✗Model wrong — prediction FC Copenhagen, result Draw
F. Etim
(ast. A. Nygaard)
1'
J. Lindekilde
(ast. D. F. Kristjansson)
24'
F. Etim
(ast. J. Jessen)
83'
11'
(ast. M. Elyounoussi)
A. Cornelius
32'
(ast. M. Lopez)
M. Madsen
(pen.)
87'
J. Larsson
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Copenhagen a 60% win probability (draw 20%, FC Fredericia 18%). The final result was FC Fredericia 3–3 FC Copenhagen. In 3 previous meetings, FC Fredericia have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for FC Copenhagen.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
12
6
Shots on target
5
1.80
Actual xG
2.31
2
Saves
3
43%
Possession
57%
6
Corners
4
10
Tackles
23
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽F. Etim
· ast. A. Nygaard
1'
11'
ast. M. Elyounoussi ·
A. Cornelius⚽
⚽J. Lindekilde
· ast. D. F. Kristjansson
24'
32'
ast. M. Lopez ·
M. Madsen⚽
45'+1
W. Clem
S. Crone
/ J. Kudsk
46'
46'
T. Delaney
/
W. Clem
65'
V. Dadason
/
A. Cornelius
F. Rieper
69'
74'
Robert
/
E. Achouri
E. Simonsen
/ O. Buch
74'
S. Johannesen
/ G. Marcussen
74'
A. Nygaard
/ A. Dahl
82'
⚽F. Etim
· ast. J. Jessen
83'
87'
(pen.)
J. Larsson⚽
88'
G. Vianney
/
M. Madsen
88'
V. Claesson
/
M. Lopez
J. Lindekilde
/ P. Egelund
88'
90'+2
T. Delaney
90'+5
G. Vianney
Pre-match prediction
18.83%
FC
20.37%
X ←
60.8%
FC
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
20.37%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.96
1.80
+0.84
2.11
2.31
+0.2
FC Copenhagen dominated by xG (2.31 vs 1.80).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
90
G
8
Jakob Jessen
1 👟
D
Jakob Jessen
1 👟
D
5
Frederik Rieper
D
Frederik Rieper
D
3
Adam Nygaard
1 👟
82'
D
Adam Nygaard
1 👟
82'
D
12
S. Crone
45'
D
S. Crone
45'
D
18
A. Pyndt
M
A. Pyndt
M
17
D. Kristjánsson
1 👟
M
D. Kristjánsson
1 👟
M
10
E. Simonsen
74'
M
E. Simonsen
74'
M
21
Jonatan Lindekilde
1 ⚽
88'
M
Jonatan Lindekilde
1 ⚽
88'
M
16
S. Johannesen
74'
M
S. Johannesen
74'
M
25
F. Etim
2 ⚽
F
F. Etim
2 ⚽
F
Bench
14
Anders Dahl
12'
D
Anders Dahl
12'
D
29
Elias Hansborg
F
Elias Hansborg
F
7
G. Marcussen
20'
M
G. Marcussen
20'
M
4
Jeppe Kudsk
49'
D
Jeppe Kudsk
49'
D
1
G
15
M. López
1 👟
88'
D
M. López
1 👟
88'
D
25
Zanka
D
Zanka
D
6
D
20
J. Suzuki
D
J. Suzuki
D
30
E. Achouri
74'
M
E. Achouri
74'
M
36
W. Clem
45'
M
W. Clem
45'
M
21
M. Emil Madsen
1 ⚽
88'
M
M. Emil Madsen
1 ⚽
88'
M
11
J. Larsson
1 ⚽
M
J. Larsson
1 ⚽
M
10
M. Elyounoussi
1 👟
F
M. Elyounoussi
1 👟
F
14
A. Cornelius
1 ⚽
65'
F
A. Cornelius
1 ⚽
65'
F
Bench
24
B. Meling
D
B. Meling
D
44
G. Vianney
6'
F
G. Vianney
6'
F
16
Robert
20'
M
Robert
20'
M
27
T. Delaney
49'
M
T. Delaney
49'
M
39
V. Dadason
29'
F
V. Dadason
29'
F
7
Viktor Claesson
6'
M
Viktor Claesson
6'
M
9
Youssoufa Moukoko
F
Youssoufa Moukoko
F
Best on the pitch
F. Etim
F · FC
9.00
2 ⚽
4 shots
· 14 pass
A. Cornelius
F · FC
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 20 pass
D. Kristjánsson
M · FC
7.90
1 👟
· 48 pass
M. Emil Madsen
M · FC
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 32 pass
Jonatan Lindekilde
M · FC
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 16 pass
E. Achouri
M · FC
7.30
1 shots
· 27 pass
FC Fredericia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 11% | — | — | — | |
| Jakob Jessen | D | 94 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 20 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| Frederik Rieper | D | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 51 | 39% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Adam Nygaard | D | 82 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 27 | 24% | — | — | — |
| S. Crone | D | 45 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 5 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Pyndt | M | 94 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 33 | 28% | — | — | — |
| D. Kristjánsson | M | 94 | 7.90 | — | 1 | — | 48 | 39% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Simonsen | M | 74 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 18 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Jonatan Lindekilde | M | 88 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 16 | 12% | — | — | — |
| S. Johannesen | M | 74 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 8% | — | — | — |
| F. Etim | F | 94 | 9.00 | 2 | — | 4 | 14 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| Anders Dahl | D | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Marcussen | M | 20 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Jeppe Kudsk | D | 49 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 11% | — | — | — |
FC Copenhagen — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 94 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 27 | 22% | — | — | — | |
| M. López | D | 88 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 1 | 44 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
| Zanka | D | 94 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 47 | 43% | 2 | — | — |
| D | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 38% | 2 | — | — | |
| J. Suzuki | D | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Achouri | M | 74 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 23% | 3 | — | — |
| W. Clem | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 20% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Emil Madsen | M | 88 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 32 | 25% | 4 | — | — |
| J. Larsson | M | 94 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 33 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Elyounoussi | F | 94 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 2 | 40 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Cornelius | F | 65 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 20 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Vianney | F | 6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Robert | M | 20 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Delaney | M | 49 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 16% | 2 | 1 | — |
| V. Dadason | F | 29 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Viktor Claesson | M | 6 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC Fredericia vs FC Copenhagen?
The final score was FC Fredericia 3–3 FC Copenhagen.
What did the model predict before FC Fredericia vs FC Copenhagen?
The model assigned 18% probability to a FC Fredericia win, 20% to a draw, and 60% to an FC Copenhagen win.