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Model wrong — prediction FC Ingolstadt 04, result Erzgebirge Aue wins
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Ingolstadt 04 a 55% win probability (draw 22%, Erzgebirge Aue 22%). The final result was FC Ingolstadt 04 3–5 Erzgebirge Aue. In 1 previous meetings, FC Ingolstadt 04 have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Erzgebirge Aue.

Match statistics
Pre-match prediction
55.26%
FC
22.14%
X
22.61%
Erzgebirge ←
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Erzgebirge Aue) 22.61% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
FC
2.13
Erzgebirge
1.34
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Rot-Weiß Essen Rot-Weiß Essen 0 0
2 Verl Verl 0 0
3 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 0 0
4 SSV Jahn Regensburg SSV Jahn Regensburg 0 0
5 Stuttgart II Stuttgart II 0 0
6 FC Ingolstadt 04 FC Ingolstadt 04 0 0
7 Havelse Havelse 0 0
8 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock 0 0
9 MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg 0 0
10 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen 0 0
11 SV Wehen SV Wehen 0 0
12 Preußen Münster Preußen Münster 0 0
13 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim 0 0
14 SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 0 0
15 FC Saarbrücken FC Saarbrücken 0 0
16 Hoffenheim II Hoffenheim II 0 0
17 SV Meppen SV Meppen 0 0
18 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln 0 0
19 FC Viktoria Köln FC Viktoria Köln 0 0
20 Würzburger Kickers Würzburger Kickers 0 0
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Erzgebirge Aue?
The final score was FC Ingolstadt 04 3–5 Erzgebirge Aue.
What did the model predict before FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Erzgebirge Aue?
The model assigned 55% probability to a FC Ingolstadt 04 win, 22% to a draw, and 22% to an Erzgebirge Aue win.