MLS
· Regular Season - 7
April 12, 2026 04:30
L. Deedson
(ast. P. Musa)
48'
61'
(ast. D. Edelman)
T. Baumgartl
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Dallas a 45% win probability (draw 28%, St. Louis City 26%). The final result was FC Dallas 1–1 St. Louis City.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
6
3
Shots on target
5
1.36
Actual xG
1.32
4
Saves
2
41%
Possession
59%
5
Corners
10
12
Tackles
12
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
32'
S. Cordova
Ramiro
/ Kaick
35'
O. Urhoghide
39'
C. Cappis
40'
⚽L. Deedson
· ast. P. Musa
48'
M. Collodi
58'
61'
ast. D. Edelman ·
T. Baumgartl⚽
L. Deedson
/ H. Johansson
67'
P. Delgado
/ J. Valiente
67'
L. Farrington
/ S. Moreno
67'
76'
C. Teuchert
/
S. Cordova
76'
L. MacNaughton
/
J. Orozco
C. Cappis
/ R. Binyamin
83'
89'
T. Totland
/
Rafael Santos
89'
M. Perez
/
D. Edelman
90'+5
B. McSorley
/
S. Becher
Pre-match prediction
45.49%
FC
28.04%
X ←
26.47%
St.
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
28.04%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.06
1.36
-0.7
0.86
1.32
+0.46
xG dominance was balanced (1.36 – 1.32).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
30
Michael Collodi
G
Michael Collodi
G
32
N. Norris
D
3
Osaze Urhoghide
D
Osaze Urhoghide
D
25
Sebastien Ibeagha
D
Sebastien Ibeagha
D
18
M
12
Christian Cappis
83'
M
Christian Cappis
83'
M
17
Ramiro
35'
M
Ramiro
35'
M
7
L. Deedson
1 ⚽
67'
M
L. Deedson
1 ⚽
67'
M
8
Patrickson Delgado
67'
F
Patrickson Delgado
67'
F
23
Logan Farrington
67'
F
Logan Farrington
67'
F
9
Petar Musa
1 👟
F
Petar Musa
1 👟
F
Bench
14
H. Johansson
30'
M
H. Johansson
30'
M
21
Joaquín Valiente
30'
M
Joaquín Valiente
30'
M
55
Kaick
62'
M
Kaick
62'
M
5
Lalas Abubakar
D
Lalas Abubakar
D
16
Nicholas Simmonds
F
6
Ran Binyamin
14'
M
Ran Binyamin
14'
M
28
Sam Sarver
F
Sam Sarver
F
10
Santiago Moreno
30'
F
Santiago Moreno
30'
F
1
G
21
Dante Polvara
D
Dante Polvara
D
32
Timo Baumgartl
1 ⚽
D
Timo Baumgartl
1 ⚽
D
99
Jaziel Orozco
76'
D
Jaziel Orozco
76'
D
20
Rafael Santos
89'
M
Rafael Santos
89'
M
8
C. Durkin
M
C. Durkin
M
24
Daniel Edelman
1 👟
89'
M
Daniel Edelman
1 👟
89'
M
6
Conrad Wallem
M
Conrad Wallem
M
17
Marcel Hartel
F
Marcel Hartel
F
16
Sergio Córdova
76'
F
Sergio Córdova
76'
F
11
Simon Becher
F
Simon Becher
F
Bench
80
Brendan McSorley
2'
F
Brendan McSorley
2'
F
36
Cedric Teuchert
21'
F
Cedric Teuchert
21'
F
77
Jeong Sang-bin
F
Jeong Sang-bin
F
5
Lukas MacNaughton
21'
D
Lukas MacNaughton
21'
D
28
Miguel Perez
8'
M
Miguel Perez
8'
M
59
Mykhi Joyner
M
Mykhi Joyner
M
14
Tomas Totland
8'
D
Tomas Totland
8'
D
Best on the pitch
L. Deedson
M · FC
8.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 14 pass
Daniel Edelman
M · St.
7.90
1 👟
· 62 pass
Timo Baumgartl
D · St.
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 73 pass
C. Durkin
M · St.
7.30
· 75 pass
Petar Musa
F · FC
7.20
1 👟
2 shots
· 26 pass
Santiago Moreno
F · FC
7.00
· 18 pass
FC Dallas — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Collodi | G | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 17% | — | 1 | — |
| N. Norris | D | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 47 | 37% | 3 | — | — |
| Osaze Urhoghide | D | 97 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 25% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Sebastien Ibeagha | D | 97 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 30 | 26% | — | — | — |
| M | 97 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 31 | 27% | 1 | — | — | |
| Christian Cappis | M | 83 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 29 | 22% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Ramiro | M | 35 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 16% | — | — | — |
| L. Deedson | M | 67 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 14 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Patrickson Delgado | F | 67 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 14 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Logan Farrington | F | 67 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Petar Musa | F | 97 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 2 | 26 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| H. Johansson | M | 30 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Joaquín Valiente | M | 30 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Kaick | M | 62 | 6.00 | — | — | 2 | 25 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Ran Binyamin | M | 14 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Santiago Moreno | F | 30 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 18 | 16% | — | — | — |
St. Louis City — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 97 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 31 | 25% | — | — | — | |
| Dante Polvara | D | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 46 | 37% | 3 | — | — |
| Timo Baumgartl | D | 97 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 73 | 67% | 1 | — | — |
| Jaziel Orozco | D | 76 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 54 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| Rafael Santos | M | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 21% | — | — | — |
| C. Durkin | M | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 75 | 66% | 1 | — | — |
| Daniel Edelman | M | 89 | 7.90 | — | 1 | — | 62 | 46% | 1 | — | — |
| Conrad Wallem | M | 97 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 38 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| Marcel Hartel | F | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 42 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| Sergio Córdova | F | 76 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 15 | 9% | — | 1 | — |
| Simon Becher | F | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Brendan McSorley | F | 2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Cedric Teuchert | F | 21 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Lukas MacNaughton | D | 21 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 11 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Miguel Perez | M | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Tomas Totland | D | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC Dallas vs St. Louis City?
The final score was FC Dallas 1–1 St. Louis City.
What did the model predict before FC Dallas vs St. Louis City?
The model assigned 45% probability to a FC Dallas win, 28% to a draw, and 26% to an St. Louis City win.