76'
(ast. Martín Sarrafiore)
Juan Carrera
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atlante FC a 47% win probability (draw 26%, FC Juarez 25%). The final result was FC Juarez 0–1 Atlante FC. In 1 previous meetings, FC Juarez have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Atlante FC.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
10
1
Shots on target
3
0.44
Actual xG
0.77
2
Saves
1
61%
Possession
39%
8
Corners
9
9
Tackles
22
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
31'
Rodrigo Dourado
37'
Guilherme Castilho
/ Monchu
60'
Rodrigo Dourado
/ José Luis Rodríguez
60'
64'
Jhojan Julio
65'
Joaquín Alejandro Moxica Chapa
/
Luis Puente
65'
Diogo Osmar Bagüí Tobar
/
Walter Portales
Ricardo Oliveira
/ Luca Dupuy
70'
Madson de Souza Silva
/ Brayan Adrián Molina Hernández
71'
73'
Edgar Jiménez
76'
ast. Martín Sarrafiore ·
Juan Carrera⚽
Daniel Piña
78'
80'
Daniel González
/
Jhojan Julio
Daniel Piña
/ Manuel Mayorga
80'
80'
Walter Clar
/
Edgar Jiménez
Leonardo Rodríguez Silva
85'
José Luis Rodríguez
90'+5
90'
Maximiliano García
/
Martín Sarrafiore
Pre-match prediction
25.3%
FC
26.89%
X
47.81%
Atlante ←
we assigned to the actual result (Atlante FC)
47.81%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.93
0.44
-0.49
1.76
0.77
-0.99
Atlante FC dominated by xG (0.77 vs 0.44).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
S. Jurado
G
S. Jurado
G
26
D. Piña
80'
D
D. Piña
80'
D
2
G. Sepúlveda
D
G. Sepúlveda
D
3
J. Murillo
D
J. Murillo
D
5
D. García
D
D. García
D
13
Rodrigo Dourado
60'
M
Rodrigo Dourado
60'
M
183
L. Silva
M
L. Silva
M
21
Ricardinho
70'
M
Ricardinho
70'
M
8
Guilherme Castilho
60'
M
Guilherme Castilho
60'
M
9
Madson
71'
M
Madson
71'
M
19
Ó. Estupiñán
F
Ó. Estupiñán
F
Bench
4
A. Mayorga
10'
D
A. Mayorga
10'
D
24
B. Díaz
G
B. Díaz
G
250
B. Molina
19'
M
B. Molina
19'
M
14
E. López
D
E. López
D
23
H. Ortega
D
H. Ortega
D
20
J. Aquino
M
J. Aquino
M
201
J. Carmona
M
J. Carmona
M
11
J. Rodríguez
30'
M
J. Rodríguez
30'
M
17
L. Martínez Dupuy
20'
F
L. Martínez Dupuy
20'
F
6
Monchu
30'
M
Monchu
30'
M
1
Ó. Jiménez
G
Ó. Jiménez
G
34
E. Jiménez
80'
D
E. Jiménez
80'
D
44
A. Quiroz
D
A. Quiroz
D
4
E. Tercero
D
E. Tercero
D
6
J. N. Carrera
1 ⚽
D
J. N. Carrera
1 ⚽
D
29
Walter Portales
65'
D
Walter Portales
65'
D
19
L. Calzadilla
M
L. Calzadilla
M
8
E. Pizzuto
M
E. Pizzuto
M
30
M. Sarrafiore
1 👟
89'
M
M. Sarrafiore
1 👟
89'
M
7
J. Julio
80'
F
J. Julio
80'
F
9
L. Puente
65'
F
L. Puente
65'
F
Bench
18
C. Bermúdez
M
C. Bermúdez
M
32
D. Bagüí
25'
D
D. Bagüí
25'
D
3
G. Sánchez
D
G. Sánchez
D
15
Jairón Andrés Charcopa Cabezas
F
Jairón Andrés Charcopa Cabezas
F
11
Joaquin Alejandro Moxica Chapa
25'
F
Joaquin Alejandro Moxica Chapa
25'
F
16
José González
10'
M
José González
10'
M
25
M. Fernández
M
M. Fernández
M
13
M. García
1'
M
M. García
1'
M
22
R. Barragan
G
R. Barragan
G
37
W. Clar
10'
D
W. Clar
10'
D
Best on the pitch
J. N. Carrera
D · Atlante
8.40
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 46 pass
M. Sarrafiore
M · Atlante
7.70
1 👟
2 shots
· 24 pass
J. Murillo
D · FC
7.49
1 shots
· 60 pass
Guilherme Castilho
M · FC
7.17
· 32 pass
A. Quiroz
D · Atlante
7.17
1 shots
· 42 pass
D. Bagüí
D · Atlante
7.15
· 11 pass
FC Juarez — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Jurado | G | 90 | 6.80 | — | — | 0 | 32 | 28% | 0 | — | — |
| D. Piña | D | 80 | 6.34 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 33% | 1 | 1 | — |
| G. Sepúlveda | D | 90 | 7.06 | — | — | 0 | 65 | 58% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Murillo | D | 90 | 7.49 | — | — | 1 | 60 | 57% | 0 | — | — |
| D. García | D | 90 | 7.02 | — | — | 2 | 53 | 45% | 0 | — | — |
| Rodrigo Dourado | M | 60 | 6.73 | — | — | 0 | 53 | 49% | 1 | 1 | — |
| L. Silva | M | 90 | 6.80 | — | — | 0 | 55 | 49% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Ricardinho | M | 70 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| Guilherme Castilho | M | 60 | 7.17 | — | — | 0 | 32 | 32% | 0 | — | — |
| Madson | M | 71 | 6.48 | — | — | 0 | 29 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Ó. Estupiñán | F | 90 | 6.11 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 12% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Mayorga | D | 10 | 6.62 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| B. Molina | M | 19 | 6.89 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Rodríguez | M | 30 | 6.41 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Martínez Dupuy | F | 20 | 6.31 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| Monchu | M | 30 | 6.45 | — | — | 0 | 15 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
Atlante FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ó. Jiménez | G | 90 | 6.95 | — | — | 0 | 26 | 19% | 0 | — | — |
| E. Jiménez | D | 80 | 6.28 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 19% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Quiroz | D | 90 | 7.17 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 32% | 0 | — | — |
| E. Tercero | D | 90 | 6.89 | — | — | 0 | 30 | 22% | 3 | — | — |
| J. N. Carrera | D | 90 | 8.40 | 1 | — | 3 | 46 | 38% | 5 | — | — |
| Walter Portales | D | 65 | 6.93 | — | — | 0 | 26 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Calzadilla | M | 90 | 6.55 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Pizzuto | M | 90 | 6.66 | — | — | 0 | 23 | 19% | 4 | 1 | — |
| M. Sarrafiore | M | 89 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 2 | 24 | 18% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Julio | F | 80 | 6.14 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 10% | 2 | 1 | — |
| L. Puente | F | 65 | 6.13 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| D. Bagüí | D | 25 | 7.15 | — | — | 0 | 11 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
| Joaquin Alejandro Moxica Chapa | F | 25 | 6.58 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| José González | M | 10 | 6.80 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| M. García | M | 1 | 6.75 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| W. Clar | D | 10 | 6.99 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC Juarez vs Atlante FC?
The final score was FC Juarez 0–1 Atlante FC.
What did the model predict before FC Juarez vs Atlante FC?
The model assigned 25% probability to a FC Juarez win, 26% to a draw, and 47% to an Atlante FC win.