Rodrigo Dourado
(ast. Daniel Piña)
84'
(pen.)
31'
Mourad El Ghezouani
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Club Tijuana a 42% win probability (draw 27%, FC Juarez 30%). The final result was FC Juarez 1–1 Club Tijuana. In 3 previous meetings, FC Juarez have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for Club Tijuana.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
13
6
Shots on target
4
1.39
Actual xG
1.25
3
Saves
5
58%
Possession
42%
9
Corners
6
5
Tackles
15
5
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
28'
31'
(pen.)
Mourad El Ghezouani⚽
Monchu
45'+2
Monchu
/ Madson de Souza Silva
45'
Leonardo Silva
56'
Ricardo Oliveira
/ Eder Lopez
58'
Jesus Murillo
/ Luca Dupuy
59'
63'
Angel Zapata
/
Yael Padilla
Denzell Garcia
65'
65'
Angel Zapata
Gilberto Sepulveda
67'
69'
Diego Fernando Abreu Firenze
/
Mourad El Ghezouani
69'
Pablo Ortíz
/
Ramiro Árciga
71'
Pablo Ortíz
Francisco Nevarez
72'
72'
Ivan Tona
Francisco Nevarez
/ Jan Carlo Carmona Nunez
75'
Leonardo Silva
/ Rodrigo Dourado
75'
80'
Jackson Porozo
⚽Rodrigo Dourado
· ast. Daniel Piña
84'
86'
Francisco González
/
Jesús Vega
Pre-match prediction
30.35%
FC
27.28%
X ←
42.37%
Club
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
27.28%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.29
1.39
+0.1
1.98
1.25
-0.73
xG dominance was balanced (1.39 – 1.25).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
S. Jurado
G
S. Jurado
G
5
D. García
D
D. García
D
26
D. Piña
1 👟
D
D. Piña
1 👟
D
2
G. Sepúlveda
D
G. Sepúlveda
D
3
J. Murillo
59'
D
J. Murillo
59'
D
33
F. Nevárez
75'
D
F. Nevárez
75'
D
21
Ricardinho
58'
M
Ricardinho
58'
M
183
L. Silva
75'
M
L. Silva
75'
M
6
Monchu
45'
M
Monchu
45'
M
19
Ó. Estupiñán
F
Ó. Estupiñán
F
11
J. Rodríguez
F
J. Rodríguez
F
Bench
4
A. Mayorga
D
A. Mayorga
D
24
B. Díaz
G
B. Díaz
G
14
E. López
32'
D
E. López
32'
D
8
Guilherme Castilho
M
Guilherme Castilho
M
20
J. Aquino
M
J. Aquino
M
201
J. Carmona
15'
M
J. Carmona
15'
M
17
L. Martínez Dupuy
31'
F
L. Martínez Dupuy
31'
F
9
Madson
45'
F
Madson
45'
F
7
R. Fulgencio
M
R. Fulgencio
M
13
Rodrigo Dourado
1 ⚽
15'
M
Rodrigo Dourado
1 ⚽
15'
M
2
A. Rodríguez
G
A. Rodríguez
G
16
J. Vega
86'
D
J. Vega
86'
D
6
A. Gómez
D
A. Gómez
D
12
J. Porozo
D
J. Porozo
D
3
R. Fernández
D
R. Fernández
D
8
I. Tona
M
I. Tona
M
7
Adonis Preciado
M
Adonis Preciado
M
15
I. Rivero
M
I. Rivero
M
31
Y. Padilla
63'
M
Y. Padilla
63'
M
17
R. Árciga
69'
M
R. Árciga
69'
M
9
Mourad
1 ⚽
69'
F
Mourad
1 ⚽
69'
F
Bench
188
A. Magallon
D
A. Magallon
D
26
A. Perez
M
A. Perez
M
20
Á. Zapata
27'
M
Á. Zapata
27'
M
19
D. Abreu
21'
F
D. Abreu
21'
F
13
Elias Manoel
F
Elias Manoel
F
34
F. Boya
M
F. Boya
M
11
F. González
4'
F
F. González
4'
F
202
J. González
F
J. González
F
33
P. Ortíz
21'
D
P. Ortíz
21'
D
29
S. Hernández
G
S. Hernández
G
Best on the pitch
Rodrigo Dourado
M · FC
7.71
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 9 pass
J. Porozo
D · Club
7.57
3 shots
· 28 pass
A. Rodríguez
G · Club
7.37
· 37 pass
I. Tona
M · Club
7.20
· 43 pass
Mourad
F · Club
7.18
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 11 pass
G. Sepúlveda
D · FC
6.86
· 86 pass
FC Juarez — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Jurado | G | 90 | 6.75 | — | — | 0 | 41 | 35% | 0 | — | — |
| D. García | D | 90 | 6.10 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 34% | 0 | 1 | — |
| D. Piña | D | 90 | 6.61 | — | 1 | 1 | 67 | 49% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Sepúlveda | D | 90 | 6.86 | — | — | 0 | 86 | 81% | 0 | 1 | — |
| J. Murillo | D | 59 | 6.65 | — | — | 0 | 35 | 32% | 0 | — | — |
| F. Nevárez | D | 75 | 6.15 | — | — | 0 | 30 | 22% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Ricardinho | M | 58 | 6.41 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Silva | M | 75 | 6.30 | — | — | 0 | 30 | 27% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Monchu | M | 45 | 5.68 | — | — | 0 | 14 | 12% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Ó. Estupiñán | F | 90 | 6.39 | — | — | 4 | 16 | 12% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Rodríguez | F | 90 | 6.47 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| E. López | D | 32 | 6.13 | — | — | 0 | 8 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Carmona | M | 15 | 6.19 | — | — | 0 | 8 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Martínez Dupuy | F | 31 | 6.65 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| Madson | F | 45 | 6.84 | — | — | 0 | 15 | 13% | 0 | — | — |
| Rodrigo Dourado | M | 15 | 7.71 | 1 | — | 1 | 9 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
Club Tijuana — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Rodríguez | G | 90 | 7.37 | — | — | 0 | 37 | 24% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Vega | D | 86 | 5.90 | — | — | 0 | 25 | 16% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Gómez | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 0 | 44 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Porozo | D | 90 | 7.57 | — | — | 3 | 28 | 25% | 0 | 1 | — |
| R. Fernández | D | 90 | 6.78 | — | — | 0 | 25 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Tona | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 0 | 43 | 38% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Adonis Preciado | M | 90 | 6.63 | — | — | 0 | 24 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| I. Rivero | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 6 | 22 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. Padilla | M | 63 | 6.08 | — | — | 0 | 25 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Árciga | M | 69 | 6.46 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| Mourad | F | 69 | 7.18 | 1 | — | 2 | 11 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Á. Zapata | M | 27 | 6.24 | — | — | 0 | 11 | 9% | 0 | 1 | — |
| D. Abreu | F | 21 | 6.64 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 2% | 2 | — | — |
| F. González | F | 4 | 6.65 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| P. Ortíz | D | 21 | 6.21 | — | — | 0 | 9 | 5% | 0 | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC Juarez vs Club Tijuana?
The final score was FC Juarez 1–1 Club Tijuana.
What did the model predict before FC Juarez vs Club Tijuana?
The model assigned 30% probability to a FC Juarez win, 27% to a draw, and 42% to an Club Tijuana win.