✗Model wrong — prediction FC Copenhagen, result Draw
F. Etim
(ast. A. Nygaard)
1'
J. Lindekilde
(ast. D. F. Kristjansson)
24'
F. Etim
(ast. J. Jessen)
83'
11'
(ast. M. Elyounoussi)
A. Cornelius
32'
(ast. M. Lopez)
M. Madsen
(pen.)
87'
J. Larsson
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Copenhagen a 60% win probability (draw 20%, FC Fredericia 18%). The final result was FC Fredericia 3–3 FC Copenhagen. In 3 previous meetings, FC Fredericia have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for FC Copenhagen.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
12
6
Shots on target
5
1.80
Actual xG
2.31
2
Saves
3
43%
Possession
57%
6
Corners
4
10
Tackles
23
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽F. Etim
· ast. A. Nygaard
1'
11'
ast. M. Elyounoussi ·
A. Cornelius⚽
⚽J. Lindekilde
· ast. D. F. Kristjansson
24'
32'
ast. M. Lopez ·
M. Madsen⚽
45'+1
W. Clem
S. Crone
/ J. Kudsk
46'
46'
T. Delaney
/
W. Clem
65'
V. Dadason
/
A. Cornelius
F. Rieper
69'
74'
Robert
/
E. Achouri
E. Simonsen
/ O. Buch
74'
S. Johannesen
/ G. Marcussen
74'
A. Nygaard
/ A. Dahl
82'
⚽F. Etim
· ast. J. Jessen
83'
87'
(pen.)
J. Larsson⚽
88'
G. Vianney
/
M. Madsen
88'
V. Claesson
/
M. Lopez
J. Lindekilde
/ P. Egelund
88'
90'+2
T. Delaney
90'+5
G. Vianney
Pre-match prediction
18.83%
FC
20.37%
X ←
60.8%
FC
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
20.37%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.96
1.80
+0.84
2.11
2.31
+0.2
FC Copenhagen dominated by xG (2.31 vs 1.80).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
90
G
8
J. Jessen
1 👟
D
J. Jessen
1 👟
D
5
Frederik Rieper
D
Frederik Rieper
D
3
Adam Nygaard
1 👟
82'
D
Adam Nygaard
1 👟
82'
D
12
S. Crone
45'
D
S. Crone
45'
D
18
A. Pyndt
M
A. Pyndt
M
17
Daniel Freyr Kristjansson
1 👟
M
Daniel Freyr Kristjansson
1 👟
M
10
E. Simonsen
74'
M
E. Simonsen
74'
M
21
Jonatan Lindekilde
1 ⚽
88'
M
Jonatan Lindekilde
1 ⚽
88'
M
16
Sofus Johannesen
74'
M
Sofus Johannesen
74'
M
25
Friday Etim
2 ⚽
F
Friday Etim
2 ⚽
F
Bench
14
Anders Dahl
12'
D
Anders Dahl
12'
D
29
Elias Hansborg
F
Elias Hansborg
F
7
G. Marcussen
20'
M
G. Marcussen
20'
M
4
Jeppe Kudsk
49'
D
Jeppe Kudsk
49'
D
1
G
15
Marcos López
1 👟
88'
D
Marcos López
1 👟
88'
D
25
Zanka
D
Zanka
D
6
D
20
Junnosuke Suzuki
D
Junnosuke Suzuki
D
30
E. Achouri
74'
M
E. Achouri
74'
M
36
William Clem
45'
M
William Clem
45'
M
21
Mads Emil Madsen
1 ⚽
88'
M
Mads Emil Madsen
1 ⚽
88'
M
11
Jordan Larsson
1 ⚽
M
Jordan Larsson
1 ⚽
M
10
Mohamed Elyounoussi
1 👟
F
Mohamed Elyounoussi
1 👟
F
14
Andreas Cornelius
1 ⚽
65'
F
Andreas Cornelius
1 ⚽
65'
F
Bench
24
Birger Meling
D
Birger Meling
D
44
Geovanni Vianney
6'
F
Geovanni Vianney
6'
F
16
Robert
20'
M
Robert
20'
M
27
Thomas Delaney
49'
M
Thomas Delaney
49'
M
39
Viktor Bjarki Dadason
29'
F
Viktor Bjarki Dadason
29'
F
7
Viktor Claesson
6'
M
Viktor Claesson
6'
M
9
Youssoufa Moukoko
F
Youssoufa Moukoko
F
Best on the pitch
Friday Etim
F · FC
9.00
2 ⚽
4 shots
· 14 pass
Andreas Cornelius
F · FC
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 20 pass
Daniel Freyr Kristjansson
M · FC
7.90
1 👟
· 48 pass
Mads Emil Madsen
M · FC
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 32 pass
Jonatan Lindekilde
M · FC
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 16 pass
E. Achouri
M · FC
7.30
1 shots
· 27 pass
FC Fredericia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 11% | — | — | — | |
| J. Jessen | D | 94 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 20 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| Frederik Rieper | D | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 51 | 39% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Adam Nygaard | D | 82 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 27 | 24% | — | — | — |
| S. Crone | D | 45 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 5 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Pyndt | M | 94 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 33 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Daniel Freyr Kristjansson | M | 94 | 7.90 | — | 1 | — | 48 | 39% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Simonsen | M | 74 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 18 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Jonatan Lindekilde | M | 88 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 16 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Sofus Johannesen | M | 74 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Friday Etim | F | 94 | 9.00 | 2 | — | 4 | 14 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| Anders Dahl | D | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Marcussen | M | 20 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Jeppe Kudsk | D | 49 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 11% | — | — | — |
FC Copenhagen — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 94 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 27 | 22% | — | — | — | |
| Marcos López | D | 88 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 1 | 44 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
| Zanka | D | 94 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 47 | 43% | 2 | — | — |
| D | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 38% | 2 | — | — | |
| Junnosuke Suzuki | D | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Achouri | M | 74 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 23% | 3 | — | — |
| William Clem | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 20% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Mads Emil Madsen | M | 88 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 32 | 25% | 4 | — | — |
| Jordan Larsson | M | 94 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 33 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| Mohamed Elyounoussi | F | 94 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 2 | 40 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| Andreas Cornelius | F | 65 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 20 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Geovanni Vianney | F | 6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Robert | M | 20 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Thomas Delaney | M | 49 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 16% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Viktor Bjarki Dadason | F | 29 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Viktor Claesson | M | 6 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC Fredericia vs FC Copenhagen?
The final score was FC Fredericia 3–3 FC Copenhagen.
What did the model predict before FC Fredericia vs FC Copenhagen?
The model assigned 18% probability to a FC Fredericia win, 20% to a draw, and 60% to an FC Copenhagen win.