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FC Dnepr Mogilev - ML Vitebsk

Premier League September 13, 2026 14:00
FC Dnepr Mogilev
#15 · 15 pts
vs
ML Vitebsk
#2 · 40 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
14.51%
Win
FC Dnepr Mogilev
26.99%
Draw
58.49%
Win
ML Vitebsk
0.5
Expected xG
1.45
Most likely outcome
ML Vitebsk
58.49%
Probability
55.6%
1X2 accuracy · 18 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 0–1 (20.09%)
1X2 Result
1 15%
X 27%
2 58%
Double Chance ✓ 94.4% hit rate (18 picks)
1X 42%
X2 86%
12 73%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 71%
Over 2.5 44%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives ML Vitebsk a 58% win probability, against 26% for a draw and 14% for FC Dnepr Mogilev. Expected goals are 0.5 for FC Dnepr Mogilev and 1.4 for ML Vitebsk (total 1.9), with a 71% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–1 at 20.09% probability. In 2 previous meetings, FC Dnepr Mogilev have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for ML Vitebsk.

Season Stats

FC Dnepr Mogilev
1W 6D 8L
ML Vitebsk
8W 6D 1L
Averages per game
0.8
Goals
1.9
1.7
Conceded
0.9
Percentages
73%
O 1.5
73%
40%
O 2.5
60%
53%
BTTS
60%
20%
Clean Sht
40%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Premier League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
38%
O 3.5
59%
BTTS
FC Dnepr Mogilev
1W 6D 3L · at home
ML Vitebsk
8W 1D 0L · away
1.0
gls/g
2.7
1.1
Conceded
1.0
10%
Win %
89%
70%
Win or Draw
100%
60%
O 1.5
89%
30%
O 2.5
89%
20%
O 3.5
56%
50%
BTTS
67%
30%
Clean Sht
33%
40%
Failed to Score
0%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ FC Dnepr Mogilev ML Vitebsk →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 14.3% 20.6% 14.9% 7.2% 2.6% 0.8%
1 7.1% 10.3% 7.5% 3.6% 1.3% 0.4%
2 1.8% 2.6% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% —
4 — 0.1% — — — —
5 — — — — — —

Recent form

FC Dnepr Mogilev FC Dnepr Mogilev
L Baranovichi 2–1
D FC Isloch Minsk R. 0–0
D Torpedo Zhodino 0–0
D Belshina 1–1
L Slavia Mozyr 3–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 28%
ML Vitebsk ML Vitebsk
D Dinamo Minsk 0–0
D Belshina 1–1
W Dinamo Brest 1–3
D Bate Borisov 0–0
W Baranovichi 2–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 19%

Playing profile

FC Dnepr Mogilev FC Dnepr Mogilev
Attack
18
Defence
64
Form
31
ML Vitebsk ML Vitebsk
Attack
40
Defence
81
Form
64
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
FC Dnepr Mogilev
0
Draw
2
ML Vitebsk
10 May 2026 Premier League 1–5
4 Feb 2026 Friendlies Clubs 1–4

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 FC Isloch Minsk R. FC Isloch Minsk R. 20 42
2 ML Vitebsk ML Vitebsk 19 40
3 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk 19 40
4 FC Gomel FC Gomel 21 36
5 Neman Neman 21 34
6 Dinamo Brest Dinamo Brest 21 34
7 FC Minsk FC Minsk 22 34
8 FC Vitebsk FC Vitebsk 22 33
9 Torpedo Zhodino Torpedo Zhodino 21 27
10 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr 21 25
11 Baranovichi Baranovichi 22 25
12 Arsenal Arsenal 22 23
13 Belshina Belshina 21 18
14 Bate Borisov Bate Borisov 20 17
15 FC Dnepr Mogilev FC Dnepr Mogilev 21 15
16 Naftan Naftan 21 10
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win FC Dnepr Mogilev vs ML Vitebsk?
The model gives FC Dnepr Mogilev a 14% win probability, 26% for a draw, and 58% for an ML Vitebsk win.
How many goals are expected in FC Dnepr Mogilev vs ML Vitebsk?
Expected goals: FC Dnepr Mogilev 0.5, ML Vitebsk 1.4 (total 1.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 71%.
What is the most likely score in FC Dnepr Mogilev vs ML Vitebsk?
0–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 20.09%.