiago Moreno
F · FC
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 11 pass
Noel Caliskan
M · Real
7.30
1 shots
· 72 pass
FC Dallas — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Collodi | G | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 16% | — | — | — |
| N. Norris | D | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| Osaze Urhoghide | D | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 9% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Shaq Moore | D | 95 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 26 | 20% | 3 | — | — |
| H. Johansson | D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Ran Binyamin | M | 88 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 16% | 3 | — | — |
| Ramiro | M | 95 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 28 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Kaick | M | 95 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 2 | 24 | 21% | 3 | — | — |
| Joaquín Valiente | M | 76 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Petar Musa | F | 76 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 3 | 15 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| Santiago Moreno | F | 67 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Christian Cappis | M | 28 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Logan Farrington | F | 19 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Sam Sarver | F | 19 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
| Sebastien Ibeagha | D | 7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Real Salt Lake — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafael Cabral | G | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 50 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| Juan Sanabria | D | 68 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 42 | 39% | — | — | — |
| Sam Junqua | D | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 86 | 78% | 4 | — | — |
| Philip Quinton | D | 95 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 89 | 83% | 2 | — | — |
| DeAndre Yedlin | D | 83 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 65 | 59% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Z. Gozo | D | 95 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 38 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Luna | M | 95 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 68 | 56% | — | 1 | — |
| Stijn Spierings | M | 68 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 59 | 54% | 1 | — | — |
| Noel Caliskan | M | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 72 | 65% | 4 | — | — |
| Morgan Guilavogui | M | 95 | 6.50 | — | 1 | 1 | 41 | 36% | — | 1 | — |
| Sergi Solans | F | 58 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 2% | 2 | — | — |
| Aiden Hezarkhani | F | 27 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Alexandros Katranis | D | 27 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Dominik Marczuk | F | 12 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Victor Olatunji | F | 37 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC Dallas vs Real Salt Lake?
The final score was FC Dallas 3–1 Real Salt Lake.
What did the model predict before FC Dallas vs Real Salt Lake?
The model assigned 44% probability to a FC Dallas win, 27% to a draw, and 27% to an Real Salt Lake win.