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MLS · Regular Season - 7 April 12, 2026 02:30
FC Dallas
#3 · 47 pts
1 – 1
Final score
St. Louis City
#2 · 47 pts
L. Deedson (ast. P. Musa) 48'
61' (ast. D. Edelman) T. Baumgartl
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Dallas a 45% win probability (draw 28%, St. Louis City 26%). The final result was FC Dallas 1–1 St. Louis City. In 1 previous meetings, FC Dallas have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for St. Louis City.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
6
3
Shots on target
5
1.36
Actual xG
1.32
4
Saves
2
41%
Possession
59%
5
Corners
10
12
Tackles
12
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
32'
S. Cordova
↕ Ramiro / Kaick
35'
O. Urhoghide
39'
C. Cappis
40'
⚽L. Deedson · ast. P. Musa
48'
M. Collodi
58'
61'
ast. D. Edelman · T. Baumgartl⚽
↕ L. Deedson / H. Johansson
67'
↕ P. Delgado / J. Valiente
67'
↕ L. Farrington / S. Moreno
67'
76'
C. Teuchert / S. Cordova ↕
76'
L. MacNaughton / J. Orozco ↕
↕ C. Cappis / R. Binyamin
83'
89'
T. Totland / Rafael Santos ↕
89'
M. Perez / D. Edelman ↕
90'+5
B. McSorley / S. Becher ↕
Pre-match prediction
45.49%
FC
28.04%
X ←
26.47%
St.
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 28.04% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
FC
2.06
1.36
-0.7
St.
0.86
1.32
+0.46
xG dominance was balanced (1.36 – 1.32). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 26 50
2 St. Louis City St. Louis City 27 47
3 FC Dallas FC Dallas 27 47
4 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 27 45
5 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 27 44
6 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 28 41
7 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 27 38
8 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 27 36
9 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 28 36
10 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 27 32
11 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 27 32
12 San Diego San Diego 27 32
13 Austin Austin 27 31
14 Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC 27 29
15 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 27 21
Lineups
FC Dallas FC Dallas 3-4-1-2
30 Michael Collodi Michael Collodi G 6.90
32 N. Norris N. Norris D 6.90
3 O. Urhoghide O. Urhoghide D 6.70
25 S. Ibeagha S. Ibeagha D 6.60
18
M 6.60
12 C. Cappis C. Cappis 83' M 6.60
17 Ramiro Ramiro 35' M 6.90
7 L. Deedson L. Deedson 1 ⚽ 67' M 8.30
8 P. Delgado P. Delgado 67' F 6.50
23 L. Farrington L. Farrington 67' F 6.90
9 P. Musa P. Musa 1 👟 F 7.20
Bench
14 H. Johansson H. Johansson 30' M 6.30
21 J. Valiente J. Valiente 30' M 6.30
55 Kaick Kaick 62' M 6.00
5 L. Abubakar L. Abubakar D
16 Nicholas Simmonds Nicholas Simmonds F
6 Ran Binyamin Ran Binyamin 14' M 6.30
28 Samuel Sarver Samuel Sarver F
10 S. Moreno S. Moreno 30' F 7.00
St. Louis City St. Louis City 3-4-2-1
1
G 6.70
21 D. Polvara D. Polvara D 6.90
32 T. Baumgartl T. Baumgartl 1 ⚽ D 7.90
99 J. Orozco J. Orozco 76' D 6.20
20 Rafael Santos Rafael Santos 89' M 6.90
8 C. Durkin C. Durkin M 7.30
24 D. Edelman D. Edelman 1 👟 89' M 7.90
6 C. Wallem C. Wallem M 7.00
17 M. Hartel M. Hartel F 6.90
16 S. Córdova S. Córdova 76' F 6.20
11 S. Becher S. Becher F 6.30
Bench
80 Brendan McSorley Brendan McSorley 2' F
36 Cedric Teuchert Cedric Teuchert 21' F 6.30
77 Jeong Sang-Bin Jeong Sang-Bin F
5 L. MacNaughton L. MacNaughton 21' D 6.60
59 M. Joyner M. Joyner M
28 M. Perez M. Perez 8' M 6.70
14 T. Totland T. Totland 8' D 6.30
Best on the pitch
L. Deedson
L. Deedson
M · FC
8.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 14 pass
D. Edelman
D. Edelman
M · St.
7.90
1 👟
· 62 pass
T. Baumgartl
T. Baumgartl
D · St.
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 73 pass
C. Durkin
C. Durkin
M · St.
7.30
· 75 pass
P. Musa
P. Musa
F · FC
7.20
1 👟
2 shots · 26 pass
S. Moreno
S. Moreno
F · FC
7.00
· 18 pass
FC Dallas FC Dallas — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Michael Collodi G 97 6.90 — — — 27 17% — 1 —
N. Norris D 97 6.90 — — — 47 37% 3 — —
O. Urhoghide D 97 6.70 — — 1 28 25% 2 1 —
S. Ibeagha D 97 6.60 — — — 30 26% — — —
M 97 6.60 — — — 31 27% 1 — —
C. Cappis M 83 6.60 — — — 29 22% 2 1 —
Ramiro M 35 6.90 — — — 20 16% — — —
L. Deedson M 67 8.30 1 — 2 14 12% — — —
P. Delgado F 67 6.50 — — — 14 9% — — —
L. Farrington F 67 6.90 — — 1 15 9% 1 — —
P. Musa F 97 7.20 — 1 2 26 19% 2 — —
H. Johansson M 30 6.30 — — — 10 10% — — —
J. Valiente M 30 6.30 — — 1 11 7% — — —
Kaick M 62 6.00 — — 2 25 18% — — —
Ran Binyamin M 14 6.30 — — — 5 4% 1 — —
S. Moreno F 30 7.00 — — — 18 16% — — —
St. Louis City St. Louis City — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 97 6.70 — — — 31 25% — — —
D. Polvara D 97 6.90 — — — 46 37% 3 — —
T. Baumgartl D 97 7.90 1 — 1 73 67% 1 — —
J. Orozco D 76 6.20 — — — 54 48% 1 — —
Rafael Santos M 89 6.90 — — 1 27 21% — — —
C. Durkin M 97 7.30 — — — 75 66% 1 — —
D. Edelman M 89 7.90 — 1 — 62 46% 1 — —
C. Wallem M 97 7.00 — — — 38 30% 2 — —
M. Hartel F 97 6.90 — — 3 42 33% 1 — —
S. Córdova F 76 6.20 — — — 15 9% — 1 —
S. Becher F 95 6.30 — — — 22 17% 1 — —
Brendan McSorley F 2 — — — — 2 2% — — —
Cedric Teuchert F 21 6.30 — — 1 5 5% — — —
L. MacNaughton D 21 6.60 — — — 11 6% 1 — —
M. Perez M 8 6.70 — — — 2 1% — — —
T. Totland D 8 6.30 — — — 2 1% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC Dallas vs St. Louis City?
The final score was FC Dallas 1–1 St. Louis City.
What did the model predict before FC Dallas vs St. Louis City?
The model assigned 45% probability to a FC Dallas win, 28% to a draw, and 26% to an St. Louis City win.