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Model wrong — prediction FC Ingolstadt 04, result Erzgebirge Aue wins
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Ingolstadt 04 a 55% win probability (draw 22%, Erzgebirge Aue 22%). The final result was FC Ingolstadt 04 3–5 Erzgebirge Aue. In 1 previous meetings, FC Ingolstadt 04 have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Erzgebirge Aue.

Match statistics
Pre-match prediction
55.26%
FC
22.14%
X
22.61%
Erzgebirge ←
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Erzgebirge Aue) 22.61% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
FC
2.13
Erzgebirge
1.34
League Table
#Team GPts
1 MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg 5 12
2 Rot-Weiß Essen Rot-Weiß Essen 5 10
3 FC Saarbrücken FC Saarbrücken 5 9
4 FC Viktoria Köln FC Viktoria Köln 5 9
5 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen 5 8
6 FC Ingolstadt 04 FC Ingolstadt 04 5 8
7 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock 5 8
8 Preußen Münster Preußen Münster 4 7
9 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 5 7
10 SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 5 7
11 Hoffenheim II Hoffenheim II 4 6
12 Stuttgart II Stuttgart II 4 6
13 Verl Verl 5 6
14 SV Meppen SV Meppen 5 6
15 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln 4 5
16 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim 4 4
17 Havelse Havelse 5 4
18 SSV Jahn Regensburg SSV Jahn Regensburg 5 4
19 Würzburger Kickers Würzburger Kickers 5 4
20 SV Wehen SV Wehen 4 2
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Erzgebirge Aue?
The final score was FC Ingolstadt 04 3–5 Erzgebirge Aue.
What did the model predict before FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Erzgebirge Aue?
The model assigned 55% probability to a FC Ingolstadt 04 win, 22% to a draw, and 22% to an Erzgebirge Aue win.