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MLS · Regular Season - 31 October 25, 2026 02:30 Toyota Stadium(Texas), Frisco
FC Dallas
#2 · 58 pts
3 – 0
Final score
San Jose Earthquakes
#4 · 52 pts
✓Model correct — prediction FC Dallas
Petar Musa (ast. Bernard Kamungo) 83'
Petar Musa 88' (pen.)
Santiago Moreno (ast. Ramiro) 90'+4
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Dallas a 66% win probability (draw 17%, San Jose Earthquakes 16%). The final result was FC Dallas 3–0 San Jose Earthquakes. In 1 previous meetings, FC Dallas have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for San Jose Earthquakes.

Match statistics
15
Total shots
4
6
Shots on target
1
2.48
Actual xG
0.37
1
Saves
3
52%
Possession
48%
6
Corners
1
12
Tackles
9
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
28'
Reid Roberts
64'
Angus Gunn
↕ Joaquín Valiente Cioli / Santiago Moreno
65'
77'
Paul Marie / Jack Jasinski ↕
77'
N.Tsakiris / Ronaldo Vieira ↕
77'
Vitor Costa / Jamar Ricketts ↕
77'
Jack·Skahan / Timo Werner ↕
↕ Herman Johansson / Ran Binyamin
78'
↕ Daniel Job / Patrickson Delgado
78'
⚽Petar Musa · ast. Bernard Kamungo
83'
⚽Petar Musa (pen.)
88'
↕ Petar Musa / Christian Cappis
89'
⚽Santiago Moreno · ast. Ramiro
90'+4
90'
Luka Jovanovic / Dave Romney ↕
Pre-match prediction
66.13%
FC ←
17.49%
X
16.38%
San
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (FC Dallas) 66.13% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
FC
2.67
2.48
-0.19
San
1.10
0.37
-0.73
FC Dallas dominated by xG (2.48 vs 0.37). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 34 64
2 FC Dallas FC Dallas 34 58
3 St. Louis City St. Louis City 34 54
4 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 34 52
5 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 34 51
6 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 34 47
7 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 34 46
8 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 34 46
9 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 34 45
10 Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC 34 44
11 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 34 44
12 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 34 43
13 San Diego San Diego 34 38
14 Austin Austin 34 34
15 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 34 26
Lineups
FC Dallas FC Dallas 3-4-2-1
42 Daniel Daniel G 6.95
18 S. Moore S. Moore D 7.09
3 O. Urhoghide O. Urhoghide D 7.84
25 S. Ibeagha S. Ibeagha D 7.49
77 B. Kamungo B. Kamungo 1 👟 M 7.70
17 Ramiro Ramiro 1 👟 M 7.70
55 Kaick Kaick M 7.11
14 H. Johansson H. Johansson 78' M 6.54
7 D. Job D. Job 78' M 6.36
21 J. Valiente J. Valiente 65' M 6.72
9 P. Musa P. Musa 2 ⚽ 89' F 8.20
Bench
11 A. Julio A. Julio F 0.00
27 Caleb Swann Caleb Swann M 0.00
12 C. Cappis C. Cappis 1' M 7.21
40 J. Sirois J. Sirois G 0.00
5 L. Abubakar L. Abubakar D 0.00
32 N. Norris N. Norris D 0.00
8 P. Delgado P. Delgado 12' M 6.80
6 R. Binyamin R. Binyamin 12' M 6.81
10 S. Moreno S. Moreno 1 ⚽ 25' F 7.59
San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 3-4-2-1
1 A. Gunn A. Gunn G 5.92
18 R. Roberts R. Roberts D 6.14
4 D. Romney D. Romney 89' D 6.58
5 D. Munie D. Munie D 6.49
2 J. Ricketts J. Ricketts 77' M 6.00
23 E. Löwen E. Löwen M 6.70
14 R. Vieira R. Vieira 77' M 6.46
17 Jack Jasinski Jack Jasinski 77' M 5.89
11 T. Werner T. Werner 77' M 5.59
34 Beau Leroux Beau Leroux M 6.34
7 O. Bouda O. Bouda F 6.35
Bench
36 E. Edwards E. Edwards G 0.00
6 I. Harkes I. Harkes M 0.00
16 J. Skahan J. Skahan 13' M 5.98
9 L. Jovanović L. Jovanović 1' F 0.00
25 M. Floriani M. Floriani D 0.00
20 N. Fernandez N. Fernandez M 0.00
10 N. Tsakiris N. Tsakiris 13' M 5.83
3 P. Marie P. Marie 13' D 6.21
87 Vítor Costa Vítor Costa 13' D 6.16
Best on the pitch
P. Musa
P. Musa
F · FC
8.20
2 ⚽
3 shots · 37 pass
O. Urhoghide
O. Urhoghide
D · FC
7.84
1 shots · 31 pass
B. Kamungo
B. Kamungo
M · FC
7.70
1 👟
2 shots · 41 pass
Ramiro
Ramiro
M · FC
7.70
1 👟
· 72 pass
S. Moreno
S. Moreno
F · FC
7.59
1 ⚽
2 shots · 15 pass
S. Ibeagha
S. Ibeagha
D · FC
7.49
· 24 pass
FC Dallas FC Dallas — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Daniel G 90 6.95 — — 0 30 19% 1 — —
S. Moore D 90 7.09 — — 0 47 39% 1 — —
O. Urhoghide D 90 7.84 — — 1 31 27% 5 — —
S. Ibeagha D 90 7.49 — — 0 24 22% 0 — —
B. Kamungo M 90 7.70 — 1 2 41 36% 1 — —
Ramiro M 90 7.70 — 1 0 72 63% 1 — —
Kaick M 90 7.11 — — 1 60 55% 1 — —
H. Johansson M 78 6.54 — — 1 40 31% 0 — —
D. Job M 78 6.36 — — 3 24 17% 0 — —
J. Valiente M 65 6.72 — — 1 27 21% 1 — —
P. Musa F 89 8.20 2 — 3 37 28% 0 — —
C. Cappis M 1 7.21 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
P. Delgado M 12 6.80 — — 1 7 6% 0 — —
R. Binyamin M 12 6.81 — — 0 8 7% 0 — —
S. Moreno F 25 7.59 1 — 2 15 13% 1 — —
San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
A. Gunn G 90 5.92 — — 0 35 21% 0 1 —
R. Roberts D 90 6.14 — — 0 59 55% 1 1 —
D. Romney D 89 6.58 — — 0 49 44% 0 — —
D. Munie D 90 6.49 — — 0 48 41% 2 — —
J. Ricketts M 77 6.00 — — 0 32 26% 3 — —
E. Löwen M 90 6.70 — — 1 67 59% 1 — —
R. Vieira M 77 6.46 — — 1 38 36% 0 — —
Jack Jasinski M 77 5.89 — — 0 20 15% 0 — —
T. Werner M 77 5.59 — — 0 27 18% 0 — —
Beau Leroux M 90 6.34 — — 1 31 24% 1 — —
O. Bouda F 90 6.35 — — 0 21 16% 0 — —
J. Skahan M 13 5.98 — — 0 3 3% 0 — —
L. Jovanović F 1 0.00 — — 0 1 1% 0 — —
N. Tsakiris M 13 5.83 — — 1 6 6% 0 — —
P. Marie D 13 6.21 — — 0 4 2% 1 — —
Vítor Costa D 13 6.16 — — 0 3 2% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC Dallas vs San Jose Earthquakes?
The final score was FC Dallas 3–0 San Jose Earthquakes.
What did the model predict before FC Dallas vs San Jose Earthquakes?
The model assigned 66% probability to a FC Dallas win, 17% to a draw, and 16% to an San Jose Earthquakes win.