O. Estupinan
(ast. J. Rodriguez)
33'
38'
(ast. K. Alvarez)
H. Martin
(pen.)
53'
H. Martin
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Club America a 44% win probability (draw 28%, FC Juarez 26%). The final result was FC Juarez 1–2 Club America. In 2 previous meetings, FC Juarez have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Club America.
Match statistics
3
Shots on target
10
1.38
Actual xG
1.88
41%
Possession
59%
5
Corners
7
Match Events
Madson
11'
⚽O. Estupinan
· ast. J. Rodriguez
33'
38'
ast. K. Alvarez ·
H. Martin⚽
J. Murillo
41'
J. Aquino
52'
53'
(pen.)
H. Martin⚽
Madson
/ Monchu
63'
72'
O. Perea
/
I. Violante
72'
D. Arriaga
/
B. Rodriguez
J. M. Torres Ramirez I.
77'
J. Aquino
/ Ricardinho
79'
Rodrigo Dourado
/ E. Lopez
79'
F. J. Nevarez Pulgarin
82'
83'
R. Juarez
/
I. Reyes
83'
C. Borja
/
D. Espinoza
83'
E. Cerrillo
/
E. Sanchez
D. Garcia
/ Guilherme Castilho
87'
J. Rodriguez
/ R. Fulgencio
87'
90'+7
Raphael Veiga
Pre-match prediction
26.99%
FC
28.56%
X
44.46%
Club ←
we assigned to the actual result (Club America)
44.46%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.97
1.38
+0.41
2.56
1.88
-0.69
Club America dominated by xG (1.88 vs 1.38).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC Juarez vs Club America?
The final score was FC Juarez 1–2 Club America.
What did the model predict before FC Juarez vs Club America?
The model assigned 26% probability to a FC Juarez win, 28% to a draw, and 44% to an Club America win.